Developing a Natural History Progression Model for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Using the Six-Minute Walk Test.

ABSTRACT: The 6-minute walk test (6MWT) is used as a clinical endpoint to evaluate drug efficacy in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) trials. A model was developed using digitized 6MWT data that estimated two slopes and two intercepts to characterize 6MWT improvement during development and 6MWT decline. Mean baseline 6MWT was 362 (±87) meters. The model predicted an improvement at a rate of 20 meters/year (95% confidence interval (CI) = 9.4-30) up until 10 years old (95% CI = 6.78-13.1), and then a decline at a rate of 85 meters/year (95% CI = 72-98). Interpatient slope variability for improvement and decline were similar at 21.9 percentage of coefficient of variation (%CV) and 23.3%CV, respectively. Model simulations using age demographics from a previous DMD natural history study could reasonably

SUBMITTER: Hamuro L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5613187 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature