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Frailty as a predictor of mortality and hospital services use in older adults: a cluster analysis in a cohort study.

ABSTRACT: Background:Lowering mortality and hospitalization of older adults is one of the main goals of public health to improve both health systems' sustainability and older adults' quality of life. The aim of this study is to identify the determinants associated with mortality and the use of hospital services in the population older than 64 years of age. Methods:A randomized sample from the population of the Lazio region (Italy) above the age of 64 was enrolled in 2014 by the administration of a questionnaire to assess frailty; the rates of use of hospital services and mortality in the year following the enrolment have been retrieved by the regional database. Univariable and multivariable analyses addressed the association of health status, social and economic variables with health outcomes. Results:One thousand two hundred and eighty persons were recruited; 52 deaths were reported at 1 year of follow-up (robust 1.8%, frail 10.1% and very frail 19.1%, P < 0.001). The mean rate of use of hospital services was 692.2 per 1000 observation/year (robust 589.5, frail 1191.1 and very frail 848.4, P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the higher rate of use of hospital services was independently associated with functional status, social support, psychological/psychiatric discomfort, availability of home care services and physical health. Conclusions:Frailty, as a multidimensional issue, is also a strong predictor of survival in the short term. The use of the hospital services by older adults is associated mainly with functional status, social resources, psycho-physical status and health service organization factors.

SUBMITTER: Gilardi F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6148968 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Frailty as a mortality predictor in older adults with COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.

Project description:The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which has caused the coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, continues to spread rapidly worldwide and is associated with high rates of mortality among older adults, those with comorbidities, and those in poor physiological states. This paper aimed to systematically identify the impact of frailty on overall mortality among older adults with COVID-19. We conducted a systematic review of the literature indexed in 4 databases. A random-effects model with inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis using the odds ratio was used to study the association of frailty levels with clinical outcomes among older adults with COVID-19. Heterogeneity was measured using the I2 statistic and Egger's test. We identified 22 studies that met our inclusion criteria, including 924,520 total patients. Overall, frailty among older adults was associated with high rates of COVID-19-related mortality compared with non-frail older adults (OR [odds ratio]:5.76; 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 3.85-8.61, I2: 40.5%). Our results show that physical limitations, such as those associated with frailty among older adults, are associated with higher rates of COVID-19-related mortality.

| S-EPMC8196304 | biostudies-literature

Frailty as a predictor of mortality: a comparative cohort study of older adults in Costa Rica and the United States.

Project description:BackgroundFrailty is a common condition among older adults that results from aging-related declines in multiple systems. Frailty increases older adults' vulnerability to negative health outcomes, including loss of mobility, falls, hospitalizations, and mortality. The aim of this study is to examine the association between frailty and mortality in older adults from Costa Rica and the United States.MethodsThis prospective cohort study uses secondary nationally-representative data of community-dwelling older adults from the Costa Rican Longevity and Healthy Aging Study (CRELES, n = 1,790) and the National Health & Aging Trends Study (NHATS, n = 6,680). Frailty status was assessed using Physical Frailty Phenotype, which includes the following five criteria: shrinking, exhaustion, low physical activity, muscle weakness, and slow gait. We used Cox proportional hazard models to examine the association between frailty and all-cause mortality, including sociodemographic characteristics and health behaviors as covariates in the models. Mortality follow-up time was right censored at 8 years from the date at baseline interview.ResultsThe death hazard for frail compared to non-frail older adults was three-fold in Costa Rica (HR = 3.14, 95% CI: 2.13-4.62) and four-fold in the White US (HR = 4.02, 95% CI: 3.04-5.32). Older age, being male, and smoking increased mortality risk in both countries. High education was a protective factor in the US, whereas being married/in union was a protective factor in Costa Rica. In the US, White older adults had a lower risk of death compared to all other races and ethnicities.ConclusionsResults indicate that frailty can have a differential impact on mortality depending on the country. Access to universal health care across the life course in Costa Rica and higher levels of stress and social isolation in the US may explain differences observed in end-of-life trajectories among frail older adults.

| S-EPMC10563325 | biostudies-literature

Frailty as a predictor of mortality in older adults within 5?years of psychiatric admission.

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| S-EPMC7317407 | biostudies-literature

Combined use of two frailty tools in predicting mortality in older adults.

Project description:We aimed to verify the combined use of two frailty tools in predicting mortality in older adults. We used the data of 10,276 Japanese older adults (aged ≥ 65 years) who provided valid responses to two frailty assessment tools in a mail survey in Japan's Kyoto‒Kameoka Prospective cohort study. Frailty status was categorized into four groups depending on the validated frailty screening index and Kihon Checklist, respectively: Non-frailty (n = 5960), Physical frailty (n = 223), Comprehensive frailty (n = 2211), and Combination (n = 1882) groups. Mortality data were collected between July 30, 2011, and November 30, 2016. We assessed the relationship between frailty status and all-cause mortality risk using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. During a median follow-up of 5.3 years, we recorded 1257 deaths. After adjusting for confounders, the Combination group had the highest mortality risk compared with the other groups [Non-frailty: reference; Physical frailty: hazards ratio [HR], 0.99 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58 to 1.70); Comprehensive frailty: 1.91 (1.63 to 2.23); Combination: 2.85 (2.44 to 3.22)]. People who are positive for frailty in both instruments have a higher risk of death than those who are positive to one model.

| S-EPMC9440890 | biostudies-literature

Hospital Complications and Frailty in Mexican Older Adults: An Emergency Care Cohort Analysis.

Project description:Objectives: To describe the association of frailty level on admittance to the Emergency Department (ED) with various hospital complications including delirium, low phase angle, and low handgrip strength. Design: Prospective cohort. Setting: ED rooms of two public general hospitals in Mexico City. Participants: A total of 548 persons 60 years or older who were admitted to the ED and who were alive during follow-up testing at home were included. Measurements: A 32-item frailty index (FI) was measured on admission to the ED. Outcome measures included delirium, phase angle, and hand grip strength measured during different stages of the hospitalization (i.e., from admission to the ED through to follow-up at home). Results: From this final sample, mean age was 76 years (± SD 7.2) and 58.4% (n = 320) were women. Mean waiting time in the ED was 5.1 h (± SD 6.2), the average stay in the ED was 99.9 (±68.2) h, and 274 subjects (50%) were admitted to a general ward after ED admission. FI was not associated with phase angle and was negatively associated with handgrip strength at admission to ED (β = -3.97, confidence interval [CI] 95% -5.56 -2.38, p < 0.001), discharge from ED (β = -3.94, CI 95% -5.97 -1.90, p < 0.001), and discharge from hospital (β = -4.93, CI 95% -7.68 -2.18, p = 0.01). FI was positively associated with delirium (β = 3.68, CI 95% 1.53-5.83, p < 0.01). Conclusion: Higher frailty at ED admission was associated with lower hand grip strength and delirium during hospitalization in Mexican older adults.

| S-EPMC7550456 | biostudies-literature

Physiological Dysregulation, Frailty, and Risk of Mortality Among Older Adults.

Project description:This study examines whether frailty is associated with mortality independently of physiological dysregulation (PD) and, if so, which is the more accurate predictor of survival. Data come from the Social Environment and Biomarkers of Aging Study. We use Cox proportional hazard models to test the associations between PD, frailty, and 4- to 5-year survival. We use Harrell's concordance index to compare predictive accuracy of the models. Both PD and frailty are significantly, positively, and independently correlated with mortality: Worse PD scores and being frail are associated with a higher risk of dying. The overall PD score is a more accurate predictor of survival than frailty, although model prediction improves when both measures are included. PD and frailty independently predict mortality, suggesting that the two measures may be capturing different aspects of the same construct and that both may be important for identifying individuals at risk for adverse health outcomes.

| S-EPMC5507735 | biostudies-literature

Frailty as a Predictor of Adverse Outcomes among Spanish Community-Dwelling Older Adults.

Project description:Spain is one of the European countries with the oldest populations. The prevalence of frailty among Spanish older people ranges from 8.4 to 29.4% and currently, is one of the most relevant public health challenges. The Tilburg Frailty indicator (TFI) has been widely used in the community and in healthcare settings for assessing frailty. The objective of this study is to evaluate the predictive performance of the TFI for several adverse outcomes among Spanish community-dwelling older adults. The predictive performance was tested through linear regression analyses and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. A total of 552 Spanish older adults composed the study sample. Participants were assessed at baseline and after 6 months. Main results showed that frailty was strongly and significantly correlated with disability, physical health, mental health and falls efficacy. The TFI score predicted most of these adverse outcomes. The ROC analyses confirmed the acceptable predictive performance of the total frailty. This study provides new evidence confirming that the TFI is a valid tool to predict several adverse outcomes in Spanish older adults, which may allow professionals to plan and activate health and social care resources to support frail patients' needs.

| S-EPMC9566344 | biostudies-literature

Role of Cardio-Renal Dysfunction, Inflammation Markers, and Frailty on In-Hospital Mortality in Older COVID-19 Patients: A Cluster Analysis.

Project description:Our study aimed to identify clusters of hospitalized older COVID-19 patients according to their main comorbidities and routine laboratory parameters to evaluate their association with in-hospital mortality. We performed an observational study on 485 hospitalized older COVID-19 adults (aged 80+ years). Patients were aggregated in clusters by a K-medians cluster analysis. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Medical history and laboratory parameters were collected on admission. Frailty, defined by the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), referred to the two weeks before hospitalization and was used as a covariate. The median age was 87 (83-91) years, with a female prevalence (59.2%). Three different clusters were identified: cluster 1 (337), cluster 2 (118), and cluster 3 (30). In-hospital mortality was 28.5%, increasing from cluster 1 to cluster 3: cluster 1 = 21.1%, cluster 2 = 40.7%, and cluster 3 = 63.3% (p < 0.001). The risk for in-hospital mortality was higher in clusters 2 [HR 1.96 (95% CI: 1.28-3.01)] and 3 [HR 2.87 (95% CI: 1.62-5.07)] compared to cluster 1, even after adjusting for age, sex, and frailty. Patients in cluster 3 were older and had a higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation, higher admission NT-proBNP and C-reactive protein levels, higher prevalence of concurrent bacterial infections, and lower estimated glomerular filtration rates. The addition of CFS significantly improved the predictive ability of the clusters for in-hospital mortality. Our cluster analysis on older COVID-19 patients provides a characterization of those subjects at higher risk for in-hospital mortality, highlighting the role played by cardio-renal impairment, higher inflammation markers, and frailty, often simultaneously present in the same patient.

| S-EPMC10525261 | biostudies-literature

Frailty, multimorbidity patterns and mortality in institutionalized older adults in Italy.

Project description:BackgroundLittle is known on how frailty influences clinical outcomes in persons with specific multimorbidity patterns.AimsTo investigate the interplay between multimorbidity and frailty in the association with mortality in older individuals living in nursing homes (NH).MethodsWe considered 4,131 NH residents aged 60 years and over, assessed through the interRAI LTCF instrument between 2014 and 2018. Follow-up was until 2019. Considering four multimorbidity patterns identified via principal component analysis, subjects were stratified in tertiles (T) with respect to their loading values. Frailty Index (FI) considered 23 variables and a cut-off of 0.24 distinguished between high and low frailty levels. For each pattern, all possible combinations of tertiles and FI were evaluated. Their association (Hazard Ratio [HR] and 95% confidence interval) with mortality was tested in Cox regression models.ResultsIn the heart diseases and dementia and sensory impairments patterns, the hazard of death increases progressively with patterns expression and frailty severity (being HR T3 vs. T1 = 2.36 [2.01-2.78]; HR T3 vs. T1 = 2.12 [1.83-2.47], respectively). In heart, respiratory and psychiatric diseases and diabetes, musculoskeletal and vascular diseases patterns, frailty seems to have a stronger impact on mortality than patterns' expression.DiscussionFrailty increases mortality risk in all the patterns and provides additional prognostic information in NH residents with different multimorbidity patterns.ConclusionsThese findings support the need to routinely assess frailty. Older people affected by specific groups of chronic diseases need a specific care approach and have high risk of negative health outcomes.

| S-EPMC9562060 | biostudies-literature

Relationship between multimorbidity, disease cluster and all-cause mortality among older adults: a retrospective cohort analysis.

Project description:BackgroundPrevious studies have evaluated the association of multimorbidity with higher mortality, but epidemiologic data on the association between the disease clusters and all-cause mortality risk are rare. We aimed to examine the relationship between multimorbidity (number/ cluster) and all-cause mortality in Chinese older adults.MethodsWe conducted a population-based study of 50,100 Chinese participants. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to estimate the impact of long-term conditions (LTCs) on all-cause mortality.ResultsThe prevalence of multimorbidity was 31.35% and all-cause mortality was 8.01% (50,100 participants). In adjusted models, the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause mortality risk for those with 1, 2, and ≥ 3 LTCs compared with those with no LTCs was 1.45 (1.32-1.59), 1.72 (1.55-1.90), and 2.15 (1.85-2.50), respectively (Ptrend < 0.001). In the LTCs ≥2 category, the cluster of chronic diseases that included hypertension, diabetes, CHD, COPD, and stroke had the greatest impact on mortality. In the stratified model by age and sex, absolute all-cause mortality was higher among the ≥75 age group with an increasing number of LTCs. However, the relative effect size of the increasing number of LTCs on higher mortality risk was larger among those < 75 years.ConclusionsThe risk of all-cause mortality is increased with the number of multimorbidity among Chinese older adults, particularly disease clusters.

| S-EPMC8180153 | biostudies-literature

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