Dataset Information

Contemporary update of overall prognosis and nomogram to predict individualized survival for Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The prognosis of Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma (SC) has not been updated for >3 decades. The prognostic predictors are multifactorial, and there is no validated prognostic model for eyelid SC.

Methods

This study included 238 consecutive patients with eyelid SC. All eligible patients were followed up for metastasis and mortality. The predictors of tumor-related survival were explored by Cox analyses. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated using bootstrap resampling. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were compared between the nomogram and the Tumor, Node, Metastasis (TNM) staging system.

Findings

After a median follow-up period of 55.5?months, 27 (11.3%) patients died of metastatic SC, with a median survival time of 48.0?months. The 5-year and 10-year tumor-related survival rates were 88.1% and 77.9%, respectively. Orbital involvement (HR: 3.11, p?=?.022), the greatest tumor basal diameter (HR: 1.06, p =?.003), the presence of pagetoid spread (HR: 2.90, p?=?.017), and having lymph node metastasis at initial diagnosis (HR: 13.66, p?InterpretationThe prognosis of Chinese patients with eyelid SC has improved over the last 3 decades, and it is comparable to that of patients from other countries. This nomogram provides more accurate individualized estimates of survival for eyelid SC patients and may guide clinicians in their therapeutic decisions.

SUBMITTER: Zhou C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6197575 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Contemporary update of overall prognosis and nomogram to predict individualized survival for Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma.

Zhou Chuandi C Shi Yingyun Y Chai Peiwei P Wu Fan F Xia Wenwen W He Xiaoyu X Shi Yue Y Huang Hengye H Jia Renbing R Fan Xianqun X

EBioMedicine 20180917

<h4>Background</h4>The prognosis of Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma (SC) has not been updated for >3 decades. The prognostic predictors are multifactorial, and there is no validated prognostic model for eyelid SC.<h4>Methods</h4>This study included 238 consecutive patients with eyelid SC. All eligible patients were followed up for metastasis and mortality. The predictors of tumor-related survival were explored by Cox analyses. A prognostic nomogram was developed and validated us ...[more]

PMID: 30236450

Similar Datasets

Project description:Background Increasing evidence indicates that the pathology and the modified Kadish system have some influence on the prognosis of esthesioneuroblastoma (ENB). However, an accurate system to combine pathology with a modified Kadish system has not been established. Methods This study aimed to set up and evaluate a model to predict overall survival (OS) accurately in ENB, including clinical characteristics, treatment and pathological variables. We screened the information of patients with ENB between January 1, 1976, and December 30, 2016 from the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program as a training cohort. The validation cohort consisted of patients with ENB at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center and The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University in the same period, and 87 patients were included. The Pearson’s chi-squared test was used to assess significance of clinicopathological and demographic characteristics. We used the Cox proportional hazards model to examine univariate and multivariate analyses. The model coefficients were used to calculate the Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Prognostic factors with a p-value < 0.05 in multivariate analysis were included in the nomogram. The concordance index (c-index) and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram. Results The c-index of training cohort and validation cohort are 0.737 (95% CI, 0.709 to 0.765) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.767 to 0.815) respectively. The calibration curves revealed a good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation regarding the probability of 3-year and 5-year survival. We used a nomogram to calculate the 3-year and 5-year growth probability and stratified patients into three risk groups. Conclusions The nomogram provided the risk group information and identified mortality risk and can serve as a reference for designing a reasonable follow-up plan.

Project description:PurposeLocal recurrence predicts dismal prognosis in eyelid sebaceous carcinoma (SC). Recurrence predictors vary across studies. Accurate recurrence estimation is essential for individualized therapy in eyelid SC. This study aims to identify recurrence predictors and develop a nomogram for personalized prediction in eyelid SC.MethodsWe conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study. Chart reviews were performed in 418 consecutive patients with eyelid SC. All patients were followed up after their initial surgery. Multivariate Cox regression was used to explore the independent predictors of recurrence. A nomogram for recurrence prediction was developed and validated with bootstrap resampling. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability were compared with the Tumor, Node, Metastasis (TNM) staging system.ResultsOver a median of 60-month follow-up, 167 patients (40%) had local recurrence. The median time from diagnosis to recurrence was 14 months. The 1-year cumulative recurrence rate was 18%. Diagnostic delay (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.00-1.01, P = 0.001), orbital involvement (HR = 4.47, 95% CI = 3.04-6.58, P < 0.001), Ki67 (HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 1.00-1.02, P = 0.008) and initial surgery of Mohs micrographic surgery with intraoperative frozen section control (HR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.35-0.80, P = 0.003) were independent influencing factors of recurrence. A nomogram integrating these four factors combined with pagetoid spread displayed satisfactory discriminative ability (C-index = 0.80-0.83; area under the curve [AUC] = 0.82-0.84), which compared favorably than TNM staging (all P < 0.05).ConclusionsThe recurrence rate is high in eyelid SC. Early detection and primary resection with Mohs micrographic surgery are recommended in controlling recurrence. Patients with orbital involvement, high Ki67 expression, and pagetoid spread may require adjuvant measures. This nomogram offers more accurate recurrence estimates, aiding in therapeutic decision making.

Project description:PurposeEyelid sebaceous carcinoma (SeC) is the third most frequent eyelid malignancy worldwide and is relatively prevalent in Asian patients. An eyelid SeC cell line model is necessary for experimental research to explore the etiology and pathogenesis of eyelid SeC. This study established and characterized an eyelid SeC cell line with a TP53 mutation that might be useful for analyzing potential treatment options for eyelid SeC.MethodsThe eyelid SeC cell line SHNPH-SeC was obtained from a patient with eyelid SeC at Shanghai Ninth People's Hospital (SHNPH), Shanghai JiaoTong University School of Medicine. Immunofluorescence staining was employed to detect the origination and proliferation activity. Short tandem repeat (STR) profiling was performed for verification. Chromosome analysis was implemented to investigate chromosome aberrations. Whole exome sequencing (WES) was used to discover genomic mutations. Cell proliferation assays were performed to identify sensitivity to mitomycin-C (MMC) and 5-fluorouracil (5-FU).ResultsSHNPH-SeC cells were successively subcultured for more than 100 passages and demonstrated rapid proliferation and migration. Karyotype analysis revealed abundant chromosome aberrations, and WES revealed SeC-related mutations in TP53, KMT2C, and ERBB2. An in vivo tumor model was successfully established in NOD/SCID mice. Biomarkers of eyelid SeC, including cytokeratin 5 (CK5), epithelial membrane antigen (EMA), adipophilin, p53, and Ki-67, were detected in SHNPH-SeC cells, original tumors, and xenografts. MMC and 5-FU inhibited the proliferation and migration of SHNPH-SeC cells, and SHNPH-SeC cells presented a greater drug response than non-TP53-mutated SeC cells.ConclusionsThe newly established eyelid SeC cell line SHNPH-SeC demonstrates mutation in TP53, the most commonly mutated gene in SeC. It presents SeC properties and malignant characteristics that may facilitate the investigation of cellular behaviors and molecular mechanisms of SeC to explore promising therapeutic strategies.

Dataset Information

Contemporary update of overall prognosis and nomogram to predict individualized survival for Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma.

Background

Methods

Findings

Publications

Contemporary update of overall prognosis and nomogram to predict individualized survival for Chinese patients with eyelid sebaceous carcinoma.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets