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Long terms trends in CD4+ cell counts, CD8+ cell counts, and the CD4+?: ?CD8+ ratio.


ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:Model trajectories of CD4+ and CD8+ cell counts after starting combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) and use the model to predict trends in these counts and the CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio. DESIGN:Cohort study of antiretroviral-naïve HIV-positive adults who started ART after 1997 (ART Cohort Collaboration) with more than 6 months of follow-up data. METHODS:We jointly estimated CD4+ and CD8+ cell count trends and their correlation using a bivariate random effects model, with linear splines describing their population trends, and predicted the CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio trend from this model. We assessed whether CD4+ and CD8+ cell count trends and the CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio trend varied according to CD4+ cell count at start of ART (baseline), and, whether these trends differed in patients with and without virological failure more than 6 months after starting ART. RESULTS:A total of 39?979 patients were included (median follow-up was 53 months). Among patients with baseline CD4+ cell count at least 50 cells/?l, predicted mean CD8+ cell counts continued to decrease between 3 and 15 years post-ART, partly driving increases in the predicted mean CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio. During 15 years of follow-up, normalization of the predicted mean CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio (to >1) was only observed among patients with baseline CD4+ cell count at least 200 cells/?l. A higher baseline CD4+ cell count predicted a shorter time to normalization. CONCLUSION:Declines in CD8+ cell count and increases in CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio occurred up to 15 years after starting ART. The likelihood of normalization of the CD4+?:?CD8+ ratio is strongly related to baseline CD4+ cell count.

SUBMITTER: Hughes RA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5991182 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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<h4>Objective</h4>Model trajectories of CD4+ and CD8+ cell counts after starting combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) and use the model to predict trends in these counts and the CD4+ : CD8+ ratio.<h4>Design</h4>Cohort study of antiretroviral-naïve HIV-positive adults who started ART after 1997 (ART Cohort Collaboration) with more than 6 months of follow-up data.<h4>Methods</h4>We jointly estimated CD4+ and CD8+ cell count trends and their correlation using a bivariate random effects model, w  ...[more]

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