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Development and validation of an MRI-based model to predict response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:To safely implement organ preserving treatment strategies for patients with rectal cancer, well-considered selection of patients with favourable response is needed. In this study, we develop and validate an MRI-based response predicting model. METHODS:A multivariate model using T2-volumetric and DWI parameters before and 6?weeks after chemoradiation (CRT) was developed using a cohort of 85 rectal cancer patients and validated in an external cohort of 55 patients that underwent preoperative CRT. RESULTS:Twenty-two patients (26%) achieved ypT0-1N0 response in the development cohort versus 13 patients (24%) in the validation cohort. Two T2-volumetric parameters (?Volume% and Sphere_post) and two DWI parameters (ADC_avg_post and ADCratio_avg) were retained in a model predicting (near-)complete response (ypT0-1N0). In the development cohort, this model had a good predictive performance (AUC?=?0.89; 95% CI 0.80-0.98). Validation of the model in an external cohort resulted in a similar performance (AUC?=?0.88 95% CI 0.79-0.98). CONCLUSION:An MRI-based prediction model of (near-)complete pathological response following CRT in rectal cancer patients, shows a high predictive performance in an external validation cohort. The clinically relevant features in the model make it an interesting tool for implementation of organ-preserving strategies in rectal cancer.

SUBMITTER: Bulens P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5990635 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Development and validation of an MRI-based model to predict response to chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer.

Bulens Philippe P   Couwenberg Alice A   Haustermans Karin K   Debucquoy Annelies A   Vandecaveye Vincent V   Philippens Marielle M   Zhou Mu M   Gevaert Olivier O   Intven Martijn M  

Radiotherapy and oncology : journal of the European Society for Therapeutic Radiology and Oncology 20180131 3


<h4>Background and purpose</h4>To safely implement organ preserving treatment strategies for patients with rectal cancer, well-considered selection of patients with favourable response is needed. In this study, we develop and validate an MRI-based response predicting model.<h4>Methods</h4>A multivariate model using T2-volumetric and DWI parameters before and 6 weeks after chemoradiation (CRT) was developed using a cohort of 85 rectal cancer patients and validated in an external cohort of 55 pati  ...[more]

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