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Causal associations between risk factors and common diseases inferred from GWAS summary data.

ABSTRACT: Health risk factors such as body mass index (BMI) and serum cholesterol are associated with many common diseases. It often remains unclear whether the risk factors are cause or consequence of disease, or whether the associations are the result of confounding. We develop and apply a method (called GSMR) that performs a multi-SNP Mendelian randomization analysis using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies to test the causal associations of BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, serum cholesterols, blood pressures, height, and years of schooling (EduYears) with common diseases (sample sizes of up to 405,072). We identify a number of causal associations including a protective effect of LDL-cholesterol against type-2 diabetes (T2D) that might explain the side effects of statins on T2D, a protective effect of EduYears against Alzheimer's disease, and bidirectional associations with opposite effects (e.g., higher BMI increases the risk of T2D but the effect of T2D on BMI is negative).

SUBMITTER: Zhu Z

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5768719 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Causal associations between risk factors and common diseases inferred from GWAS summary data.

Zhu Zhihong Z Zheng Zhili Z Zhang Futao F Wu Yang Y Trzaskowski Maciej M Maier Robert R Robinson Matthew R MR McGrath John J JJ Visscher Peter M PM Wray Naomi R NR Yang Jian J

Nature communications 20180115 1

Health risk factors such as body mass index (BMI) and serum cholesterol are associated with many common diseases. It often remains unclear whether the risk factors are cause or consequence of disease, or whether the associations are the result of confounding. We develop and apply a method (called GSMR) that performs a multi-SNP Mendelian randomization analysis using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies to test the causal associations of BMI, waist-to-hip ratio, serum cholester ...[more]

PMID: 29335400

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Project description:Background: Neurodegenerative diseases (NDDs) are the leading cause of disability worldwide while their metabolic pathogenesis is unclear. Genome-wide association studies (GWASs) offer an unprecedented opportunity to untangle the relationship between metabolites and NDDs. Methods: By leveraging two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) approaches and relying on GWASs summary statistics, we here explore the causal association between 486 metabolites and five NDDs including Alzheimer's Disease (AD), amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), frontotemporal dementia (FTD), Parkinson's disease (PD), and multiple sclerosis (MS). We validated our MR results with extensive sensitive analyses including MR-PRESSO and MR-Egger regression. We also performed linkage disequilibrium score regression (LDSC) and colocalization analyses to distinguish causal metabolite-NDD associations from genetic correlation and LD confounding of shared causal genetic variants. Finally, a metabolic pathway analysis was further conducted to identify potential metabolite pathways. Results: We detected 164 metabolites which were suggestively associated with the risk of NDDs. Particularly, 2-methoxyacetaminophen sulfate substantially affected ALS (OR = 0.971, 95%CIs: 0.961 ∼ 0.982, FDR = 1.04E-4) and FTD (OR = 0.924, 95%CIs: 0.885 ∼ 0.964, FDR = 0.048), and X-11529 (OR = 1.604, 95%CIs: 1.250 ∼ 2.059, FDR = 0.048) and X-13429 (OR = 2.284, 95%CIs: 1.457 ∼ 3.581, FDR = 0.048) significantly impacted FTD. These associations were further confirmed by the weighted median and maximum likelihood methods, with MR-PRESSO and the MR-Egger regression removing the possibility of pleiotropy. We also observed that ALS or FTD can alter the metabolite levels, including ALS and FTD on 2-methoxyacetaminophen sulfate. The LDSC and colocalization analyses showed that none of the identified associations could be driven by genetic correlation or confounding by LD with common causal loci. Multiple metabolic pathways were found to be involved in NDDs, such as "urea cycle" (P = 0.036), "arginine biosynthesis" (P = 0.004) on AD and "phenylalanine, tyrosine and tryptophan biosynthesis" (P = 0.046) on ALS. Conclusion: our study reveals robust bidirectional causal associations between servaral metabolites and neurodegenerative diseases, and provides a novel insight into metabolic mechanism for pathogenesis and therapeutic strategies of these diseases.

Project description:Orienting the causal relationship between pairs of traits is a fundamental task in scientific research with significant implications in practice, such as in prioritizing molecular targets and modifiable risk factors for developing therapeutic and interventional strategies for complex diseases. A recent method, called Steiger's method, using a single SNP as an instrument variable (IV) in the framework of Mendelian randomization (MR), has since been widely applied. We report the following new contributions. First, we propose a single SNP-based alternative, overcoming a severe limitation of Steiger's method in simply assuming, instead of inferring, the existence of a causal relationship. We also clarify a condition necessary for the validity of the methods in the presence of hidden confounding. Second, to improve statistical power, we propose combining the results from multiple, and possibly correlated, SNPs as multiple instruments. Third, we develop three goodness-of-fit tests to check modeling assumptions, including those required for valid IVs. Fourth, by relaxing one of the three IV assumptions in MR, we propose several methods, including an Egger regression-like approach and its multivariable version (analogous to multivariable MR), to account for horizontal pleiotropy of the SNPs/IVs, which is often unavoidable in practice. All our methods can simultaneously infer both the existence and (if so) the direction of a causal relationship, largely expanding their applicability over that of Steiger's method. Although we focus on uni-directional causal relationships, we also briefly discuss an extension to bi-directional relationships. Through extensive simulations and an application to infer the causal directions between low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, or high density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol, and coronary artery disease (CAD), we demonstrate the superior performance and advantage of our proposed methods over Steiger's method and bi-directional MR. In particular, after accounting for horizontal pleiotropy, our method confirmed the well known causal direction from LDL to CAD, while other methods, including bi-directional MR, might fail.

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Causal associations between risk factors and common diseases inferred from GWAS summary data.

Publications

Causal associations between risk factors and common diseases inferred from GWAS summary data.

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