Spatio-temporal modelling of weekly malaria incidence in children under 5 for early epidemic detection in Mozambique.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Colborn KL
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6006329 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Spatio-temporal modelling of weekly malaria incidence in children under 5 for early epidemic detection in Mozambique.
Colborn Kathryn L KL Giorgi Emanuele E Monaghan Andrew J AJ Gudo Eduardo E Candrinho Baltazar B Marrufo Tatiana J TJ Colborn James M JM
Scientific reports 20180618 1
Malaria is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Mozambique. We present a malaria early warning system (MEWS) for Mozambique informed by seven years of weekly case reports of malaria in children under 5 years of age from 142 districts. A spatio-temporal model was developed based on explanatory climatic variables to map exceedance probabilities, defined as the predictive probability that the relative risk of malaria incidence in a given district for a particular week will exceed a predefine ...[more]
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