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Cost-effectiveness of the Adjuvanted Herpes Zoster Subunit Vaccine in Older Adults.

ABSTRACT: Importance:The live attenuated herpes zoster vaccine (ZVL) is recommended for immunocompetent adults 60 years or older, but the efficacy wanes with age and over time. A new adjuvanted herpes zoster subunit vaccine (HZ/su) has higher efficacy but might be more expensive. The choice of vaccines depends on their relative values. Objective:To assess the cost-effectiveness of HZ/su. Design, Setting, and Participants:Markov decision model with transition probabilities based on the US medical literature. Participants were immunocompetent adults 60 years or older. Data were derived from participant groups ranging in number from less than 100 to more than 30 000 depending on the variable assessed. The study dates were July 1 to 31, 2017. Exposures:No vaccination, ZVL (single dose), and HZ/su (2-dose series) vaccine administered at different ages. Main Outcomes and Measures:Total costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were estimated. Results:Based on randomized clinical trial data, at a price of $280 per series ($140 per dose), HZ/su was more effective and less expensive than ZVL at all ages. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratios compared with no vaccination ranged from $20 038 to $30 084 per QALY, depending on vaccination age. The finding was insensitive to variations in most model inputs other than the vaccine price and certain combinations of low adherence rate with a second dose and low efficacy of a single dose of HZ/su. At the current ZVL price ($213 per dose), HZ/su had lower overall costs than ZVL up to a price of $350 per 2-dose series. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, HZ/su had 73% probability of being cost-effective for 60-year-olds at $50 000 per QALY. Conclusions and Relevance:Under conservative assumptions, at a price of $280 per series ($140 per dose), HZ/su would cost less than ZVL and has a high probability of offering good value.

SUBMITTER: Le P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5838796 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:IntroductionThis study aimed to update cost-effectiveness and public health impact estimates of the two-dose recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) compared with no vaccination against herpes zoster (HZ) in the Japanese population aged 65 years. List price of the vaccine and latest RZV efficacy and waning estimates were incorporated.MethodsA multicohort static Markov model with a cycle length of 1 year was used to follow a hypothetical cohort of one million people aged 65 years over their remaining lifetime (base case). Age-stratified vaccine efficacy and waning rates were updated on the basis of the latest clinical trial data (interim ZOE-LTFU; NCT02723773). First-dose coverage was assumed at 40%, and second-dose compliance was assumed at 95%. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 2% annually, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated from payer and societal perspectives. The societal perspective considered productivity loss due to suffering HZ, or due to suffering HZ and time required for vaccination. Sensitivity analyses explored the overall uncertainties in the model. Scenario analyses for Japanese adults aged 50, 60, 70, 80, ≥ 50, and ≥ 65 years (main scenario) were conducted. An ICER below ¥5-6 million/quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) was considered cost-effective.ResultsRZV was estimated to prevent 71,423 HZ cases and 15,858 post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) cases per million people aged 65 years compared with no vaccine in Japan. The ICER was ¥4,205,515 from a payer perspective and was most sensitive to assumptions regarding vaccine efficacy waning, proportion of patients with HZ developing PHN, and HZ incidence. From societal perspectives, ICERs were ¥3,854,192 (productivity loss from suffering HZ only) and ¥4,622,212 (productivity loss from suffering HZ and time required for vaccination). Overall, the results were considered robust under extensive sensitivity and scenario analyses.ConclusionVaccination against HZ with RZV is cost-effective compared with no vaccination in Japanese adults aged 65 years.

Project description:BackgroundThe newly registered adjuvanted herpes zoster subunit vaccine (HZ/su) has a higher efficacy than the available live-attenuated vaccine (ZVL). National decision-makers soon need to decide whether to introduce HZ/su or to prefer HZ/su above ZVL.MethodsUsing a Markov model with a decision tree, we conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis of vaccination with HZ/su (two doses within 2 months) or zoster vaccine live (ZVL) (single dose, or single dose with a booster after 10 years) for cohorts of 50-, 60-, 70- or 80-year-olds in the Netherlands. The model was parameterized using vaccine efficacy data from randomized clinical trials and up-to-date incidence, costs and health-related quality of life data from national datasets. We used a time horizon of 15 years, and the analysis was conducted from the societal perspective.ResultsAt a coverage of 50%, vaccination with two doses of HZ/su was estimated to prevent 4335 to 10,896 HZ cases, depending on the cohort age. In comparison, this reduction was estimated at 400-4877 for ZVL and 427-6466 for ZVL with a booster. The maximum vaccine cost per series of HZ/su to remain cost-effective to a willingness-to-pay threshold of €20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained ranged from €109.09 for 70-year-olds to €63.68 for 50-year-olds. The cost-effectiveness of ZVL changed considerably by age, with corresponding maximum vaccine cost per dose ranging from €51.37 for 60-year-olds to €0.73 for 80-year-olds. Adding a ZVL booster after 10 years would require a substantial reduction of the maximum cost per dose to remain cost-effective as compared to ZVL single dose. Sensitivity analyses on the vaccine cost demonstrated that there were scenarios in which vaccination with either HZ/su (two doses), ZVL single dose or ZVL + booster could be the most cost-effective strategy.ConclusionsA strategy with two doses of HZ/su was superior in reducing the burden of HZ as compared to a single dose or single dose + booster of ZVL. Both vaccines could potentially be cost-effective to a conventional Dutch willingness-to-pay threshold for preventive interventions. However, whether HZ/su or ZVL would be the most cost-effective alternative depends largely on the vaccine cost.

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Cost-effectiveness of the Adjuvanted Herpes Zoster Subunit Vaccine in Older Adults.

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