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Opposite outcomes of coinfection at individual and population scales.

ABSTRACT: Coinfecting parasites and pathogens remain a leading challenge for global public health due to their consequences for individual-level infection risk and disease progression. However, a clear understanding of the population-level consequences of coinfection is lacking. Here, we constructed a model that includes three individual-level effects of coinfection: mortality, fecundity, and transmission. We used the model to investigate how these individual-level consequences of coinfection scale up to produce population-level infection patterns. To parameterize this model, we conducted a 4-y cohort study in African buffalo to estimate the individual-level effects of coinfection with two bacterial pathogens, bovine tuberculosis (bTB) and brucellosis, across a range of demographic and environmental contexts. At the individual level, our empirical results identified bTB as a risk factor for acquiring brucellosis, but we found no association between brucellosis and the risk of acquiring bTB. Both infections were associated with reductions in survival and neither infection was associated with reductions in fecundity. The model reproduced coinfection patterns in the data and predicted opposite impacts of coinfection at individual and population scales: Whereas bTB facilitated brucellosis infection at the individual level, our model predicted the presence of brucellosis to have a strong negative impact on bTB at the population level. In modeled populations where brucellosis was present, the endemic prevalence and basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) of bTB were lower than in populations without brucellosis. Therefore, these results provide a data-driven example of competition between coinfecting pathogens that occurs when one pathogen facilitates secondary infections at the individual level.

SUBMITTER: Gorsich EE

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6055155 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Opposite outcomes of coinfection at individual and population scales.

Gorsich Erin E EE Etienne Rampal S RS Medlock Jan J Beechler Brianna R BR Spaan Johannie M JM Spaan Robert S RS Ezenwa Vanessa O VO Jolles Anna E AE

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 20180702 29

Coinfecting parasites and pathogens remain a leading challenge for global public health due to their consequences for individual-level infection risk and disease progression. However, a clear understanding of the population-level consequences of coinfection is lacking. Here, we constructed a model that includes three individual-level effects of coinfection: mortality, fecundity, and transmission. We used the model to investigate how these individual-level consequences of coinfection scale up to ...[more]

PMID: 29967175

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Project description:Redondoviridae is a newly established family of circular Rep-encoding single-stranded (CRESS) DNA viruses found in the human ororespiratory tract. Redondoviruses were previously found in ∼15% of respiratory specimens from U.S. urban subjects; levels were elevated in individuals with periodontitis or critical illness. Here, we report higher redondovirus prevalence in saliva samples: four rural African populations showed 61 to 82% prevalence, and an urban U.S. population showed 32% prevalence. Longitudinal, limiting-dilution single-genome sequencing revealed diverse strains of both redondovirus species (Brisavirus and Vientovirus) in single individuals, persistence over time, and evidence of intergenomic recombination. Computational analysis of viral genomes identified a recombination hot spot associated with a conserved potential DNA stem-loop structure. To assess the possible role of this site in recombination, we carried out in vitro studies which showed that this potential stem-loop was cleaved by the virus-encoded Rep protein. In addition, in reconstructed reactions, a Rep-DNA covalent intermediate was shown to mediate DNA strand transfer at this site. Thus, redondoviruses are highly prevalent in humans, found in individuals on multiple continents, heterogeneous even within individuals and encode a Rep protein implicated in facilitating recombination. IMPORTANCE Redondoviridae is a recently established family of DNA viruses predominantly found in the human respiratory tract and associated with multiple clinical conditions. In this study, we found high redondovirus prevalence in saliva from urban North American individuals and nonindustrialized African populations in Botswana, Cameroon, Ethiopia, and Tanzania. Individuals on both continents harbored both known redondovirus species. Global prevalence of both species suggests that redondoviruses have long been associated with humans but have remained undetected until recently due to their divergent genomes. By sequencing single redondovirus genomes in longitudinally sampled humans, we found that redondoviruses persisted over time within subjects and likely evolve by recombination. The Rep protein encoded by redondoviruses catalyzes multiple reactions in vitro, consistent with a role in mediating DNA replication and recombination. In summary, we identify high redondovirus prevalence in humans across multiple continents, longitudinal heterogeneity and persistence, and potential mechanisms of redondovirus evolution by recombination.

Project description:BackgroundOlder adults with atrial fibrillation (AF) have multiple risk factors for disablement. Long-term function and the contribution of strokes to disability have not been previously characterized. Our objective was to determine long-term function among older adults with AF and the relative contribution of stroke.MethodsWe used data from the nationally representative Health and Retirement Study (1992-2014) with participants ≥65 years with incident AF. We examined the association of incident stroke with three outcomes: independence with activities of daily living (ADL), instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), and residence outside a nursing home (community-dwelling). We fit logistic regression models with repeated measures adjusting for comorbidities and demographics to estimate the effect of stroke on function. We estimated the contribution of strokes to the overall population burden of disability using the method of recycled predictions.ResultsAmong 3530 participants (median age 79 years, 53% women), 262 had a stroke over 17,396 person-years. Independent of stroke and accounting for comorbidities, annually, ADL independence decreased by 4.4%, IADL independence decreased by 3.9%, and community dwelling decreased by 1.2% (p < 0.05 for all). Accounting for comorbidities, of those who experienced a stroke, 31.9% developed new ADL dependence, 26.5% developed new IADL dependence, and 8.6% newly moved to a nursing home (p < 0.05 for all). Considering all causes of function loss, 1.7% of ADL disability-years, 1.2% of IADL disability-years, and 7.3% of nursing home years could be attributed to stroke over 7.4 years.ConclusionOlder adults lose substantial function over time following AF diagnosis, independent of stroke. Stroke was associated with a significant functional decline and increase in the likelihood of nursing home move, but stroke did not accelerate subsequent disability accrual. Because of the high background rate of disability, stroke was not the dominant determinant of population-level disability in older adults with AF.

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Opposite outcomes of coinfection at individual and population scales.

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Opposite outcomes of coinfection at individual and population scales.

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