Mediterranean California's water use future under multiple scenarios of developed and agricultural land use change.

ABSTRACT: With growing demand and highly variable inter-annual water supplies, California's water use future is fraught with uncertainty. Climate change projections, anticipated population growth, and continued agricultural intensification, will likely stress existing water supplies in coming decades. Using a state-and-transition simulation modeling approach, we examine a broad suite of spatially explicit future land use scenarios and their associated county-level water use demand out to 2062. We examined a range of potential water demand futures sampled from a 20-year record of historical (1992-2012) data to develop a suite of potential future land change scenarios, including low/high change scenarios for urbanization and agriculture as well as "lowest of the low" and "highest of the high" anthropo

SUBMITTER: Wilson TS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5663427 | biostudies-literature | 2017

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature