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Clinical endpoints and adaptive clinical trials in precirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: Facilitating development approaches for an emerging epidemic.

ABSTRACT: Due to the increasing prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and its associated health burden, there is a high need to develop therapeutic strategies for patients with this disease. Unfortunately, its long and asymptomatic natural history, the uncertainties about disease progression, the fact that most patients are undiagnosed, and the requirement for sequential liver biopsies create substantial challenges for clinical development. Adaptive design methods are increasingly used in clinical research as they provide the flexibility and efficiency for identifying potential signals of clinical benefit of the test treatment under investigation and make prompt preplanned adaptations without undermining the validity or integrity of the trial. Given the high unmet medical need and the lack of validated surrogate endpoints in NASH, the use of adaptive design methods appears reasonable. Furthermore, due to the limited number of patients willing to have multiple liver biopsies and the need for long-term exposure to assess an impact in outcomes, a continuous seamless adaptive design may reduce the overall sample size while allowing patients to continue after each one of the phases. Here, we review strategic frameworks that include potential surrogate endpoints as well as statistical and logistical approaches that could be considered for applying adaptive designs to clinical trials in NASH with the goal of facilitating drug development for this growing medical need. (Hepatology Communications 2017;1:577-585).

SUBMITTER: Filozof C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5721443 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Clinical endpoints and adaptive clinical trials in precirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: Facilitating development approaches for an emerging epidemic.

Filozof Claudia C Chow Shein-Chung SC Dimick-Santos Lara L Chen Yeh-Fong YF Williams Richard N RN Goldstein Barry J BJ Sanyal Arun A

Hepatology communications 20170801 7

Due to the increasing prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and its associated health burden, there is a high need to develop therapeutic strategies for patients with this disease. Unfortunately, its long and asymptomatic natural history, the uncertainties about disease progression, the fact that most patients are undiagnosed, and the requirement for sequential liver biopsies create substantial challenges for clinical development. Adaptive design methods are increasingly used in clin ...[more]

PMID: 29404480

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Project description:Background Several early-phase clinical trials for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) use liver fat content as measured with the MRI-derived proton density fat fraction (PDFF) for a primary outcome. These trials have shown relative reductions in liver fat content with placebo treatment alone, a phenomenon termed "the placebo effect." This phenomenon confounds the results and limits generalizability to future trials. Purpose To quantify the effect of placebo treatment on change in the absolute PDFF value and to identify variables associated with this observed change. Materials and Methods This is a secondary analysis of prospectively collected data from seven early phase clinical trials that included participants with a diagnosis of NASH based on MRI and/or liver biopsy who received placebo treatment. The primary outcome was a greater than or equal to 30% relative reduction in PDFF after placebo treatment. Normalization of PDFF, relative change in alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, and normalization of ALT level were also examined. An exploratory linear mixed-effects model was used to estimate an overall change in absolute PDFF and to explore parameters associated with this response. Results A total of 187 participants (median age, 52 years [IQR, 43-60 years]; 114 women) who received placebo treatment were evaluated. A greater than or equal to 30% relative reduction in baseline PDFF was seen in 20% of participants after 12 weeks of placebo treatment (10 of 49), 9% of participants after 16 weeks (two of 22), and 28% of participants after 24 weeks (34 of 122). A repeated-measures linear mixed-effects model estimated a decrease of 2.3 units (median relative reduction of 13%) in absolute PDFF values after 24 weeks of placebo treatment (95% CI: 3.2, 1.4; P < .001). Conclusion In this analysis of 187 participants, a clinically relevant decrease in PDFF was observed with placebo treatment. Based on the study model, assuming an absolute PDFF decrease of approximately 3 units (upper limit of 95% CI) to account for this "placebo effect" in sample size calculations for future clinical trials is suggested. Clinical trial registration nos. NCT01066364, NCT01766713, NCT01963845, NCT02443116, NCT02546609, NCT02316717, and NCT02442687 © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Yoon in this issue.

Project description:Hepatocellular injury and inflammation are believed to be the primary drivers of fibrogenesis that ultimately lead to cirrhosis in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). This study sought associations between observed improvements in fibrosis with improvement in specific histologic features, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score (NAS) ≥2, diagnostic category, and primary histologically based outcomes of two adult NASH treatment trials. The primary outcome for the study was fibrosis improvement from baseline to end of treatment, defined as a 1-point or more improvement in fibrosis stage. This is a retrospective analysis of biopsy data collected from the NASH Clinical Research Network Pathology Committee of Pioglitazone versus Vitamin E versus Placebo for the Treatment of Nondiabetic Patients with NASH Trial (PIVENS) and Farnesoid X Receptor Ligand Obeticholic Acid in NASH Treatment Trial (FLINT) baseline and final biopsies. Treatment group-adjusted univariable and multivariable logistic regression models related improvement in fibrosis to improvements in other histologic variables, resolution of steatohepatitis, and improvement in the NAS ≥2. In PIVENS 221 subjects had baseline and 96-week biopsies, and in FLINT 200 subjects had baseline and 72-week biopsies. Improvement in fibrosis was found in 38% of PIVENS and 29% of FLINT biopsies; fibrosis improvement was more likely in treated than placebo subjects in both studies. Controlling for treatment group, fibrosis improvement was associated most strongly with resolution of NASH (PIVENS, odds ratio [OR], 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.0-7.6; P < 0.001; FLINT, OR, 8.0; 95% CI 3.1-20.9; P < 0.001), and improved NAS by ≥2 (PIVENS, OR, 2.4; 95% CI 1.3-4.3; P = 0.003; FLINT, OR, 4.2; 95% CI 2.1-8.3; P < 0.001). Improvement in histologic features associated with improved fibrosis for both studies included steatosis, ballooning, Mallory-Denk bodies, and portal, but not lobular, inflammation. Conclusion: These findings support a strong link between histologic resolution of steatohepatitis with improvement in fibrosis in NASH.

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Clinical endpoints and adaptive clinical trials in precirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: Facilitating development approaches for an emerging epidemic.

Publications

Clinical endpoints and adaptive clinical trials in precirrhotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: Facilitating development approaches for an emerging epidemic.

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