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Assessment of critical exposure and outcome windows in time-to-event analysis with application to air pollution and preterm birth study.

ABSTRACT: In reproductive epidemiology, there is a growing interest to examine associations between air pollution exposure during pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth (PTB). One important research objective is to identify critical periods of exposure and estimate the associated effects at different stages of pregnancy. However, population studies have reported inconsistent findings. This may be due to limitations from the standard analytic approach of treating PTB as a binary outcome without considering time-varying exposures together over the course of pregnancy. To address this research gap, we present a Bayesian hierarchical model for conducting a comprehensive examination of gestational air pollution exposure by estimating the joint effects of weekly exposures during different vulnerable periods. Our model also treats PTB as a time-to-event outcome to address the challenge of different exposure lengths among ongoing pregnancies. The proposed model is applied to a dataset of geocoded birth records in the Atlanta metropolitan area between 1999-2005 to examine the risk of PTB associated with gestational exposure to ambient fine particulate matter [Formula: see text]m in aerodynamic diameter (PM[Formula: see text]). We find positive associations between PM[Formula: see text] exposure during early and mid-pregnancy, and evidence that associations are stronger for PTBs occurring around week 30.

SUBMITTER: Chang HH

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5963471 | biostudies-literature | 2015 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Assessment of critical exposure and outcome windows in time-to-event analysis with application to air pollution and preterm birth study.

Chang Howard H HH Warren Joshua L JL Darrow Lnydsey A LA Reich Brian J BJ Waller Lance A LA

Biostatistics (Oxford, England) 20150107 3

In reproductive epidemiology, there is a growing interest to examine associations between air pollution exposure during pregnancy and the risk of preterm birth (PTB). One important research objective is to identify critical periods of exposure and estimate the associated effects at different stages of pregnancy. However, population studies have reported inconsistent findings. This may be due to limitations from the standard analytic approach of treating PTB as a binary outcome without considerin ...[more]

PMID: 25572998

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Project description:BackgroundRecent studies have reported inconsistent associations between maternal residential green space and preterm birth (PTB, born < 37 completed gestational weeks). In addition, windows of susceptibility during pregnancy have not been explored and potential interactions of green space with air pollution exposures during pregnancy are still unclear.ObjectivesTo evaluate the relationships between green space and PTB, identify windows of susceptibility, and explore potential interactions between green space and air pollution.MethodsBirth certificate records for all births in California (2001-2008) were obtained. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) was used to characterized green space exposure. Gestational age was treated as a time-to-event outcome; Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the association between green space exposure and PTB, moderately PTB (MPTB, gestational age < 35 weeks), and very PTB (VPTB, gestational age < 30 weeks), after controlling for maternal age, race/ethnicity, education, and median household income. Month-specific green space exposure was used to identify potential windows of susceptibility. Potential interactions between green space and air pollution [fine particulate matter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and ozone (O3)] were examined on both additive and multiplicative scales.ResultsIn total, 3,753,799 eligible births were identified, including 341,123 (9.09%) PTBs, 124,631 (3.32%) MPTBs, and 22,313 (0.59%) VPTBs. A reduced risk of PTB was associated with increases in residential NDVI exposure in 250 m, 500 m, 1000 m, and 2000 m buffers. In the 2000 m buffer, the association was strongest for VPTB [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) per interquartile range increase in NDVI: 0.959, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.942-0.976)], followed by MPTB (HR = 0.970, 95% CI: 0.962-0.978) and overall PTB (HR = 0.972, 95% CI: 0.966-0.978). For PTB, green space during the 3rd - 5th gestational months had stronger associations than those in the other time periods, especially during the 4th gestational month (NDVI 2000 m: HR = 0.970, 95% CI: 0.965-0.975). We identified consistent positive additive and multiplicative interactions between decreasing green space and higher air pollution.ConclusionThis large study found that maternal exposure to residential green space was associated with decreased risk of PTB, MPTB, and VPTB, especially in the second trimester. There is a synergistic effect between low green space and high air pollution levels on PTB, indicating that increasing exposure to green space may be more beneficial for women with higher air pollution exposures during pregnancy.

Dataset Information

Assessment of critical exposure and outcome windows in time-to-event analysis with application to air pollution and preterm birth study.

Publications

Assessment of critical exposure and outcome windows in time-to-event analysis with application to air pollution and preterm birth study.

Similar Datasets

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