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Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China.

ABSTRACT: Intervention measures among men who have sex with men (MSM) are usually designed to reduce the frequency of high risk behaviors (within-community level), but unfortunately may change the contact network and consequently increase the opportunity for them to have sex with new partners (between-community level). A multi-community periodic model on complex network is proposed to study the two-side effects of interventions on HIV transmission among MSM in China, in which the wanning process of the impacts of interventions are modelled. The basic reproduction number for the multi-community periodic system is defined and calculated numerically. Based on the number of annual reported HIV/AIDS cases among MSM in China, the unknown parameters are estimated by using MCMC method and the basic reproduction number is estimated as 3.56 (95%CI [3.556, 3.568]). Our results show that strong randomness of the community-connection networks leads to more new infections and more HIV/AIDS cases. Moreover, main conclusion indicates that implementation of interventions may induce more new infections, depending on relative level of between- and within-community impacts, and the frequency of implementation of interventions. The findings can help to guide the policy maker to choose the appropriate intervention measures, and to implement the interventions with proper frequency.

SUBMITTER: Sun X

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5765000 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China.

Sun Xiaodan X Xiao Yanni Y Peng Zhihang Z Wang Ning N

Scientific reports 20180111 1

Intervention measures among men who have sex with men (MSM) are usually designed to reduce the frequency of high risk behaviors (within-community level), but unfortunately may change the contact network and consequently increase the opportunity for them to have sex with new partners (between-community level). A multi-community periodic model on complex network is proposed to study the two-side effects of interventions on HIV transmission among MSM in China, in which the wanning process of the im ...[more]

PMID: 29323225

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Project description:BACKGROUND: Appropriate screening may reduce the mortality and morbidity of colorectal, breast, and cervical cancers. However, effective implementation strategies are warranted if the full benefits of screening are to be realized. As part of a larger agenda to create an implementation guideline, we conducted a systematic review to evaluate interventions designed to increase the rate of breast, cervical, and colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. The interventions considered were: client reminders, client incentives, mass media, small media, group education, one-on-one education, reduction in structural barriers, reduction in out-of-pocket costs, provider assessment and feedback interventions, and provider incentives. Our primary outcome, screening completion, was calculated as the overall median post-intervention absolute percentage point (PP) change in completed screening tests. METHODS: Our first step was to conduct an iterative scoping review in the research area. This yielded three relevant high-quality systematic reviews. Serving as our evidentiary foundation, we conducted a formal update. Randomized controlled trials and cluster randomized controlled trials, published between 2004 and 2010, were searched in MEDLINE, EMBASE and PSYCHinfo. RESULTS: The update yielded 66 studies new eligible studies with 74 comparisons. The new studies ranged considerably in quality. Client reminders, small media, and provider audit and feedback appear to be effective interventions to increase the uptake of screening for three cancers. One-on-one education and reduction of structural barriers also appears effective, but their roles with CRC and cervical screening, respectively, are less established. More study is required to assess client incentives, mass media, group education, reduction of out-of-pocket costs, and provider incentive interventions. CONCLUSION: The new evidence generally aligns with the evidence and conclusions from the original systematic reviews. This review served as the evidentiary foundation for an implementation guideline. Poor reporting, lack of precision and consistency in defining operational elements, and insufficient consideration of context and differences among populations are areas for additional research.

Project description:BackgroundMeasuring prevalence and incidence of sexually transmitted infections in hard to reach populations like men who have sex with men (MSM) is hampered by unknown size and regional distribution of this population. Community sample- and study-based measurements are often fraught with participation biases and do not allow generalization of the results for other regions or the whole population group of MSM.MethodsWe used the proportional regional distribution of participants of large internet-based surveys among MSM from Germany together with a general population survey-derived estimate of the MSM population to estimate regional population sizes. Based on transmission group category from surveillance data and regional MSM population size we calculated regional population-specific incidence rates of newly diagnosed HIV infection and syphilis. For HIV prevalence we compared estimates of prevalent HIV infections in MSM from a surveillance data-based model with a mixed model in which we used the proportional regional distribution of HIV positive participants from surveys and the estimated total number of prevalent HIV infections from the surveillance based model.ResultsAssuming a similar regional distribution of survey participants and the MSM population as a whole, the regional proportion of MSM in the general population can be estimated. Regional incidence calculated with the estimated MSM population as denominator and national surveillance data as numerator results in regional peak incidence rates of 7-8 per 1,000 MSM for newly diagnosed HIV infection and syphilis. The gradient between metropolitan and rural areas narrows considerably compared with calculations which use the total (male) population as denominator. Regional HIV prevalence estimates are comparable in the two models.ConclusionConsidering the difficulties to obtain regionally representative data by other sampling methods for MSM, in Western post-industrialized countries internet-based surveys may provide an easy and low cost tool to estimate regional population distributions. With national surveillance data, which categorize transmission groups, regional population-specific incidence rates for reportable sexually transmitted infections can be estimated. HIV prevalence estimates for regional MSM populations show differences related to the level of urbanization, MSM concentration, and starting points of the HIV epidemic in western and eastern Germany.

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Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China.

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Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China.

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