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Identifying atypical change at the individual level from childhood to adolescence.

ABSTRACT: Identifying change at the individual level is an important goal for researchers, educators, and clinicians. We present a set of statistical procedures for identifying individuals who depart from a normative change. Using Latent Change Scores models (LCS), we illustrate how the Individual Likelihood computed from a statistical model for change (IL) and from an alternative unrestricted model (ILsat) can be used to identify atypical trajectories in situations with several measurement occasions. Using LCS and linear regression, we also show how the observed and latent change residuals can be used to identify atypical individual change between 2 measurement occasions. We apply these methods to a measure of general verbal ability (from WISC-R), from a large sample of individuals assessed every 2 years from Grade 1 to 9. We demonstrate the efficiency of these techniques, illustrate their use to identify individual change in longitudinal data, and discuss potential applications in developmental research. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2018 APA, all rights reserved).

SUBMITTER: Estrada E

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6209116 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Identifying atypical change at the individual level from childhood to adolescence.

Estrada Eduardo E Ferrer Emilio E Shaywitz Bennett A BA Holahan John M JM Shaywitz Sally E SE

Developmental psychology 20181101 11

Identifying change at the individual level is an important goal for researchers, educators, and clinicians. We present a set of statistical procedures for identifying individuals who depart from a normative change. Using Latent Change Scores models (LCS), we illustrate how the Individual Likelihood computed from a statistical model for change (IL) and from an alternative unrestricted model (ILsat) can be used to identify atypical trajectories in situations with several measurement occasions. Usi ...[more]

PMID: 30359051

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Project description:ImportancePeople with anorexia nervosa often experience difficulties regulating their emotions. There is no longitudinal evidence as to whether these differences are already present in childhood or when they begin to emerge.ObjectiveTo investigate the association between emotion regulation trajectories from 3 to 7 years of age and symptoms of anorexia nervosa and atypical anorexia nervosa in adolescence.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study included all children with complete exposure data in the Millennium Cohort Study, a UK general population birth cohort. Data were acquired from June 2001 to March 2016 and analyzed from June to November 2020.ExposuresMothers reported on their children's emotion regulation skills at 3, 5, and 7 years of age using the Children's Social Behavior Questionnaire. Multilevel models were used to derive early childhood emotion regulation scores (ie, predicted intercept) and within-child changes in emotion regulation scores from 3 to 7 years of age (ie, predicted slope).Main outcome and measuresSymptoms consistent with a DSM-5 diagnosis of anorexia nervosa or atypical anorexia nervosa at 14 years of age, defined using a range of questions relative to body image, weight perception, and dieting behaviors (hereinafter referred to as broad anorexia nervosa). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models tested the association between exposures and outcome. Regression models were adjusted for child and family sociodemographic and socioeconomic characteristics and mental health difficulties, prenatal and perinatal factors, child's cognitive development, and maternal attachment.ResultsA total of 15 896 participants (85.7% of total sample; 51.0% boys; 84.5% White individuals) had complete data on the exposure and were included in the main analyses. Among those with complete exposure and outcome data (9912 of the analytical sample [62.4%]), 97 participants (1.0%; 86 [88.7%] girls and 85 [87.6%] White individuals) had symptoms consistent with a diagnosis of broad anorexia nervosa at 14 years of age. No evidence suggested that children with lower emotion regulation ability at 3 years of age had greater odds of later reporting symptoms of broad anorexia nervosa (odds ratio [OR], 1.21; 95% CI, 0.91-1.63). However, children whose emotion regulation skills did not improve over childhood and who had greater problems regulating emotions at 7 years of age had higher odds of having broad anorexia nervosa at 14 years of age (OR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.16-1.83).Conclusions and relevanceThese findings suggest that difficulties in developing age-appropriate emotion regulation skills in childhood are associated with experiencing broad anorexia nervosa in adolescence. Interventions to support the development of emotion regulation skills across childhood may help reduce the incidence of anorexia nervosa.

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Identifying atypical change at the individual level from childhood to adolescence.

Publications

Identifying atypical change at the individual level from childhood to adolescence.

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