Dataset Information

Changes in Albuminuria and Subsequent Risk of Incident Kidney Disease.

ABSTRACT:

Background and objectives

Albuminuria is a robust predictor of CKD progression. However, little is known about the associations of changes in albuminuria with the risk of kidney events outside the settings of clinical trials.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

In a nationwide cohort of 56,946 United States veterans with an eGFR?60 ml/min per 1.73 m², we examined the associations of 1-year fold changes in albuminuria with subsequent incident CKD (>25% decrease in eGFR reaching <60 ml/min per 1.73 m²) and rapid eGFR decline (eGFR slope <-5 ml/min per 1.73 m² per year) assessed using Cox models and logistic regression, respectively, with adjustment for confounders.

Results

The mean age was 64 (SD, 10) years old; 97% were men, and 91% were diabetic. There was a nearly linear association between 1-year fold changes in albuminuria and incident CKD. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of incident CKD associated with more than twofold decrease, 1.25- to twofold decrease, 1.25- to twofold increase, and more than twofold increase (versus <1.25-fold decrease to <1.25-fold increase) in albuminuria were 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.77 to 0.89), 0.93 (95% confidence interval, 0.86 to 1.00), 1.12 (95% confidence interval, 1.05 to 1.20), and 1.29 (95% confidence interval, 1.21 to 1.38), respectively. Qualitatively similar associations were present for rapid eGFR decline (adjusted odds ratios; 95% confidence intervals for corresponding albuminuria changes: adjusted odds ratio, 0.86; 95% confidence interval, 0.78 to 0.94; adjusted odds ratio, 0.98; 95% confidence interval, 0.89 to 1.07; adjusted odds ratio, 1.18; 95% confidence interval, 1.08 to 1.29; and adjusted odds ratio, 1.67; 95% confidence interval, 1.54 and 1.81, respectively).

Conclusions

Relative changes in albuminuria over a 1-year interval were linearly associated with subsequent risk of kidney outcomes. Additional studies are warranted to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of the observed associations and test whether active interventions to lower elevated albuminuria can improve kidney outcomes.

SUBMITTER: Sumida K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5718265 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Changes in Albuminuria and Subsequent Risk of Incident Kidney Disease.

Sumida Keiichi K Molnar Miklos Z MZ Potukuchi Praveen K PK George Koshy K Thomas Fridtjof F Lu Jun Ling JL Yamagata Kunihiro K Kalantar-Zadeh Kamyar K Kovesdy Csaba P CP

Clinical journal of the American Society of Nephrology : CJASN 20170911 12

<h4>Background and objectives</h4>Albuminuria is a robust predictor of CKD progression. However, little is known about the associations of changes in albuminuria with the risk of kidney events outside the settings of clinical trials.<h4>Design, setting, participants, & measurements</h4>In a nationwide cohort of 56,946 United States veterans with an eGFR≥60 ml/min per 1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, we examined the associations of 1-year fold changes in albuminuria with subsequent incident CKD (>25% decrease ...[more]

PMID: 28893924

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Change in albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for progression of chronic kidney disease is strongly supported by biological plausibility, but empirical evidence to support its validity in epidemiological studies is lacking. We aimed to assess the consistency of the association between change in albuminuria and risk of end-stage kidney disease in a large individual participant-level meta-analysis of observational studies. METHODS:In this meta-analysis, we collected individual-level data from eligible cohorts in the Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium (CKD-PC) with data on serum creatinine and change in albuminuria and more than 50 events on outcomes of interest. Cohort data were eligible if participants were aged 18 years or older, they had a repeated measure of albuminuria during an elapsed period of 8 months to 4 years, subsequent end-stage kidney disease or mortality follow-up data, and the cohort was active during this consortium phase. We extracted participant-level data and quantified percentage change in albuminuria, measured as change in urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) or urine protein-to-creatinine ratio (PCR), during baseline periods of 1, 2, and 3 years. Our primary outcome of interest was development of end-stage kidney disease after a baseline period of 2 years. We defined an end-stage kidney disease event as initiation of kidney replacement therapy. We quantified associations of percentage change in albuminuria with subsequent end-stage kidney disease using Cox regression in each cohort, followed by random-effects meta-analysis. We further adjusted for regression dilution to account for imprecision in the estimation of albuminuria at the participant level. We did multiple subgroup analyses, and also repeated our analyses using participant-level data from 14 clinical trials, including nine clinical trials not in CKD-PC. FINDINGS:Between July, 2015, and June, 2018, we transferred and analysed data from 28 cohorts in the CKD-PC, which included 693?816 individuals (557?583 [80%] with diabetes). Data for 675?904 individuals and 7461 end-stage kidney disease events were available for our primary outcome analysis. Change in ACR was consistently associated with subsequent risk of end-stage kidney disease. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for end-stage kidney disease after a 30% decrease in ACR during a baseline period of 2 years was 0·83 (95% CI 0·74-0·94), decreasing to 0·78 (0·66-0·92) after further adjustment for regression dilution. Adjusted HRs were fairly consistent across cohorts and subgroups (ie, estimated glomerular filtration rate, diabetes, and sex), but the association was somewhat stronger among participants with higher baseline ACR than among those with lower baseline ACR (pinteraction<0·0001). In individuals with baseline ACR of 300 mg/g or higher, a 30% decrease in ACR over 2 years was estimated to confer a more than 1% absolute reduction in 10-year risk of end-stage kidney disease, even at early stages of chronic kidney disease. Results were generally similar when we used change in PCR and when study populations from clinical trials were assessed. INTERPRETATION:Change in albuminuria was consistently associated with subsequent risk of end-stage kidney disease across a range of cohorts, lending support to the use of change in albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for end-stage kidney disease in clinical trials of progression of chronic kidney disease in the setting of increased albuminuria. FUNDING:US National Kidney Foundation and US National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Project description:BackgroundAssociations between kidney function and dementia risk are inconclusive. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) severity is determined by levels of both estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the urine albumin to creatinine ratio (ACR). However, whether there is a graded increase in dementia risk for worse eGFR in each ACR category is unclear. Also, whether genetic risk for dementia impacts the associations is unknown. The current study aims to investigate the associations between eGFR and albuminuria with dementia risk both individually and jointly, whether the associations vary by different follow-up periods, and whether genetic factors modified the associations.MethodsIn 202,702 participants aged ≥ 60 years from the UK Biobank, Cox proportional-hazards models were used to examine the associations between eGFR and urine albumin creatinine ratio (ACR) with risk of incident dementia. GFR was estimated based on serum creatinine, cystatin C, or both. The models were restricted to different follow-up periods (< 5 years, 5-10 years, and ≥ 10 years) to investigate potential reverse causation.ResultsOver 15 years of follow-up, 6,042 participants developed dementia. Decreased kidney function (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73m2) was associated with an increased risk of dementia (Hazard Ratio [HR] = 1.42, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.28-1.58), compared to normal kidney function (≥ 90 ml/min/1.73m2). The strength of the association remained consistent when the models were restricted to different periods of follow-up. The HRs for incident dementia were 1.16 (95% CI 1.07-1.26) and 2.24 (95% CI 1.79-2.80) for moderate (3-30 mg/mmol) and severely increased ACR (≥ 30 mg/mmol) compared to normal ACR (< 3 mg/mmol). Dose-response associations were observed when combining eGFR and ACR, with those in the severest eGFR and ACR group having the greatest risk of dementia (HR = 4.70, 95% CI 2.34-9.43). APOE status significantly modified the association (p = 0.04), with stronger associations observed among participants with a lower genetic risk of dementia. There was no evidence of an interaction between kidney function and non-APOE polygenic risk of dementia with dementia risk (p = 0.42).ConclusionsKidney dysfunction and albuminuria were individually and jointly associated with higher dementia risk. The associations were greater amongst participants with a lower genetic risk of dementia based on APOE, but not non-APOE polygenic risk.

Project description:Decreased kidney function and kidney damage may predate hypertension, but only a few studies have investigated both types of markers simultaneously, and these studies have obtained conflicting results.Cross-sectional for prevalent and prospective observational study for incident hypertension.9,593 participants from the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study, aged 53-75 years in 1996-1998.Several markers of kidney function (estimated glomerular filtration rate using serum creatinine and/or cystatin C and 2 novel markers [?-trace protein and ?2-microglobulin]) and 1 marker of kidney damage (urinary albumin-creatinine ratio [ACR]). Every kidney marker was categorized by its quintiles (top quintile as a reference for estimated glomerular filtration rates and bottom quintile for the rest).Prevalent and incident hypertension.Prevalence ratios and HRs of hypertension based on modified Poisson regression and Cox proportional hazards models, respectively.There were 4,378 participants (45.6%) with prevalent hypertension at baseline and 2,175 incident hypertension cases during a median follow-up of 9.8 years. Although all 5 kidney function markers were associated significantly with prevalent hypertension, prevalent hypertension was associated most notably with higher ACR (adjusted prevalence ratio, 1.60 [95% CI, 1.50-1.71] for the highest vs lowest ACR quintile). Similarly, ACR was associated consistently with incident hypertension in all models tested (adjusted HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.10-1.49] for top quintile), while kidney function markers demonstrated significant associations in some, but not all, models. Even mildly increased ACR (9.14-14.0mg/g) was associated significantly with incident hypertension.Self-reported use of antihypertensive medication for defining incident hypertension, single assessment of kidney markers, and relatively narrow age range.Although all kidney markers were associated with prevalent hypertension, only elevated albuminuria was associated consistently with incident hypertension, suggesting that kidney damage is related more closely to hypertension than moderate reduction in overall kidney function.

Project description:Background: Somatic mutations in blood indicative of clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP), particularly in DNMT3A, TET2, and JAK2, are associated with an increased risk of hematologic malignancy, coronary artery disease, and all-cause mortality. However, whether CHIP is associated with increased risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD) remains unknown. In addition, chemotherapy frequently causes mutations in DNA Damage Repair (DDR) genes TP53 and PPM1D, and whether CHIP caused by somatic mutations in DDR genes results in increased risk of atherosclerosis is unclear. We sought to test whether CHIP, and CHIP caused by DDR genes, associates with incident peripheral artery disease (PAD) and atherosclerosis. Methods: We identified CHIP among 50,122 exome sequences in individuals from UK and Mass General Brigham Biobanks and tested CHIP status (N=2,851) with incident PAD and atherosclerosis across multiple arterial beds. To mimic the human scenario of clonal hematopoiesis and test whether the expansion of p53-deficient hematopoietic cells contributes to atherosclerosis, a competitive bone marrow transplantation (BMT) strategy was used to generate atherosclerosis-prone Ldlr-/- chimeric mice carrying 20% Trp53-/- hematopoietic cells (20% KO-BMT mice). We then evaluated aortic plaque burden and plaque macrophage accumulation 12 weeks after grafting. Results: CHIP associated with incident PAD (HR 1.7; P=2.2x10-5) and atherosclerosis in multiple beds (HR 1.3; P=9.7x10-5), with increased risk among individuals with DDR CHIP (HR 2.0; P=0.0084). Among atherosclerosis-prone Ldlr null mice, the p53 -/- 20% KO-BMT mice demonstrated increased aortic plaque size (p=0.013) and accumulation of p53-/- plaque macrophages (P<0.001), driven by an abundance of p53-deficient plaque macrophages. The expansion of p53-deficient cells did not affect the expression of the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and IL-1β in the atherosclerotic aortic wall. Conclusions: Our findings highlight the role of CHIP as a broad driver of atherosclerosis across the entire arterial system, with evidence of increased plaque among p53 -/- 20% KO-BMT mice via expansion of plaque macrophages. These observations provide new insight into the link between CHIP and cardiovascular disease, and lend human genetic support to the concept that post-cytotoxic chemotherapy patients may benefit from surveillance for atherosclerotic conditions in addition to therapy-related myeloid neoplasms.

Project description:Importance:Early identification of individuals at elevated risk of developing chronic kidney disease (CKD) could improve clinical care through enhanced surveillance and better management of underlying health conditions. Objective:To develop assessment tools to identify individuals at increased risk of CKD, defined by reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Design, Setting, and Participants:Individual-level data analysis of 34 multinational cohorts from the CKD Prognosis Consortium including 5?222?711 individuals from 28 countries. Data were collected from April 1970 through January 2017. A 2-stage analysis was performed, with each study first analyzed individually and summarized overall using a weighted average. Because clinical variables were often differentially available by diabetes status, models were developed separately for participants with diabetes and without diabetes. Discrimination and calibration were also tested in 9 external cohorts (n?=?2?253?540). Exposures:Demographic and clinical factors. Main Outcomes and Measures:Incident eGFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Results:Among 4?441?084 participants without diabetes (mean age, 54 years, 38% women), 660?856 incident cases (14.9%) of reduced eGFR occurred during a mean follow-up of 4.2 years. Of 781?627 participants with diabetes (mean age, 62 years, 13% women), 313?646 incident cases (40%) occurred during a mean follow-up of 3.9 years. Equations for the 5-year risk of reduced eGFR included age, sex, race/ethnicity, eGFR, history of cardiovascular disease, ever smoker, hypertension, body mass index, and albuminuria concentration. For participants with diabetes, the models also included diabetes medications, hemoglobin A1c, and the interaction between the 2. The risk equations had a median C statistic for the 5-year predicted probability of 0.845 (interquartile range [IQR], 0.789-0.890) in the cohorts without diabetes and 0.801 (IQR, 0.750-0.819) in the cohorts with diabetes. Calibration analysis showed that 9 of 13 study populations (69%) had a slope of observed to predicted risk between 0.80 and 1.25. Discrimination was similar in 18 study populations in 9 external validation cohorts; calibration showed that 16 of 18 (89%) had a slope of observed to predicted risk between 0.80 and 1.25. Conclusions and Relevance:Equations for predicting risk of incident chronic kidney disease developed from more than 5 million individuals from 34 multinational cohorts demonstrated high discrimination and variable calibration in diverse populations. Further study is needed to determine whether use of these equations to identify individuals at risk of developing chronic kidney disease will improve clinical care and patient outcomes.

Dataset Information

Changes in Albuminuria and Subsequent Risk of Incident Kidney Disease.

Background and objectives

Design, setting, participants, & measurements

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Changes in Albuminuria and Subsequent Risk of Incident Kidney Disease.

Similar Datasets

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