Dataset Information

Adjusted Indirect Comparison Using Propensity Score Matching of Osimertinib to Platinum-Based Doublet Chemotherapy in Patients with EGFRm T790M NSCLC Who Have Progressed after EGFR-TKI.

ABSTRACT:

Background and objective

An adjusted indirect comparison was conducted to assess efficacy outcomes, particularly overall survival (OS), of osimertinib versus platinum-based doublet chemotherapy in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor-mutated (EGFRm) T790M mutation-positive non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who had progressed following an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). Analysis of treatment effect from two separate trials had the potential to more accurately estimate the magnitude of OS benefit due to absence of confounding due to treatment switching from the control arm to the osimertinib arm of the ongoing randomized control trial, AURA3.

Methods

Two non-randomized individual datasets were compared: pooled patients from the AURA extension and AURA2 trials (osimertinib 80 mg, n = 405, with a confirmed T790M mutation using tissue samples), and patients from the control arm of the IMPRESS study (platinum-based doublet chemotherapy, n = 61, with a confirmed T790M mutation using plasma circulating tumour DNA [ctDNA]). A propensity score-based approach was used to account for differences in baseline demographics and disease characteristics.

Results

After adjustment for baseline differences between the two groups, osimertinib demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival (PFS) versus platinum-based doublet chemotherapy (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.278, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.188-0.409, p < 0.0001; median PFS 10.9 vs. 5.3 months). Improvements were also observed for objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) (ORR: 64.3 vs. 33.3%; odds ratio [OR] = 5.31, 95% CI 2.47-11.40, p < 0.001; DCR: 92.1 vs. 75.0%; OR = 4.72, 95% CI 1.92-11.58, p < 0.001). Similar results were obtained for patients who received osimertinib as second-line treatment only. A statistically significant improvement in OS was observed for the osimertinib group (HR = 0.412, 95% CI 0.273-0.622, p < 0.0001). Median OS for osimertinib was not reached.

Conclusions

In this indirect comparison, osimertinib showed a statistically significant improvement in efficacy outcomes versus platinum-based doublet chemotherapy in patients with EGFRm T790M NSCLC who had progressed after EGFR-TKI therapy.

SUBMITTER: Mann H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5856890 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Adjusted Indirect Comparison Using Propensity Score Matching of Osimertinib to Platinum-Based Doublet Chemotherapy in Patients with EGFRm T790M NSCLC Who Have Progressed after EGFR-TKI.

Mann Helen H Andersohn Frank F Bodnar Carolyn C Mitsudomi Tetsuya T Mok Tony S K TSK Yang James Chih-Hsin JC Hoyle Christopher C

Clinical drug investigation 20180401 4

<h4>Background and objective</h4>An adjusted indirect comparison was conducted to assess efficacy outcomes, particularly overall survival (OS), of osimertinib versus platinum-based doublet chemotherapy in patients with epidermal growth factor receptor-mutated (EGFRm) T790M mutation-positive non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) who had progressed following an EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). Analysis of treatment effect from two separate trials had the potential to more accurately estimate the ...[more]

PMID: 29247383

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Project description:BackgroundThe efficacy of osimertinib in previously EGFR-TKI-treated NSCLC without identification of T790M mutational status remains unclear in real-world practice.Patients and methods417 patients had stage III-IV NSCLC harboring EGFR mutation and 154 out of 417 patients receiving osimertinib as ≥ second-line EGFR-TKI were identified. The time to treatment failure and risk of death were analyzed.ResultsHigher risk of death was found in EGFR-mutant patients with age ≥ 65 years, non-adenocarcinoma, no surgery or radiation, non-exon 19 deletion/exon 21 L858R, higher ECOG PS (2-4), PD-L1 expression ≥ 50%, and bone/liver/adrenal metastasis (all p < 0.05). Osimertinib as ≥ second-line TKI in patients with/without identification of T790M revealed lower risk of death compared to first-line first/second generation TKI without subsequent osimertinib (p = 0.0002; 0.0232, respectively). However, osimertinib-treated patients with T790M did not have superior survival than those without (p = 0.2803). A higher risk of treatment failure for osimertinib was found in males, patients with first-line TKI duration ≤ 12 months, BMI drop > 10%, and PD-L1 expression ≥ 50% (All p < 0.05). Nonetheless, osimertinib as ≥ second-line TKI in patients without identification of 790 M did not have higher risk of treatment failure than those with T790M (p = 0.1236).ConclusionsThis study demonstrates that osimertinib as second line or subsequent TKI in EGFR-TKI-treated patients without identification of T790M revealed lower risk of death compared to first-line first/second generation TKI without subsequent osimertinib, in real-world practice. Additionally, EGFR-mutant patients with PD-L1 expression ≥ 50% had a higher risk of treatment failure for osimertinib and worse overall survival than those with PD-L1 expression < 50%. These results suggest that osimertinib as second line or subsequent TKI may be a potential alternative option for the treatment of patients without identification of T790M and PD-L1 expression ≥ 50% is associated with a significantly poor outcome in patients receiving osimertinib.

Project description:BackgroundAnchored covariate-adjusted indirect comparisons inform reimbursement decisions where there are no head-to-head trials between the treatments of interest, there is a common comparator arm shared by the studies, and there are patient-level data limitations. Matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC), based on propensity score weighting, is the most widely used covariate-adjusted indirect comparison method in health technology assessment. MAIC has poor precision and is inefficient when the effective sample size after weighting is small.MethodsA modular extension to MAIC, termed two-stage matching-adjusted indirect comparison (2SMAIC), is proposed. This uses two parametric models. One estimates the treatment assignment mechanism in the study with individual patient data (IPD), the other estimates the trial assignment mechanism. The first model produces inverse probability weights that are combined with the odds weights produced by the second model. The resulting weights seek to balance covariates between treatment arms and across studies. A simulation study provides proof-of-principle in an indirect comparison performed across two randomized trials. Nevertheless, 2SMAIC can be applied in situations where the IPD trial is observational, by including potential confounders in the treatment assignment model. The simulation study also explores the use of weight truncation in combination with MAIC for the first time.ResultsDespite enforcing randomization and knowing the true treatment assignment mechanism in the IPD trial, 2SMAIC yields improved precision and efficiency with respect to MAIC in all scenarios, while maintaining similarly low levels of bias. The two-stage approach is effective when sample sizes in the IPD trial are low, as it controls for chance imbalances in prognostic baseline covariates between study arms. It is not as effective when overlap between the trials' target populations is poor and the extremity of the weights is high. In these scenarios, truncation leads to substantial precision and efficiency gains but induces considerable bias. The combination of a two-stage approach with truncation produces the highest precision and efficiency improvements.ConclusionsTwo-stage approaches to MAIC can increase precision and efficiency with respect to the standard approach by adjusting for empirical imbalances in prognostic covariates in the IPD trial. Further modules could be incorporated for additional variance reduction or to account for missingness and non-compliance in the IPD trial.

Dataset Information

Adjusted Indirect Comparison Using Propensity Score Matching of Osimertinib to Platinum-Based Doublet Chemotherapy in Patients with EGFRm T790M NSCLC Who Have Progressed after EGFR-TKI.

Background and objective

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Adjusted Indirect Comparison Using Propensity Score Matching of Osimertinib to Platinum-Based Doublet Chemotherapy in Patients with EGFRm T790M NSCLC Who Have Progressed after EGFR-TKI.

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