Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Kim ST
PROVIDER: S-EPMC5519555 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Kim Seon Tae ST Jeong Hye-In HI Jin Fei-Fei FF
Scientific reports 20170720 1
This study uses retrospective forecasts made using an APEC Climate Center seasonal forecast model to investigate the cause of errors in predicting the amplitude of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-driven sea surface temperature variability. When utilizing Bjerknes coupled stability (BJ) index analysis, enhanced errors in ENSO amplitude with forecast lead times are found to be well represented by those in the growth rate estimated by the BJ index. ENSO amplitude forecast errors are most strong ...[more]