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A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region.


ABSTRACT: The Malaria Frontier Hypothesis (MFH) is the current model for predicting malaria emergence in the Brazilian Amazon. It has two important dimensions, 'settlement time' and 'malaria incidence', and its prediction are: malaria incidence peaks five years after the initiation of human settlement and declines towards zero after an estimated 10 years. Although MFH is currently accepted, it has been challenged recently. Herein, we described a novel method for estimating settlement timeline by using remote sensing technology integrated in an open-software geographic information system. Surprisingly, we found that of the majority of the rural settlements with high malaria incidence are more than 10 years old.

SUBMITTER: Ilacqua RC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6055538 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A method for estimating the deforestation timeline in rural settlements in a scenario of malaria transmission in frontier expansion in the Amazon Region.

Ilacqua Roberto Cardoso RC   Chaves Leonardo Suveges Moreira LSM   Bergo Eduardo Sterlino ES   Conn Jan E JE   Sallum Maria Anice Mubeb MAM   Laporta Gabriel Zorello GZ  

Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz 20180723 9


The Malaria Frontier Hypothesis (MFH) is the current model for predicting malaria emergence in the Brazilian Amazon. It has two important dimensions, 'settlement time' and 'malaria incidence', and its prediction are: malaria incidence peaks five years after the initiation of human settlement and declines towards zero after an estimated 10 years. Although MFH is currently accepted, it has been challenged recently. Herein, we described a novel method for estimating settlement timeline by using rem  ...[more]

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