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Prognostic Utility of Initial Lactate in Patients With Acute Drug Overdose: A Validation Cohort.

ABSTRACT: STUDY OBJECTIVE:Previous studies have suggested that the initial emergency department (ED) lactate concentration may be an important prognostic indicator for inhospital mortality from acute drug poisoning. We conduct this cohort study to formally validate the prognostic utility of the initial lactate concentration in a larger, distinct patient population with acute drug overdose. METHODS:This observational, prospective, cohort study was conducted during 5 years at 2 urban teaching hospitals. Consecutive adult ED patients with acute drug overdose had serum lactate levels tested as part of clinical care. The primary outcome was inpatient fatality. Receiver operating characteristics were plotted to determine optimal cut points, test characteristics, area under the curve, odds ratios, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS:Of 3,739 patients screened, 1,406 were analyzed (56% women; mean age 43.1 years) and 24 died (1.7%). The difference in mean initial lactate concentration was 5.9 mmol/L (95% CI 3.4 to 8.1 mmol/L) higher in patients who died compared with survivors. The area under the curve for prediction of fatality was 0.85 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.95). The optimal lactate cut point for fatality was greater than or equal to 5.0 (odds ratio 34.2; 95% CI 13.7 to 84.2; 94.7% specificity). Drug classes for which lactate had the highest utility were salicylates, sympathomimetics, acetaminophen, and opioids (all area under the curve ?0.97); lowest utility was for diuretics and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. CONCLUSION:Initial lactate concentration is a useful biomarker for early clinical decisionmaking in ED patients with acute drug overdose. Studies of lactate-tailored management for these patient populations are warranted.

SUBMITTER: Cheung R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6014898 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prognostic Utility of Initial Lactate in Patients With Acute Drug Overdose: A Validation Cohort.

Cheung Randy R Hoffman Robert S RS Vlahov David D Manini Alex F AF

Annals of emergency medicine 20180406 1

<h4>Study objective</h4>Previous studies have suggested that the initial emergency department (ED) lactate concentration may be an important prognostic indicator for inhospital mortality from acute drug poisoning. We conduct this cohort study to formally validate the prognostic utility of the initial lactate concentration in a larger, distinct patient population with acute drug overdose.<h4>Methods</h4>This observational, prospective, cohort study was conducted during 5 years at 2 urban teaching ...[more]

PMID: 29628190

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Project description:Background: Drug overdoses (fatal and non-fatal) are among the leading causes of death in population with substance use disorders. The aim of the current study was to identify risk factors for fatal and non-fatal drug overdose for predominantly opioid-dependent treatment-seeking population. Methods: Data were collected from 640 adult patients using a self-reported 25-item Overdose Risk (OdRi) questionnaire pertaining to drug use and identified related domains. The exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was primarily used to improve the interpretability of this questionnaire. Two sets of EFA were conducted; in the first set of analysis, all items were included, while in the second set, items related to the experience of overdose were removed. Logistic regression was used for the assessment of latent factors' association with both fatal and non-fatal overdoses. Results: EFA suggested a three-factor solution accounting for 75 and 97% of the variance for items treated in the first and second sets of analysis, respectively. Factor 1 was common for both sets of EFA analysis, containing six items (Cronbach's α = 0.70) focusing around "illicit drug use and lack of treatment." In the first set of analysis, Factors 2 (Cronbach's α = 0.60) and 3 (Cronbach's α = 0.34) were focusing around "mental health and emotional trauma" and "chronic drug use and frequent overdose" domains, respectively. The increase of Factor 2 was found to be a risk factor for fatal drug overdose (adjusted coefficient = 1.94, p = 0.038). In the second set of analysis, Factors 2 (Cronbach's α = 0.65) and 3 (Cronbach's α = 0.59) as well as Factor 1 were found to be risk factors for non-fatal drug overdose ever occurring. Only Factors 1 and 3 were positively associated with non-fatal overdose (one in a past year). Conclusion: The OdRi tool developed here could be helpful for clinical studies for the overdose risk assessment. However, integrating validated tools for mental health can probably help refining the accuracy of latent variables and the questionnaire's consistency. Mental health and life stress appear as important predictors of both fatal and non-fatal overdoses.

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Prognostic Utility of Initial Lactate in Patients With Acute Drug Overdose: A Validation Cohort.

Publications

Prognostic Utility of Initial Lactate in Patients With Acute Drug Overdose: A Validation Cohort.

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