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Long-term progression of viral load and serum markers of fibrosis among treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND AND AIMS:Antiviral therapy for patients with hepatitis B (HBV) infection is generally deferred for "immune inactive" patients, although longitudinal changes in viral load and liver fibrosis remain understudied in this population. Likewise, in treated patients, the temporal relationship between changes in viral load and liver fibrosis is not well characterized. Using data from the chronic hepatitis cohort study, the study investigated viral load and the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB4, a serum-based marker of liver fibrosis) trajectories in both untreated and treated HBV patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS:We applied a bivariate, piecewise, linear spline, mixed-effects modeling approach to data from 766 HBV patients (342 untreated, 424 treated). Treatment selection bias was adjusted using propensity scores. Multiple sensitivity analyses were used to confirm results in untreated patients. RESULTS:Among all untreated patients, FIB4 began to increase by 0.9% per month (11% per year; P < 0.05) at 28 months post-index date, suggesting fibrosis progression. Significant FIB4 progression was also observed in a subgroup analysis of "immune inactive" untreated patients. In treated patients, viral load declined 31.8% per month (P < 0.05) for the first 5 months after treatment initiation, and 1.4-1.7% per month (P < 0.05) thereafter. At 5 months after treatment initiation, FIB4 began to decline 0.5% per month (P < 0.05), stabilizing at 28 months. CONCLUSION:Among untreated HBV patients, FIB4 gradually increases over time, suggesting fibrosis progression, even in those patients designated as immune inactive. In treated patients, antiviral therapy results in a rapid decline in viral load followed by a delayed decline in markers of liver fibrosis.

SUBMITTER: Li J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5674987 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Long-term progression of viral load and serum markers of fibrosis among treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Li Jia J Gordon Stuart C SC Rupp Loralee B LB Zhang Talan T Trudeau Sheri S Holmberg Scott D SD Moorman Anne C AC Spradling Philip R PR Teshale Eyasu H EH Boscarino Joseph A JA Daida Yihe G YG Schmidt Mark A MA Lu Mei M

Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology 20170601 6

<h4>Background and aims</h4>Antiviral therapy for patients with hepatitis B (HBV) infection is generally deferred for "immune inactive" patients, although longitudinal changes in viral load and liver fibrosis remain understudied in this population. Likewise, in treated patients, the temporal relationship between changes in viral load and liver fibrosis is not well characterized. Using data from the chronic hepatitis cohort study, the study investigated viral load and the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB4, ...[more]

PMID: 27888529

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Project description:OBJECTIVES:The aim of this study was to explore the association of serum fibrosis marker levels with the risk of clinical and histological disease progression in a large cohort of patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). METHODS:462 prior non-responders to peginterferon and ribavirin enrolled in the randomised phase of the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) Trial had baseline and annual serum samples tested for hyaluronic acid (HA), N-terminal peptide of procollagen type 3, tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 (TIMP-1) and YKL-40. All patients underwent a pretreatment liver biopsy and follow-up biopsies at years 2 and 4. Histological progression was defined as a ?2 point increase in Ishak fibrosis score in patients without cirrhosis. Clinical outcomes included development of decompensation, hepatocellular cancer, death or an increase in the CTP (Child-Turcotte-Pugh) score to ?7. RESULTS:Mean patient age was 49.5 years and 39% had histological cirrhosis at entry. Baseline HA, YKL-40 and TIMP-1 levels combined with other laboratory parameters were all significantly associated with clinical outcomes in the 69 (15%) patients with disease progression (p<0.0001). The best multivariate model to predict clinical outcomes included baseline bilirubin, albumin, international normalised ratio (INR) and YKL-40 levels. All of the baseline serum fibrosis marker levels were also significantly associated with histological fibrosis progression that developed in 70 (33%) of the 209 patients with cirrhosis (p <0.0001). However, baseline HA and platelet counts were best at predicting histological progression (area under the curve (AUC)=0.663). CONCLUSION:Pretreatment serum fibrosis marker levels are significantly increased in patients with CHC at risk of clinical and histological disease progression. If validated in additional cohorts, measurement of these markers could help identify patients with CHC who would benefit from more frequent and intensive monitoring.

Project description:Background:Patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection who are hepatitis B virus e antigen (HBeAg) positive are increasingly being treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs (NUCs). However, the predictive value of serum hepatitis B virus core antibody (HBcAb) levels for HBeAg seroconversion among patients with high viral load remains unclear. Methods:This study consisted of 74 patients with high viral load (HBV DNA >1 × 107 copies/mL) enrolled in a multicenter, randomized, controlled trial, treated with lamivudine and adefovir (N = 32) or entecavir (N = 42) for up to 96 weeks. Serum HBV DNA, quantitative hepatitis B virus surface antigen (HBsAg), HBeAg, and HBeAb was tested at each visit. Quantitative HBcAb evaluation was conducted for all the available samples in the trial, by using a newly developed double-sandwich anti-HBc immunoassay. Results:Serum HBcAb levels were significantly higher in patients with a serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level more than five times the upper limit of normal (ULN) compared with patients with ALT levels within 5 × ULN (4.25 ± 0.61 vs. 3.94 ± 0.47 log10 IU/mL, P = 0.0345). Patients with HBeAg seroconversion were associated with a higher level of HBcAb at baseline, compared with those without HBeAg seroconversion (4.38 ± 0.54 vs. 4.02 ± 0.58 log10 IU/mL, P = 0.029). The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of baseline HBcAb for HBeAg seroconversion was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.55-0.86, P = 0.013). When the baseline HBcAb level was >4.375 log10 IU/mL, the sensitivity and specificity to predict HBeAg seroconversion at week 96 were 62.5% and 74.2%, and the positive likelihood ratio (LR) and negative LR were 2.42 and 0.51, respectively. The multivariate analysis result indicated that baseline serum HBcAb level was the only independent predictor for HBeAg seroconversion at week 96, with an odds ratio of 4.78. Conclusion:Baseline serum HBcAb level >4.375 log10 IU/mL could satisfactorily predict HBeAg seroconversion among patients with high viral load treated with NUC.

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Project description:ObjectiveThe hepatitis B virus (HBV)-polymerase region overlaps pre-S/S genes with high epitope density and plays an essential role in viral replication. We investigated whether genetic variation in the polymerase region determined long-term dynamics of viral load and the risk of hepatitis B progression in a population-based cohort study.MethodsWe sequenced the HBV-polymerase region using baseline plasma from treatment-naïve individuals with HBV-DNA levels≥1000 copies/mL in a longitudinal viral-load study of participants with chronic HBV infection followed-up for 17 years, and obtained sequences from 575 participants (80% with HBV genotype Ba and 17% with Ce).ResultsPatterns of viral sequence diversity across phases (i.e., immune-tolerant, immune-clearance, non/low replicative, and hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative hepatitis phases) of HBV-infection, which were associated with viral and clinical features at baseline and during follow-up, were similar between HBV genotypes, despite greater diversity for genotype Ce vs. Ba. Irrespective of genotypes, however, HBeAg-negative participants had 1.5-to-2-fold higher levels of sequence diversity than HBeAg-positive participants (P<0.0001). Furthermore, levels of viral genetic divergence from the population consensus sequence, estimated by numbers of nucleotide substitutions, were inversely associated with long-term viral load even in HBeAg-negative participants. A mixed model developed through analysis of the entire HBV-polymerase region identified 153 viral load-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms in overall and 136 in HBeAg-negative participants, with distinct profiles between HBV genotypes. These polymorphisms were most evident at sites within or flanking T-cell epitopes. Seven polymorphisms revealed associations with both enhanced viral load and a more than 4-fold increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and/or liver cirrhosis.ConclusionsThe data highlight a role of viral genetic divergence in the natural course of HBV-infection. Interindividual differences in the long-term dynamics of viral load is not only associated with accumulation of mutations in HBV-polymerase region, but differences in specific viral polymorphisms which differ between genotypes.

Dataset Information

Long-term progression of viral load and serum markers of fibrosis among treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B.

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Long-term progression of viral load and serum markers of fibrosis among treated and untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B.

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