Dataset Information

Use of structural equation models to predict dengue illness phenotype.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Early recognition of dengue, particularly patients at risk for plasma leakage, is important to clinical management. The objective of this study was to build predictive models for dengue, dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) using structural equation modelling (SEM), a statistical method that evaluates mechanistic pathways.

Methods/findings

We performed SEM using data from 257 Thai children enrolled within 72 h of febrile illness onset, 156 with dengue and 101 with non-dengue febrile illnesses. Models for dengue, DHF, and DSS were developed based on data obtained three and one day(s) prior to fever resolution (fever days -3 and -1, respectively). Models were validated using data from 897 subjects who were not used for model development. Predictors for dengue and DSS included age, tourniquet test, aspartate aminotransferase, and white blood cell, % lymphocytes, and platelet counts. Predictors for DHF included age, aspartate aminotransferase, hematocrit, tourniquet test, and white blood cell and platelet counts. The models showed good predictive performances in the validation set, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) at fever day -3 of 0.84, 0.67, and 0.70 for prediction of dengue, DHF, and DSS, respectively. Predictive performance was comparable using data based on the timing relative to enrollment or illness onset, and improved closer to the critical phase (AUC 0.73 to 0.94, 0.61 to 0.93, and 0.70 to 0.96 for dengue, DHF, and DSS, respectively).

Conclusions

Predictive models developed using SEM have potential use in guiding clinical management of suspected dengue prior to the critical phase of illness.

SUBMITTER: Park S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6181434 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Use of structural equation models to predict dengue illness phenotype.

Park Sangshin S Srikiatkhachorn Anon A Kalayanarooj Siripen S Macareo Louis L Green Sharone S Friedman Jennifer F JF Rothman Alan L AL

PLoS neglected tropical diseases 20181001 10

<h4>Background</h4>Early recognition of dengue, particularly patients at risk for plasma leakage, is important to clinical management. The objective of this study was to build predictive models for dengue, dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) using structural equation modelling (SEM), a statistical method that evaluates mechanistic pathways.<h4>Methods/findings</h4>We performed SEM using data from 257 Thai children enrolled within 72 h of febrile illness onset, 156 wit ...[more]

PMID: 30273334

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Project description:MotivationWith the exponential growth of expression and protein-protein interaction (PPI) data, the identification of functional modules in PPI networks that show striking changes in molecular activity or phenotypic signatures becomes of particular interest to reveal process-specific information that is correlated with cellular or disease states. This requires both the identification of network nodes with reliability scores and the availability of an efficient technique to locate the network regions with the highest scores. In the literature, a number of heuristic methods have been suggested. We propose SEMtree(), a set of tree-based structure discovery algorithms, combining graph and statistically interpretable parameters together with a user-friendly R package based on structural equation models framework.ResultsCondition-specific changes from differential expression and gene-gene co-expression are recovered with statistical testing of node, directed edge, and directed path difference between groups. In the end, from a list of seed (i.e. disease) genes or gene P-values, the perturbed modules with undirected edges are generated with five state-of-the-art active subnetwork detection methods. The latter are supplied to causal additive trees based on Chu-Liu-Edmonds' algorithm (Chow and Liu, Approximating discrete probability distributions with dependence trees. IEEE Trans Inform Theory 1968;14:462-7) in SEMtree() to be converted in directed trees. This conversion allows to compare the methods in terms of directed active subnetworks. We applied SEMtree() to both Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) RNA-seq dataset (GEO accession: GSE172114) and simulated datasets with various differential expression patterns. Compared to existing methods, SEMtree() is able to capture biologically relevant subnetworks with simple visualization of directed paths, good perturbation extraction, and classifier performance.Availability and implementationSEMtree() function is implemented in the R package SEMgraph, easily available at https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=SEMgraph.

Project description:BackgroundPathway enrichment analysis is extensively used in high-throughput experimental studies to gain insight into the functional roles of pre-defined subsets of genes, proteins and metabolites. Methods that leverages information on the topology of the underlying pathways outperform simpler methods that only consider pathway membership, leading to improved performance. Among all the proposed software tools, there's the need to combine high statistical power together with a user-friendly framework, making it difficult to choose the best method for a particular experimental environment.ResultsWe propose SEMgsa, a topology-based algorithm developed into the framework of structural equation models. SEMgsa combine the SEM p values regarding node-specific group effect estimates in terms of activation or inhibition, after statistically controlling biological relations among genes within pathways. We used SEMgsa to identify biologically relevant results in a Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) RNA-seq dataset (GEO accession: GSE172114) together with a frontotemporal dementia (FTD) DNA methylation dataset (GEO accession: GSE53740) and compared its performance with some existing methods. SEMgsa is highly sensitive to the pathways designed for the specific disease, showing low p values ([Formula: see text]) and ranking in high positions, outperforming existing software tools. Three pathway dysregulation mechanisms were used to generate simulated expression data and evaluate the performance of methods in terms of type I error followed by their statistical power. Simulation results confirm best overall performance of SEMgsa.ConclusionsSEMgsa is a novel yet powerful method for identifying enrichment with regard to gene expression data. It takes into account topological information and exploits pathway perturbation statistics to reveal biological information. SEMgsa is implemented in the R package SEMgraph, easily available at https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=SEMgraph .

Dataset Information

Use of structural equation models to predict dengue illness phenotype.

Background

Methods/findings

Conclusions

Publications

Use of structural equation models to predict dengue illness phenotype.

Similar Datasets

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