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ENSO-driven climate variability promotes periodic major outbreaks of dengue in Venezuela.


ABSTRACT: Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease of global impact. In Venezuela, dengue has emerged as one of the most important public health problems of urban areas with frequent epidemics since 2001. The long-term pattern of this disease has involved not only a general upward trend in cases but also a dramatic increase in the size and frequency of epidemic outbreaks. By assuming that climate variability has a relevant influence on these changes in time, we quantified the periodicity of dengue incidence in time-series of data from two northern regions of Venezuela. Disease cycles of 1 and 3-4 years (p?

SUBMITTER: Vincenti-Gonzalez MF 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5893565 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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ENSO-driven climate variability promotes periodic major outbreaks of dengue in Venezuela.

Vincenti-Gonzalez M F MF   Tami A A   Lizarazo E F EF   Grillet M E ME  

Scientific reports 20180410 1


Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease of global impact. In Venezuela, dengue has emerged as one of the most important public health problems of urban areas with frequent epidemics since 2001. The long-term pattern of this disease has involved not only a general upward trend in cases but also a dramatic increase in the size and frequency of epidemic outbreaks. By assuming that climate variability has a relevant influence on these changes in time, we quantified the periodicity of dengue inciden  ...[more]

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