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Rare single gene disorders: estimating baseline prevalence and outcomes worldwide.

ABSTRACT: As child mortality rates overall are decreasing, non-communicable conditions, such as genetic disorders, constitute an increasing proportion of child mortality, morbidity and disability. To date, policy and public health programmes have focused on common genetic disorders. Rare single gene disorders are an important source of morbidity and premature mortality for affected families. When considered collectively, they account for an important public health burden, which is frequently under-recognised. To document the collective frequency and health burden of rare single gene disorders, it is necessary to aggregate them into large manageable groupings and take account of their family implications, effective interventions and service needs. Here, we present an approach to estimate the burden of these conditions up to 5 years of age in settings without empirical data. This approaches uses population-level demographic data, combined with assumptions based on empirical data from settings with data available, to provide population-level estimates which programmes and policy-makers when planning services can use.

SUBMITTER: Blencowe H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6167259 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Rare single gene disorders: estimating baseline prevalence and outcomes worldwide.

Blencowe Hannah H Moorthie Sowmiya S Petrou Mary M Hamamy Hanan H Povey Sue S Bittles Alan A Gibbons Stephen S Darlison Matthew M Modell Bernadette B

Journal of community genetics 20180814 4

As child mortality rates overall are decreasing, non-communicable conditions, such as genetic disorders, constitute an increasing proportion of child mortality, morbidity and disability. To date, policy and public health programmes have focused on common genetic disorders. Rare single gene disorders are an important source of morbidity and premature mortality for affected families. When considered collectively, they account for an important public health burden, which is frequently under-recogni ...[more]

PMID: 30109643

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Project description:IntroductionDetermining the epidemiology of disease is critical for multiple reasons, including to perform risk assessment, compare disease rates in varying populations, support diagnostic decisions, evaluate health care needs and disease burden, and determine the economic benefit of treatment. However, establishing epidemiological measures for rare diseases can be difficult owing to small patient populations, variable diagnostic techniques, and potential disease and diagnostic heterogeneity. To determine the epidemiology of rare diseases, investigators often develop estimation models to account for missing or unobtainable data, and to ensure that their findings are representative of their desired patient population.MethodsA modeling methodology to estimate the prevalence of rare diseases in one such population-patients with long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders (LC-FAOD)-as an illustrative example of its applicability.ResultsThe proposed model begins with reliable source data from newborn screening reports and applies to them key modifiers. These modifiers include changes in population growth over time and variable standardization rates of LC-FAOD screening that lead to (1) a confirmed diagnosis and (2) improvements in standards of care and survival estimates relative to the general population. The model also makes necessary assumptions to allow the broad applicability of the estimation of LC-FAOD prevalence, including rates of diagnosed versus undiagnosed patients in the USA over time.ConclusionsAlthough each rare disease is unique, the approach described here and demonstrated in the estimation of LC-FAOD prevalence provides the necessary tools to calculate key epidemiological estimates useful in performing risk assessment analyses; comparing disease rates between different subgroups of people; supporting diagnostic decisions; planning health care needs; comparing disease burden, including cost; and determining the economic benefit of treatment.

Dataset Information

Rare single gene disorders: estimating baseline prevalence and outcomes worldwide.

Publications

Rare single gene disorders: estimating baseline prevalence and outcomes worldwide.

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