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Predictive ability of genomic selection models in a multi-population perennial ryegrass training set using genotyping-by-sequencing.

ABSTRACT: Genomic prediction models for multi-year dry matter yield, via genotyping-by-sequencing in a composite training set, demonstrate potential for genetic gain improvement through within-half sibling family selection. Perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.) is a key source of nutrition for ruminant livestock in temperate environments worldwide. Higher seasonal and annual yield of herbage dry matter (DMY) is a principal breeding objective but the historical realised rate of genetic gain for DMY is modest. Genomic selection was investigated as a tool to enhance the rate of genetic gain. Genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) was undertaken in a multi-population (MP) training set of five populations, phenotyped as half-sibling (HS) families in five environments over 2 years for mean herbage accumulation (HA), a measure of DMY potential. GBS using the ApeKI enzyme yielded 1.02 million single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers from a training set of n = 517. MP-based genomic prediction models for HA were effective in all five populations, cross-validation-predictive ability (PA) ranging from 0.07 to 0.43, by trait and target population, and 0.40-0.52 for days-to-heading. Best linear unbiased predictor (BLUP)-based prediction methods, including GBLUP with either a standard or a recently developed (KGD) relatedness estimation, were marginally superior or equal to ridge regression and random forest computational approaches. PA was principally an outcome of SNP modelling genetic relationships between training and validation sets, which may limit application for long-term genomic selection, due to PA decay. However, simulation using data from the training experiment indicated a twofold increase in genetic gain for HA, when applying a prediction model with moderate PA in a single selection cycle, by combining among-HS family selection, based on phenotype, with within-HS family selection using genomic prediction.

SUBMITTER: Faville MJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5814531 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictive ability of genomic selection models in a multi-population perennial ryegrass training set using genotyping-by-sequencing.

Faville Marty J MJ Ganesh Siva S Cao Mingshu M Jahufer M Z Zulfi MZZ Bilton Timothy P TP Easton H Sydney HS Ryan Douglas L DL Trethewey Jason A K JAK Rolston M Philip MP Griffiths Andrew G AG Moraga Roger R Flay Casey C Schmidt Jana J Tan Rachel R Barrett Brent A BA

TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik 20171220 3

<h4>Key message</h4>Genomic prediction models for multi-year dry matter yield, via genotyping-by-sequencing in a composite training set, demonstrate potential for genetic gain improvement through within-half sibling family selection. Perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L.) is a key source of nutrition for ruminant livestock in temperate environments worldwide. Higher seasonal and annual yield of herbage dry matter (DMY) is a principal breeding objective but the historical realised rate of genetic ...[more]

PMID: 29264625

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Project description:Forage nutritive value impacts animal nutrition, which underpins livestock productivity, reproduction and health. Genetic improvement for nutritive traits in perennial ryegrass has been limited, as they are typically expensive and time-consuming to measure through conventional methods. Genomic selection is appropriate for such complex and expensive traits, enabling cost-effective prediction of breeding values using genome-wide markers. The aims of the present study were to assess the potential of genomic selection for a range of nutritive traits in a multi-population training set, and to quantify contributions of family, location and family-by-location variance components to trait variation and heritability for nutritive traits. The training set consisted of a total of 517 half-sibling (half-sib) families, from five advanced breeding populations, evaluated in two distinct New Zealand grazing environments. Autumn-harvested samples were analyzed for 18 nutritive traits and maternal parents of the half-sib families were genotyped using genotyping-by-sequencing. Significant (P < 0.05) family variance was detected for all nutritive traits and genomic heritability (h2 g ) was moderate to high (0.20 to 0.74). Family-by-location interactions were significant and particularly large for water soluble carbohydrate (WSC), crude fat, phosphorus (P) and crude protein. GBLUP, KGD-GBLUP and BayesCπ genomic prediction models displayed similar predictive ability, estimated by 10-fold cross validation, for all nutritive traits with values ranging from r = 0.16 to 0.45 using phenotypes from across two locations. High predictive ability was observed for the mineral traits sulfur (0.44), sodium (0.45) and magnesium (0.45) and the lowest values were observed for P (0.16), digestibility (0.22) and high molecular weight WSC (0.23). Predictive ability estimates for most nutritive traits were retained when marker number was reduced from one million to as few as 50,000. The moderate to high predictive abilities observed suggests implementation of genomic selection is feasible for most of the nutritive traits examined.

Project description:In perennial ryegrass (Lolium perenne L), annual and seasonal dry matter yield (DMY) and nutritive quality of herbage are high-priority traits targeted for improvement through selective breeding. Genomic prediction (GP) has proven to be a valuable tool for improving complex traits and may be further enhanced through the use of multi-trait (MT) prediction models. In this study, we evaluated the relative performance of MT prediction models to improve predictive ability for DMY and key nutritive quality traits, using two different training populations (TP1, n = 463 and TP2, n = 517) phenotyped at multiple locations. MT models outperformed single-trait (ST) models by 24% to 59% for DMY and 67% to 105% for nutritive quality traits, such as low, high, and total WSC, when a correlated secondary trait was included in both the training and test set (MT-CV2) or in the test set alone (MT-CV3) (trait-assisted genomic selection). However, when a secondary trait was included in training set and not the test set (MT-CV1), the predictive ability was not statistically significant (p > 0.05) compared to the ST model. We evaluated the impact of training set size when using a MT-CV2 model. Using a highly correlated trait (rg = 0.88) as the secondary trait in the MT-CV2 model, there was no loss in predictive ability for DMY even when the training set was reduced to 50% of its original size. In contrast, using a weakly correlated secondary trait (rg = 0.56) in the MT-CV2 model, predictive ability began to decline when the training set size was reduced by only 11% from its original size. Using a ST model, genomic predictive ability in a population unrelated to the training set was poor (rp = -0.06). However, when using an MT-CV2 model, the predictive ability was positive and high (rp = 0.76) for the same population. Our results demonstrate the first assessment of MT models in forage species and illustrate the prospects of using MT genomic selection in forages, and other outcrossing plant species, to accelerate genetic gains for complex agronomical traits, such as DMY and nutritive quality characteristics.

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Project description:Ryegrass single plants, bi-parental family pools, and multi-parental family pools are often genotyped, based on allele-frequencies using genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS) assays. GBS assays can be performed at low-coverage depth to reduce costs. However, reducing the coverage depth leads to a higher proportion of missing data, and leads to a reduction in accuracy when identifying the allele-frequency at each locus. As a consequence of the latter, genomic relationship matrices (GRMs) will be biased. This bias in GRMs affects variance estimates and the accuracy of GBLUP for genomic prediction (GBLUP-GP). We derived equations that describe the bias from low-coverage sequencing as an effect of binomial sampling of sequence reads, and allowed for any ploidy level of the sample considered. This allowed us to combine individual and pool genotypes in one GRM, treating pool-genotypes as a polyploid genotype, equal to the total ploidy-level of the parents of the pool. Using simulated data, we verified the magnitude of the GRM bias at different coverage depths for three different kinds of ryegrass breeding material: individual genotypes from single plants, pool-genotypes from F2 families, and pool-genotypes from synthetic varieties. To better handle missing data, we also tested imputation procedures, which are suited for analyzing allele-frequency genomic data. The relative advantages of the bias-correction and the imputation of missing data were evaluated using real data. We examined a large dataset, including single plants, F2 families, and synthetic varieties genotyped in three GBS assays, each with a different coverage depth, and evaluated them for heading date, crown rust resistance, and seed yield. Cross validations were used to test the accuracy using GBLUP approaches, demonstrating the feasibility of predicting among different breeding material. Bias-corrected GRMs proved to increase predictive accuracies when compared with standard approaches to construct GRMs. Among the imputation methods we tested, the random forest method yielded the highest predictive accuracy. The combinations of these two methods resulted in a meaningful increase of predictive ability (up to 0.09). The possibility of predicting across individuals and pools provides new opportunities for improving ryegrass breeding schemes.

Project description:Key messageExploitation of data from a ryegrass breeding program has enabled rapid development and implementation of genomic selection for sward-based biomass yield with a twofold-to-threefold increase in genetic gain. Genomic selection, which uses genome-wide sequence polymorphism data and quantitative genetics techniques to predict plant performance, has large potential for the improvement in pasture plants. Major factors influencing the accuracy of genomic selection include the size of reference populations, trait heritability values and the genetic diversity of breeding populations. Global diversity of the important forage species perennial ryegrass is high and so would require a large reference population in order to achieve moderate accuracies of genomic selection. However, diversity of germplasm within a breeding program is likely to be lower. In addition, de novo construction and characterisation of reference populations are a logistically complex process. Consequently, historical phenotypic records for seasonal biomass yield and heading date over a 18-year period within a commercial perennial ryegrass breeding program have been accessed, and target populations have been characterised with a high-density transcriptome-based genotyping-by-sequencing assay. Ability to predict observed phenotypic performance in each successive year was assessed by using all synthetic populations from previous years as a reference population. Moderate and high accuracies were achieved for the two traits, respectively, consistent with broad-sense heritability values. The present study represents the first demonstration and validation of genomic selection for seasonal biomass yield within a diverse commercial breeding program across multiple years. These results, supported by previous simulation studies, demonstrate the ability to predict sward-based phenotypic performance early in the process of individual plant selection, so shortening the breeding cycle, increasing the rate of genetic gain and allowing rapid adoption in ryegrass improvement programs.

Dataset Information

Predictive ability of genomic selection models in a multi-population perennial ryegrass training set using genotyping-by-sequencing.

Publications

Predictive ability of genomic selection models in a multi-population perennial ryegrass training set using genotyping-by-sequencing.

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