Dataset Information

External validation of the diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma survival prediction model: a collaborative report from the International DIPG Registry and the SIOPE DIPG Registry.

ABSTRACT: We aimed to perform external validation of the recently developed survival prediction model for diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG), and discuss its utility. The DIPG survival prediction model was developed in a cohort of patients from the Netherlands, United Kingdom and Germany, registered in the SIOPE DIPG Registry, and includes age <3 years, longer symptom duration and receipt of chemotherapy as favorable predictors, and presence of ring-enhancement on MRI as unfavorable predictor. Model performance was evaluated by analyzing the discrimination and calibration abilities. External validation was performed using an unselected cohort from the International DIPG Registry, including patients from United States, Canada, Australia and New Zealand. Basic comparison with the results of the original study was performed using descriptive statistics, and univariate- and multivariable regression analyses in the validation cohort. External validation was assessed following a variety of analyses described previously. Baseline patient characteristics and results from the regression analyses were largely comparable. Kaplan-Meier curves of the validation cohort reproduced separated groups of standard (n?=?39), intermediate (n?=?125), and high-risk (n?=?78) patients. This discriminative ability was confirmed by similar values for the hazard ratios across these risk groups. The calibration curve in the validation cohort showed a symmetric underestimation of the predicted survival probabilities. In this external validation study, we demonstrate that the DIPG survival prediction model has acceptable cross-cohort calibration and is able to discriminate patients with short, average, and increased survival. We discuss how this clinico-radiological model may serve a useful role in current clinical practice.

SUBMITTER: Veldhuijzen van Zanten SEM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5543206 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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External validation of the diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma survival prediction model: a collaborative report from the International DIPG Registry and the SIOPE DIPG Registry.

Veldhuijzen van Zanten Sophie E M SEM Lane Adam A Heymans Martijn W MW Baugh Joshua J Chaney Brooklyn B Hoffman Lindsey M LM Doughman Renee R Jansen Marc H A MHA Sanchez Esther E Vandertop William P WP Kaspers Gertjan J L GJL van Vuurden Dannis G DG Fouladi Maryam M Jones Blaise V BV Leach James J

Journal of neuro-oncology 20170530 1

We aimed to perform external validation of the recently developed survival prediction model for diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG), and discuss its utility. The DIPG survival prediction model was developed in a cohort of patients from the Netherlands, United Kingdom and Germany, registered in the SIOPE DIPG Registry, and includes age <3 years, longer symptom duration and receipt of chemotherapy as favorable predictors, and presence of ring-enhancement on MRI as unfavorable predictor. Model ...[more]

PMID: 28560664

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Project description:Abstract PURPOSE: To correlate MR imaging findings with molecular analyses in DIPG. METHODS: Baseline MR imaging studies, including standard pre- and post-contrast MR sequences, were reviewed from patients included in our multi-institutional, IRB-approved DIPG trial NCT01182350. Prospectively acquired imaging data were analyzed after study closure, including FLAIR/T2 tumor volume; tumor volume enhancement and cyst/necrosis; median, mean, mode, skewness, and kurtosis of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) tumor volume based on both FLAIR and enhancement at baseline. Whole-genome and RNA-sequencing identified histone mutations. We applied univariate Cox proportional-hazards regression modeling to test the association of imaging predictors with overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Wilcoxon rank-sum, Kruskal-Wallis, and Fisher’s exact tests compared imaging measures between groups. RESULTS: Fifty patients underwent biopsy and MRI. Median age at trial registration was 6 years (range,3.3–17.5 years); 52% of patients were female. Molecular subgroup study assignments for 48 patients’ tumors were as follows: 28 in MGMT-/EGFR-, 14 in MGMT-/EGFR+, 3 in MGMT+/EGFR-, and 3 in MGMT+/EGFR+. Further genetic testing identified mutations in histones, PDGFRA, ACVR1, TP53, EGFR, PPM1D, FGFR, and/or PI3K. Twenty-three tumors possessed histone mutations in H3F3A, 8 in HIST1H3B, and 3 in HISTH3C. Median follow-up time was 11 months (range,0.4–33 months). Poorer OS (p=0.01) and PFS (p=0.001) were significantly associated with increased enhancing tumor volume. Enhancing tumor volume also differed significantly across molecular subgroups (p=0.047). Tumor enhancement, mode, skewness, and kurtosis ADC-FLAIR differed significantly (p?0.048) between patients with H3F3A and HIST1H3B mutations. Tumor enhancement, median, mode, skewness, and kurtosis ADC-FLAIR also differed significantly (p?0.048) between patients with H3F3A and HIST1H3B or HISTH3C mutations. CONCLUSIONS: MR imaging features including enhancement and ADC histogram parameters correlate to molecular subgroups in DIPG. Further studies are required to verify and refine these findings in a larger cohort.

Project description:With improved survivorship in medulloblastoma, there has been an increasing incidence of late complications. To date, no studies have specifically addressed the risk of radiation-associated diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG) in medulloblastoma survivors. Query of the International DIPG Registry identified six cases of DIPG with a history of medulloblastoma treated with radiotherapy. All patients underwent central radiologic review that confirmed a diagnosis of DIPG. Six additional cases were identified in reports from recent cooperative group medulloblastoma trials (total n =?12; ages 7 to 21 years). From these cases, molecular subgrouping of primary medulloblastomas with available tissue (n =?5) revealed only non-WNT, non-SHH subgroups (group 3 or 4). The estimated cumulative incidence of DIPG after post-treatment medulloblastoma ranged from 0.3-3.9%. Posterior fossa radiation exposure (including brainstem) was greater than 53.0 Gy in all cases with available details. Tumor/germline exome sequencing of three radiation-associated DIPGs revealed an H3 wild-type status and mutational signature distinct from primary DIPG with evidence of radiation-induced DNA damage. Mutations identified in the radiation-associated DIPGs had significant molecular overlap with recurrent drivers of adult glioblastoma (e.g. NRAS, EGFR, and PTEN), as opposed to epigenetic dysregulation in H3-driven primary DIPGs. Patients with radiation-associated DIPG had a significantly worse median overall survival (median 8 months; range 4-17 months) compared to patients with primary DIPG. Here, it is demonstrated that DIPG occurs as a not infrequent complication of radiation therapy in survivors of pediatric medulloblastoma and that radiation-associated DIPGs may present as a poorly-prognostic distinct molecular subgroup of H3 wild-type DIPG. Given the abysmal survival of these cases, these findings provide a compelling argument for efforts to reduce exposure of the brainstem in the treatment of medulloblastoma. Additionally, patients with radiation-associated DIPG may benefit from future therapies targeted to the molecular features of adult glioblastoma rather than primary DIPG.

Project description:Purpose Diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma (DIPG) is a brainstem malignancy with a median survival of < 1 year. The International and European Society for Pediatric Oncology DIPG Registries collaborated to compare clinical, radiologic, and histomolecular characteristics between short-term survivors (STSs) and long-term survivors (LTSs). Materials and Methods Data abstracted from registry databases included patients from North America, Australia, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Italy, France, the United Kingdom, and Croatia. Results Among 1,130 pediatric and young adults with radiographically confirmed DIPG, 122 (11%) were excluded. Of the 1,008 remaining patients, 101 (10%) were LTSs (survival ≥ 2 years). Median survival time was 11 months (interquartile range, 7.5 to 16 months), and 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year survival rates were 42.3% (95% CI, 38.1% to 44.1%), 9.6% (95% CI, 7.8% to 11.3%), 4.3% (95% CI, 3.2% to 5.8%), 3.2% (95% CI, 2.4% to 4.6%), and 2.2% (95% CI, 1.4% to 3.4%), respectively. LTSs, compared with STSs, more commonly presented at age < 3 or > 10 years (11% v 3% and 33% v 23%, respectively; P < .001) and with longer symptom duration ( P < .001). STSs, compared with LTSs, more commonly presented with cranial nerve palsy (83% v 73%, respectively; P = .008), ring enhancement (38% v 23%, respectively; P = .007), necrosis (42% v 26%, respectively; P = .009), and extrapontine extension (92% v 86%, respectively; P = .04). LTSs more commonly received systemic therapy at diagnosis (88% v 75% for STSs; P = .005). Biopsies and autopsies were performed in 299 patients (30%) and 77 patients (10%), respectively; 181 tumors (48%) were molecularly characterized. LTSs were more likely to harbor a HIST1H3B mutation (odds ratio, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.5; P = .002). Conclusion We report clinical, radiologic, and molecular factors that correlate with survival in children and young adults with DIPG, which are important for risk stratification in future clinical trials.

Dataset Information

External validation of the diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma survival prediction model: a collaborative report from the International DIPG Registry and the SIOPE DIPG Registry.

Publications

External validation of the diffuse intrinsic pontine glioma survival prediction model: a collaborative report from the International DIPG Registry and the SIOPE DIPG Registry.

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