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An explanation for the low proportion of tuberculosis that results from transmission between household and known social contacts.

ABSTRACT: We currently have little idea where Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission occurs in high incidence settings. Molecular studies suggest that only around 8-19% of transmission to adults occurs within-household, or between known social-contacts. This contrasts with findings from social-contact studies, which show that substantial proportions of contact time occur in households, workplaces and schools. A mathematical model of social-contact behaviour and Mtb transmission was developed, incorporating variation in susceptibility and infectiousness. Three types of contact were simulated: household, repeated (individuals outside household contacted repeatedly with daily-monthly frequency) and non-repeated. The model was parameterised using data from Cape Town, South Africa, on mean and variance in contact numbers and contact durations, by contact type, and fitted to an estimate of overdispersion in numbers of secondary cases ('superspreading') in Cape Town. Household, repeated, and non-repeated contacts contributed 36%, 13%, and 51% of contact time, and 13%, 8%, and 79% of disease, respectively. Results suggest contact saturation, exacerbated by long disease durations and superspreading, cause the high proportion of transmission between non-repeated contacts. Household and social-contact tracing is therefore unlikely to reach most tuberculosis cases. A better understanding of transmission locations, and methods to identify superspreaders, are urgently required to improve tuberculosis prevention strategies.

SUBMITTER: McCreesh N

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5876383 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An explanation for the low proportion of tuberculosis that results from transmission between household and known social contacts.

McCreesh Nicky N White Richard G RG

Scientific reports 20180329 1

We currently have little idea where Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission occurs in high incidence settings. Molecular studies suggest that only around 8-19% of transmission to adults occurs within-household, or between known social-contacts. This contrasts with findings from social-contact studies, which show that substantial proportions of contact time occur in households, workplaces and schools. A mathematical model of social-contact behaviour and Mtb transmission was developed, incor ...[more]

PMID: 29599463

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Project description:BackgroundThe End TB Strategy calls for systematic screening of selected high-risk groups including contacts of tuberculosis (TB) cases to facilitate early TB case detection. Contact investigation is not usually routinely practiced in low TB burden countries, such as Ghana, with consequent paucity of data on the yield of TB case detection from such interventions. This study's objective was to document the outcomes and feasibility of implementing contact investigation activities under programmatic conditions in Ghana.MethodsRetrospective analyses were conducted of abstracted data from the National TB Program, following a contact investigation intervention for TB cases diagnosed in 10 facilities in Accra from June 2010 to December 2014. Various proportions and yield from number of contacts needed to screen (NNS) and number needed to test (NNT) to detect a TB case were assessed.ResultsOverall, out of the 8519 listed contacts of 3267 index cases, 8166 (96%) were screened and 614 (7.5%) were identified as presumptive TB. Out of these, 438 (71%) underwent sputum smear microscopy/evaluation and 53 TB cases were diagnosed. Of these, 56.6% were males, and 49% had sputum smear-positive TB, 38% had sputum smear-negative TB, and 7% had extra-pulmonary TB. The NNS and NNT to detect a TB case of all forms were 154 and 8, respectively. The proportion of TB cases with contacts listed and proportion of contacts screened annually were 88-96% and 83-100%, respectively. The proportion of presumptive TB cases tested and proportion of TB cases diagnosed among contacts tested that were 100% and 36%, respectively, in 2010 dropped to 40% and 14%, respectively, by 2014.ConclusionsThe study demonstrates that contact identification and prioritization components of a contact investigation were feasible, but overall yield of TB cases may have been lower due to the declining rate of clinical evaluation of presumptive TB contacts over time. Addressing barriers to accessing appropriate diagnostic tests may enhance yield from contact investigation in Ghana.

Project description:BACKGROUND:The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends household contact investigation for tuberculosis (TB) in high-burden countries. However, household contacts who complete evaluation for TB during contact investigation may have difficulty accessing their test results. Use of automated short-messaging services (SMS) to deliver test results could improve TB status awareness and linkage to care. We sought to explore how household contacts experience test results delivered via SMS, and how these experiences influence follow-up intentions. METHODS:We conducted semi-structured interviews with household contacts who participated in a randomized controlled trial evaluating home sputum collection and delivery of TB results via SMS (Pan-African Clinical Trials Registry #201509000877140). We asked about feelings, beliefs, decisions, and behaviors in response to the SMS results. We analyzed the content and emerging themes in relation to the Theory of Planned Behavior. RESULTS:We interviewed and achieved thematic saturation with ten household contacts. Nine received TB-negative results and one a TB-positive result. Household contacts reported relief upon receiving SMS confirming their TB status, but also said they lacked confidence in the results delivered by SMS. Some worried that negative results were incorrect until they spoke to a lay health worker (LHW). Household contacts said their long-term intentions to request help or seek care were influenced by perceived consequences of not observing the LHW's instructions related to the SMS and follow-up procedures; beliefs about the curability of TB; anticipated support from LHWs; and perceived barriers to responding to an SMS request for further evaluation. CONCLUSION:Household contacts experienced relief when they received results. However, they were less confident about results delivered via SMS than results delivered by LHWs. Delivery of results by SMS should complement continued interaction with LHWs, not replace them.

Project description:Tuberculosis (TB) risk is highest immediately after primary infection, and young children are vulnerable to rapid and severe TB disease. Contact tracing should identify infected children rapidly and simultaneously target resources effectively. We conducted a retrospective review of the paediatric TB contact tracing results in the Hospital District of Helsinki and Uusimaa from 2012 to 2016 and identified risk factors for TB disease or infection. Altogether, 121 index cases had 526 paediatric contacts of whom 34 were diagnosed with TB disease or infection. The maximum delay until first contact investigation visit among the household contacts under 5 years of age with either TB disease or infection was 7 days. The yield for TB disease or infection was 4.6% and 12.8% for household contacts, 0.5% and 0% for contacts exposed in a congregate setting and 1.4% and 5.0% for other contacts, respectively. Contacts born in a TB endemic country (aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.10-8.57), with household exposure (aOR 2.96, 95% CI 1.33-6.58) or a sputum smear positive index case (aOR 3.96, 95% CI 1.20-13.03) were more likely to have TB disease or infection.Conclusions: Prompt TB investigations and early diagnosis can be achieved with a well-organised contact tracing structure. The risk for TB infection or disease was higher among contacts with household exposure, a sputum smear positive index case or born in a TB endemic country. Large-scale investigations among children exposed in congregate settings can result in a very low yield and should be cautiously targeted. What is Known: • Vulnerable young children are a high priority in contact tracing and should be evaluated as soon as possible after TB exposure What is New: • Prompt investigations for paediatric TB contacts and early diagnosis of infected children can be achieved with a well-organised contact tracing structure • Large-scale investigations among children exposed in congregate settings can result in a very low yield and should be cautiously targeted.

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An explanation for the low proportion of tuberculosis that results from transmission between household and known social contacts.

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An explanation for the low proportion of tuberculosis that results from transmission between household and known social contacts.

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