Dataset Information

Estimating the number of UK stroke patients eligible for endovascular thrombectomy.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Endovascular thrombectomy is a highly effective treatment for acute ischemic stroke due to large arterial occlusion. Routine provision will require major changes in service configuration and workforce. An important first step is to quantify the population of stroke patients that could benefit. We estimated the annual UK population suitable for endovascular thrombectomy using standard or advanced imaging for patient selection.

Patients and methods

Evidence from randomised control trials and national registries was combined to estimate UK stroke incidence and define a decision-tree describing the endovascular thrombectomy eligible population.

Results

Between 9620 and 10,920 UK stroke patients (approximately 10% of stroke admissions) would be eligible for endovascular thrombectomy annually. The majority (9140-9620) would present within 4 h of onset and be suitable for intravenous thrombolysis. Advanced imaging would exclude 500 patients presenting within 4 h, but identify an additional 1310 patients as eligible who present later.

Discussion

Information from randomised control trials and large registry data provided the evidence criterion for 9 of the 12 decision points. The best available evidence was used for two decision points with sensitivity analyses to determine how key branches of the tree affected estimates. Using the mid-point estimate for eligibility (9.6% of admissions) and assuming national endovascular thrombectomy coverage, 4280 patients would have reduced disability.

Conclusion

A model combining published trials and register data suggests approximately 10% of all stroke admissions in the UK are eligible for endovascular thrombectomy. The use of advanced imaging based on current published evidence did not have a major impact on overall numbers but could alter eligibility status for 16% of cases.

SUBMITTER: McMeekin P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC5992738 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:BackgroundEndovascular thrombectomy (EVT) has been proven effective in anterior circulation stroke due to large vessel occlusion (LVO). However, translation from randomized clinical trials (RCTs) with highly selected patients to real-world requires confirmation, particularly to identify associations outside of strict selection criteria.AimsThis study aims to compare functional outcomes after EVT in real-world with those reported in RCTs, and to identify associations with functional outcome after EVT outside RCT-criteria.MethodsThis study analyzed longitudinal German real-world data from the Stroke Research Consortium in Northern Bavaria (STAMINA) cohort from January, 2015 to June, 2019. We conducted a trial emulation, comparing patients with anterior circulation stroke and LVO meeting selection criteria for RCTs investigating EVT (1) predominantly within 6 hours with those from HERMES meta-analysis, and (2) within 6-24 hours with those from AURORA meta-analysis. We (3) analyzed treatment effects of EVT and association with functional outcome in patients treated outside RCT criteria.ResultsOf 598 patients, 281 (47.0%) met RCT-criteria for treatment within 6 hours (hereinafter STAMINA-HERMES), 74 (12.4%) met RCT-criteria for treatment within 6-24 hours (STAMINA-AURORA), and 277 (46.3%) patients received EVT outside RCT-criteria. We observed no difference in rates of functional independence or mortality, comparing STAMINA-HERMES with HERMES meta-analysis (mRS 0-1: n=120/281 [43%] vs. 291/633 [46%], p=0.36; mortality: n=34/281 [12%] vs. 97/633 [15%], p=0.20), and STAMINA-AURORA with AURORA meta-analysis (mRS 0-1: n=26/74 [35%] vs. 122/266 [46%], p=0.10, mortality: n=10/74 [14%] vs. 45/266 [17%], p=0.48). Patients treated outside RCT-criteria had worse outcome (mRS 0-1: n=38/277 [14%], mortality: n=90/277 [32%], both p<0.001); possibly driven by pre-existing functional dependence (n=172/277 [62%]). Compared to matched controls, EVT outside of RCT-criteria was associated with lower mortality (absolute treatment effect: -14%, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] -23 to -5, p<0.01), but not with recovery to functional independence or premorbid functional status (treatment effect: 4%, CI -4 to 11, p=0.34), which was associated with lower NIHSS (Odds ratio [OR] 0.86, CI 0.80-0.92, p<0.001) and age (OR 0.95, CI 0.93-0.98, p=0.002).ConclusionsTranslation of EVT outcomes reported in RCTs into real-world is possible, however, almost half of patients did not meet trial criteria. Identification of patients who functionally benefit from frequently performed EVT outside RCT-criteria requires further investigation.Trial registrationClinicaltrials.gov, NCT04357899.

Project description:BackgroundTimely endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) significantly improves outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) with large vessel occlusion type. However, whether certain central nervous system-specific plasma biomarkers correlate with the outcomes is unknown. We evaluated the temporal changes and prognostic roles of the levels of these biomarkers in patients with AIS undergoing EVT.MethodsWe enrolled 60 patients who received EVT for AIS and 14 controls. The levels of plasma biomarkers, namely neurofilament light chain (NfL), glial fibrillary astrocytic protein (GFAP), tau, and ubiquitin C-terminal hydrolase L1 (UCHL1), were measured with an ultrasensitive single molecule array before, immediately after, and 24 h after EVT (T1, T2, and T3, respectively). The outcomes of interest were death or disability at 90 days (defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 3-6) and types of hemorrhagic transformation (hemorrhagic infarction or parenchymal hemorrhage).ResultsOf the 180 blood samples from the 60 patients who received EVT, the plasma NfL, GFAP, and UCHL1 levels at T1 were significantly higher than those of the controls, and the levels of all four biomarkers were significantly higher at T3. Patients with parenchymal hemorrhage had a significantly higher rate of increase in GFAP (Pinteraction = 0.005) and UCHL1 (Pinteraction = 0.007) levels compared with those without parenchymal hemorrhage. In a multivariable analysis with adjustment for age, sex, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale score, history of atrial fibrillation, and recanalization status, higher NfL levels at T1 (odds ratio [OR] 2.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-4.08), T2 (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.05-4.01), and T3 (OR, 3.94; 95% CI, 1.44-10.79) were independent predictors of death or disability at 90 days.ConclusionAmong patients with AIS who received EVT, those with hemorrhagic transformation exhibited significant increase in plasma GFAP and UCHL1 levels over time. Higher plasma NfL were predictive of unfavorable functional outcomes.

Project description:ImportanceRandomized clinical trials have demonstrated the efficacy and safety of endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarct. Patients older than 80 years with large infarct are commonly encountered in clinical practice but underrepresented in randomized clinical trials.ObjectiveTo provide an age-based analysis of functional outcomes in endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic strokes with large infarct.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective multicenter cohort study included patients from the German Stroke Registry who received endovascular thrombectomy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarct at 1 of 25 German stroke centers between May 2015 and December 2021. Patients with acute ischemic stroke due to anterior circulation large vessel occlusion and large infarct were included. Large infarct was defined as an Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score of 0 to 5. Patients were subdivided by age to evaluate its association with functional outcomes.ExposureAge.Main outcomes and measuresPrimary outcomes were independent ambulation (90-day modified Rankin Scale score of 0-3) and mortality (90-day modified Rankin Scale score of 6).ResultsA total of 408 patients with large infarct were included (217 women [53.2%]; median [IQR] age, 75 [64-83] years). The rate of independent ambulation decreased from 56.4% in patients aged 60 years and younger (44 of 78 patients) to 15.1% in patients older than 80 years (19 of 126 patients) (P < .001), while mortality increased from 15.4% (12 patients) to 64.3% (81 patients) (P < .001). Being older than 80 years was associated with lower rates of independent ambulation (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.44; 95% CI, 0.23-0.82; P = .01) and higher mortality (aOR, 2.75; 95% CI, 1.61-4.72; P < .001). A final modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction grade of 2b or 3 was associated with higher rates of independent ambulation (aOR, 4.95; 95% CI, 2.14-11.43; P < .001), independent of age and without significant interaction (aOR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.35-1.34; P = .27).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study of patients with acute ischemic stroke and large infarct, age was associated with functional outcomes. Patients older than 80 years had poor prognosis with high mortality but with sizeable differences depending on additional baseline and treatment characteristics. While it does not seem justified to apply a fixed upper age limit for endovascular thrombectomy, these results could assist clinicians in making informed treatment decisions in older patients with large ischemic stroke.

Project description:Purpose: Carbon ion radiotherapy (CIRT) is an emerging radiotherapy modality with potential advantages over conventional photon-based therapy, including exhibiting a Bragg peak and greater relative biological effectiveness, leading to a higher degree of cell kill. Currently, 13 centers are treating with CIRT, although there are no centers in the United States. We aimed to estimate the number of patients eligible for a CIRT center in the United States.Materials and methods: Using the National Cancer Database, we analyzed the incidence of cancers frequently treated with CIRT internationally (glioblastoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, cholangiocarcinoma, locally advanced pancreatic cancer, non-small cell lung cancer, localized prostate cancer, soft tissue sarcomas, and specific head and neck cancers) diagnosed in the United States in 2015. The percentage and number of patients likely benefiting from CIRT was estimated with inclusion criteria from clinical trials and retrospective studies, and that ratio was applied to 2019 cancer statistics. An adaption correction rate was applied to estimate the potential number of patients treated with CIRT. Given the high dependency on prostate and lung cancers and the uncertain adoption of CIRT in those diseases, the data were then reanalyzed excluding those diagnoses.Results: Of the 1?127?455 new cases of cancer diagnosed in the United States in 2015, there were 213?073 patients (18.9%) eligible for treatment with CIRT based on inclusion criteria. When applying this rate and the adaption correction rate to the 2019 incidence data, an estimated 89?946 patients (42.2% of those fitting inclusion criteria) are eligible for CIRT. Excluding prostate and lung cancers, there were an estimated 8922 patients (10% of those eligible for CIRT) eligible for CIRT. The number of patients eligible for CIRT is estimated to increase by 25% to 27.7% by 2025.Conclusion: Our analysis suggests a need for CIRT in the United States in 2019, with the number of patients possibly eligible to receive CIRT expected to increase during the coming 5 to 10 years.