Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Turco M
PROVIDER: S-EPMC6045620 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Skilful forecasting of global fire activity using seasonal climate predictions.
Turco Marco M Jerez Sonia S Doblas-Reyes Francisco J FJ AghaKouchak Amir A Llasat Maria Carmen MC Provenzale Antonello A
Nature communications 20180713 1
Societal exposure to large fires has been increasing in recent years. Estimating the expected fire activity a few months in advance would allow reducing environmental and socio-economic impacts through short-term adaptation and response to climate variability and change. However, seasonal prediction of climate-driven fires is still in its infancy. Here, we discuss a strategy for seasonally forecasting burned area anomalies linking seasonal climate predictions with parsimonious empirical climate- ...[more]
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