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Importance of family history of diabetes in computing a diabetes risk score in Korean prediabetic population.

ABSTRACT: Prediabetic subjects represent a vulnerable population, requiring special care to reduce the risk of diabetes onset. We developed and validated a diabetes risk score for prediabetic subjects using the Korea National Diabetes Program (KNDP) cohort. Subjects included in the multicenter and prospective cohort (n?=?1162) had high diabetes risk at baseline (2005) and were followed until 2012. Survival analysis was performed to analyze the prospective cohort over time, and the bootstrap method was used to validate our model. We confirmed our findings in an external cohort. A diabetes risk score was calculated and the cut-off defined using a receiver operating characteristic curve. Age, body mass index, total cholesterol, and family history of diabetes were associated with diabetes. The model performed well after correction for optimism (Cadj?=?0.735). A risk score was defined with a cut-off of ?5 that maximized sensitivity (72%) and specificity (62%), with an area under the curve of 0.73. Prediabetic subjects with a family history of diabetes had a higher probability of diabetes (risk score?=?5) irrespective of other variables; this result was confirmed in the external cohort. Hence, prediabetic subjects with a family history of diabetes have a higher probability of developing diabetes, regardless of other clinical factors.

SUBMITTER: Ustulin M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6206127 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Importance of family history of diabetes in computing a diabetes risk score in Korean prediabetic population.

Ustulin Morena M Rhee Sang Youl SY Chon Suk S Ahn Kyu Keung KK Lim Ji Eun JE Oh Bermseok B Kim Sung-Hoon SH Baik Sei Hyun SH Park Yongsoo Y Nam Moon Suk MS Lee Kwan Woo KW Kim Young Seol YS Woo Jeong-Taek JT

Scientific reports 20181029 1

Prediabetic subjects represent a vulnerable population, requiring special care to reduce the risk of diabetes onset. We developed and validated a diabetes risk score for prediabetic subjects using the Korea National Diabetes Program (KNDP) cohort. Subjects included in the multicenter and prospective cohort (n = 1162) had high diabetes risk at baseline (2005) and were followed until 2012. Survival analysis was performed to analyze the prospective cohort over time, and the bootstrap method was use ...[more]

PMID: 30374195

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Project description:Hypertension is regarded as a multifactorial disease with a modest contribution of genetic factors and strongly affected by environmental factors. Recent genome-wide association studies have identified specific loci associated with high blood pressure (BP) and hypertension. This study aimed to examine the association between the genetic risk score (GRS), a linear function of multiple single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with hypertension, and high BP and prevalent hypertension at baseline examination and to evaluate the efficacy of the GRS for predicting incident hypertension with longitudinal data in Korean subjects. Data for 8,556 participants, aged 40 to 69, in a community-based cohort study were analyzed. Unweighted GRS (cGRS) and weighted GRS (wGRS) were constructed from 4 SNPs related to high BP or hypertension in previous genome-wide association and its replication studies for the Korean middle-aged population. Cross-sectional analysis (n=8,556) revealed that cGRS was significantly associated with prevalent hypertension (odds ratio=1.15 per risk allele; 95%CI, 1.09-1.20). Additionally, the odds ratios (ORs) of prevalent hypertension for those who in medium and the highest tertile compared with those who in the lowest tertile of wGRS were 1.31 (95% CI, 1.15-1.50) and 1.59 (95%CI, 1.38-1.82), respectively. In a longitudinal analysis (n=5,632), participants in the highest tertile of wGRS had a 1.22-fold (OR=1.22, 95%CI, 1.02‒1.46) greater risk of incident hypertension relative to those in the lowest tertile, after adjusting for a number of confounding factors. However, wGRS topped with traditional risk factors had no significant effect on discrimination ability (c-statistics with and without wGRS were 0.811 and 0.810, P=0.1057). But, reclassification analysis showed that the addition of GRS to the model with conventional risk factors led to about 9% significant increment in category-free net reclassification improvement. GRSs based on 4 SNPs were independently associated with hypertension and may provide a statistically significant improvement over the existing model for prediction of incident hypertension.

Project description:Background and objectivesEvidence suggests that either family history or polygenic risk score (PRS) is associated with developing Parkinson disease (PD). However, little is known about the longitudinal prognosis of PD according to family history and higher PRS.MethodsFrom the Parkinson's Progression Markers Initiative database, 395 patients with PD who followed up for more than 2 years were grouped into those with family history within first-degree, second-degree, and third-degree relatives (N = 127 [32.2%]) vs those without (N = 268 [67.8%]). The PRS of 386 patients was computed using whole-genome sequencing data. Longitudinal assessment of motor, cognition, and imaging based on dopaminergic degeneration was conducted during the regular follow-up period. Effects of family history, PRS, or both on longitudinal changes of cognition, motor severity, and nigrostriatal degeneration were tested using a linear mixed model. The risk of freezing of gait (FOG) according to family history was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox regression models.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 9.1 years, PD with positive family history showed a slower decline of caudate dopamine transporter uptake (β estimate of family history × time = 0.02, 95% CI = 0.002-0.036, p = 0.027). Family history of PD and higher PRS were independently associated with a slower decline of Montreal Cognitive Assessment (β estimate of family history × time = 0.12, 95% CI = 0.02-0.22, p = 0.017; β estimate of PRS × time = 0.09, 95% CI = 0.03-0.16, p = 0.006). In those 364 patients without FOG at baseline, PD with positive family history had a lower risk of FOG (hazard ratio of family history = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.38-0.84, p = 0.005).DiscussionHaving a family history of PD predicts slower progression of cognitive decline and caudate dopaminergic degeneration, and less FOG compared with those without a family history independent of PRS. Taken together, information on family history could be used as a proxy for the clinical heterogeneity of PD.Trial registration informationThe study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01141023), and the enrollment began June 1, 2010.

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Importance of family history of diabetes in computing a diabetes risk score in Korean prediabetic population.

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Importance of family history of diabetes in computing a diabetes risk score in Korean prediabetic population.

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