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Hierarchical rupture growth evidenced by the initial seismic waveforms.

ABSTRACT: The ability to predict the eventual size of an earthquake during its early growth stage is a crucial component of earthquake early warning systems. Recent studies have revealed that the onsets of small and large earthquakes are variable but statistically indistinguishable. However, it is unknown whether small and large earthquakes can share the same processes at the same location. Here we show clear evidence of almost identical growth processes shared by repeating earthquakes of various sizes that have occurred in the Naka region, eastern Japan. Our results indicate that a large earthquake is a failure with a large characteristic spatial scale that is initially triggered by a failure with a small characteristic scale, which may also occur independently controlled by subtle differences in the physical conditions, suggesting the existence of a hierarchical structure on the plate interface. Earthquakes are random, but they may also be controlled by such structures.

SUBMITTER: Okuda T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6137102 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Hierarchical rupture growth evidenced by the initial seismic waveforms.

Okuda Takashi T Ide Satoshi S

Nature communications 20180913 1

The ability to predict the eventual size of an earthquake during its early growth stage is a crucial component of earthquake early warning systems. Recent studies have revealed that the onsets of small and large earthquakes are variable but statistically indistinguishable. However, it is unknown whether small and large earthquakes can share the same processes at the same location. Here we show clear evidence of almost identical growth processes shared by repeating earthquakes of various sizes th ...[more]

PMID: 30213931

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Project description:Using the specific satellite line of sight geometry and station location with respect to the source, Thomas et al. [Scientific Reports, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-30476-9] developed a method to infer the detection altitude of co-seismic ionospheric perturbations observed in Global Positioning System (GPS) - Total Electron Content (TEC) measurements during the Mw 7.4 March 9, 2011 Sanriku-Oki earthquake, a foreshock of the Mw 9.0, March 11, 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. Therefore, in addition to the spatio-temporal evolution, the altitude information of the seismically induced ionospheric signatures can also be derived now using GPS-TEC technique. However, this method considered a point source, in terms of a small rupture area (~90?km) during the Tohoku foreshock, for the generation of seismo-acoustic waves in 3D space and time. In this article, we explore further efficacy of GPS-TEC technique during co-seismic ionospheric sounding for an extended seismic source varying simultaneously in space and time akin to the rupture of Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki mainshock and the limitations to be aware of in such context. With the successful execution of the method by Thomas et al. during the Tohoku-Oki mainshock, we not only estimate the detection altitude of GPS-TEC derived co-seismic ionospheric signatures but also delineate, for the first time, distinct ground seismic sources responsible for the generation of these perturbations, which evolved during the initial 60?seconds of the rupture. Simulated tsunami water excitation over the fault region, to envisage the evolution of crustal deformation in space and time along the rupture, formed the base for our model analysis. Further, the simulated water displacement assists our proposed novel approach to delineate the ground seismic sources entirely based on the ensuing ionospheric perturbations which were otherwise not well reproduced by the ground rupture process within this stipulated time. Despite providing the novel information on the segmentation of the Tohoku-Oki seismic source based on the co-seismic ionospheric response to the initial 60?seconds of the event, our model could not reproduce precise rupture kinematics over this period. This shortcoming is also credited to the specific GPS satellite-station viewing geometries.

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Hierarchical rupture growth evidenced by the initial seismic waveforms.

Publications

Hierarchical rupture growth evidenced by the initial seismic waveforms.

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