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Predicting Intracerebral Hemorrhage Expansion With Noncontrast Computed Tomography: The BAT Score.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE:Although the computed tomographic angiography spot sign performs well as a biomarker for hematoma expansion (HE), computed tomographic angiography is not routinely performed in the emergency setting. We developed and validated a score to predict HE-based on noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) findings in spontaneous acute intracerebral hemorrhage. METHODS:After developing the score in a single-center cohort of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (n=344), we validated it in a large clinical trial population (n=954) and in a multicenter intracerebral hemorrhage cohort (n=241). The following NCCT markers of HE were analyzed: hypodensities, blend sign, hematoma shape and density, and fluid level. HE was defined as hematoma growth >6 mL or >33%. The score was created using the estimates from multivariable logistic regression after final predictors were selected from bootstrap samples. RESULTS:Presence of blend sign (odds ratio, 3.09; 95% confidence interval [CI],1.49-6.40; P=0.002), any intrahematoma hypodensity (odds ratio, 4.54; 95% CI, 2.44-8.43; P<0.0001), and time from onset to NCCT <2.5 hours (odds ratio, 3.73; 95% CI, 1.86-7.51; P=0.0002) were predictors of HE. A 5-point score was created (BAT score: 1 point for blend sign, 2 points for any hypodensity, and 2 points for timing of NCCT <2.5 hours). The c statistic was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.70-0.83) in the development population, 0.65 (95% CI 0.61-0.68) and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.64-0.77) in the 2 validation cohorts. A dichotomized score (BAT score ?3) predicted HE with 0.50 sensitivity and 0.89 specificity. CONCLUSIONS:An easy to use 5-point prediction score can identify subjects at high risk of HE with good specificity and accuracy. This tool requires just a baseline NCCT scan and may help select patients with intracerebral hemorrhage for antiexpansion clinical trials.

SUBMITTER: Morotti A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6034631 | biostudies-literature | 2018 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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<h4>Background and purpose</h4>Although the computed tomographic angiography spot sign performs well as a biomarker for hematoma expansion (HE), computed tomographic angiography is not routinely performed in the emergency setting. We developed and validated a score to predict HE-based on noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) findings in spontaneous acute intracerebral hemorrhage.<h4>Methods</h4>After developing the score in a single-center cohort of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (n=344  ...[more]

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