Unknown

Dataset Information

0

Behavioural, not biological, factors drive the HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM: HCV and HIV modelling analysis including HCV treatment-as-prevention impact.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Uncertainty surrounds why hepatitis C virus (HCV) is concentrated among HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM). We used mathematical modelling to explore reasons for these infection patterns, and implications for HCV treatment-as-prevention.

Methods

Using a joint MSM HIV/HCV transmission model parameterized with UK behavioural data, we considered how biological (heightened HCV infectivity and reduced spontaneous clearance among HIV-positive MSM) and/or behavioural factors (preferential sexual mixing by HIV status and risk heterogeneity) could concentrate HCV infection in HIV-positive MSM as commonly observed (5-20 times the HCV prevalence in HIV-negative MSM; defined as the HCV ratio). We explored how HCV treatment-as-prevention impact varies under differing HCV ratios.

Results

Biological factors produced low HCV ratios (< 3), not explaining the skewed epidemic. However, combining preferential mixing by HIV status with sexual risk behaviour heterogeneity produced high HCV ratios (> 10) that were highly sensitive to both factors. Irrespective of the HCV ratio or behavioural/biological factors, HCV treatment of HIV-diagnosed MSM markedly reduced the HCV prevalence among HIV-positive MSM, but less impact was achieved among all MSM for lower HCV ratios.

Conclusions

Sexual behaviour patterns likely drive observed HCV infection patterns among HIV-positive MSM. Changes in these patterns could disseminate HCV amongst HIV-negative MSM, limiting the impact of targeting HCV treatment to HIV-diagnosed MSM.

SUBMITTER: MacGregor L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5837478 | biostudies-literature | 2017 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

altmetric image

Publications

Behavioural, not biological, factors drive the HCV epidemic among HIV-positive MSM: HCV and HIV modelling analysis including HCV treatment-as-prevention impact.

MacGregor Louis L   Martin Natasha K NK   Mukandavire Christinah C   Hickson Ford F   Weatherburn Peter P   Hickman Matthew M   Vickerman Peter P  

International journal of epidemiology 20171001 5


<h4>Background</h4>Uncertainty surrounds why hepatitis C virus (HCV) is concentrated among HIV-positive men who have sex with men (MSM). We used mathematical modelling to explore reasons for these infection patterns, and implications for HCV treatment-as-prevention.<h4>Methods</h4>Using a joint MSM HIV/HCV transmission model parameterized with UK behavioural data, we considered how biological (heightened HCV infectivity and reduced spontaneous clearance among HIV-positive MSM) and/or behavioural  ...[more]

Similar Datasets

| S-EPMC4016876 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC10500868 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC9732660 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC8522890 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC4232469 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC3509125 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6080551 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC4380356 | biostudies-other
| S-EPMC5433931 | biostudies-literature
| S-EPMC6318074 | biostudies-literature