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Quantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communities.


ABSTRACT: Changing climate will impact species' ranges only when environmental variability directly impacts the demography of local populations. However, measurement of demographic responses to climate change has largely been limited to single species and locations. Here we show that amphibian communities are responsive to climatic variability, using >500,000 time-series observations for 81 species across 86 North American study areas. The effect of climate on local colonization and persistence probabilities varies among eco-regions and depends on local climate, species life-histories, and taxonomic classification. We found that local species richness is most sensitive to changes in water availability during breeding and changes in winter conditions. Based on the relationships we measure, recent changes in climate cannot explain why local species richness of North American amphibians has rapidly declined. However, changing climate does explain why some populations are declining faster than others. Our results provide important insights into how amphibians respond to climate and a general framework for measuring climate impacts on species richness.

SUBMITTER: Miller DAW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6156563 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Quantifying climate sensitivity and climate-driven change in North American amphibian communities.

Miller David A W DAW   Grant Evan H Campbell EHC   Muths Erin E   Amburgey Staci M SM   Adams Michael J MJ   Joseph Maxwell B MB   Waddle J Hardin JH   Johnson Pieter T J PTJ   Ryan Maureen E ME   Schmidt Benedikt R BR   Calhoun Daniel L DL   Davis Courtney L CL   Fisher Robert N RN   Green David M DM   Hossack Blake R BR   Rittenhouse Tracy A G TAG   Walls Susan C SC   Bailey Larissa L LL   Cruickshank Sam S SS   Fellers Gary M GM   Gorman Thomas A TA   Haas Carola A CA   Hughson Ward W   Pilliod David S DS   Price Steven J SJ   Ray Andrew M AM   Sadinski Walt W   Saenz Daniel D   Barichivich William J WJ   Brand Adrianne A   Brehme Cheryl S CS   Dagit Rosi R   Delaney Katy S KS   Glorioso Brad M BM   Kats Lee B LB   Kleeman Patrick M PM   Pearl Christopher A CA   Rochester Carlton J CJ   Riley Seth P D SPD   Roth Mark M   Sigafus Brent H BH  

Nature communications 20180925 1


Changing climate will impact species' ranges only when environmental variability directly impacts the demography of local populations. However, measurement of demographic responses to climate change has largely been limited to single species and locations. Here we show that amphibian communities are responsive to climatic variability, using >500,000 time-series observations for 81 species across 86 North American study areas. The effect of climate on local colonization and persistence probabilit  ...[more]

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