Dataset Information

The cost-effectiveness of systematic screening for age-related macular degeneration in South Korea.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Interventions that can facilitate early diagnosis of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) will facilitate early treatment and improve clinical outcomes but there has been concerns about additional medical costs to the health care system. An examination through a retina fundus photography by a non-specialist has been suggested as a potential cost-effective alternative to a direct examination by a specialist, but limited scientific data exists on the cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for AMD. Our objective is to conduct an economic evaluation of various population-wide screening strategies for AMD among the South Korean population.

Methods and findings

Using a Markov cohort model, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of four AMD screening strategies (opportunistic examination, opportunistic treatment, systematic photography, and systematic examination) in comparison with status quo (no screening) for South Korean adults. We projected a life time horizon to study a hypothetical cohort of 100,00 persons of age 40 with and without AMD at baseline. The outcome measures were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, cost from the societal perspective, and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of each strategy. Interventions were evaluated at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 30,000,000 KRW ($27,538) per QALY gained. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to address the model uncertainty. Opportunistic examination was strongly dominated because it generated fewer expected QALYs but incurred greater expected cost than the other screening strategies. The mean lifetime expected costs were 289,013 KRW, 363,692 KRW, 9,351,964 KRW, and 12,309,783 KRW, and the mean QALYs gained were 37.73, 37.75, 40.47, 40.68, for no screening, opportunistic treatment, systematic photography, and systematic examination, respectively. The results were most sensitive to the utility weight of mild AMD, the probability of complication from treatment, the cost of being in mild AMD, and the probability of recovery from complication. After eliminating the two weakly dominated strategies, systematic photography was cost-effective at the ICER of 3,310,448 KRW per QALY in comparison to status quo.

Conclusions

Under the WTP threshold of 30,000,000 KRW per QALY, systematic photography is cost-effective for screening AMD in South Korean adults. Systematic examination by ophthalmologists generates more expected QALY and cost compared to systematic photography.

SUBMITTER: Ra H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6209376 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

The cost-effectiveness of systematic screening for age-related macular degeneration in South Korea.

Ra Ho H Song Lina D LD Choi Jin A JA Jee Donghyun D

PloS one 20181031 10

<h4>Background</h4>Interventions that can facilitate early diagnosis of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) will facilitate early treatment and improve clinical outcomes but there has been concerns about additional medical costs to the health care system. An examination through a retina fundus photography by a non-specialist has been suggested as a potential cost-effective alternative to a direct examination by a specialist, but limited scientific data exists on the cost-effectiveness of scre ...[more]

PMID: 30379971

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Project description:ObjectiveAge-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a significant cause of blindness, initially characterized by the accumulation of sub-Retinal pigment epithelium (RPE) deposits, leading to progressive retinal degeneration and, eventually, irreversible vision loss. This study aimed to elucidate the differential expression of transcriptomic information in AMD and normal human RPE choroidal donor eyes and to investigate whether it could be used as a biomarker for AMD.MethodsRPE choroidal tissue samples (46 Normal samples, 38 AMD samples) were obtained from the GEO (GSE29801) database and screened for differentially expressed genes in normal and AMD patients using GEO2R and R to compare the degree of enrichment of differentially expressed genes in the GO, KEGG pathway. Firstly, we used machine learning models (LASSO, SVM algorithm) to screen disease signature genes and compare the differences between these signature genes in GSVA and immune cell infiltration. Secondly, we also performed a cluster analysis to classify AMD patients. We selected the best classification by weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA) to screen the key modules and modular genes with the strongest association with AMD. Based on the module genes, four machine models, RF, SVM, XGB, and GLM, were constructed to screen the predictive genes and further construct the AMD clinical prediction model. The accuracy of the column line graphs was evaluated using decision and calibration curves.ResultsFirstly, we identified 15 disease signature genes by lasso and SVM algorithms, which were associated with abnormal glucose metabolism and immune cell infiltration. Secondly, we identified 52 modular signature genes by WGCNA analysis. We found that SVM was the optimal machine learning model for AMD and constructed a clinical prediction model for AMD consisting of 5 predictive genes.ConclusionWe constructed a disease signature genome model and an AMD clinical prediction model by LASSO, WGCNA, and four machine models. The disease signature genes are of great reference significance for AMD etiology research. At the same time, the AMD clinical prediction model provides a reference for early clinical detection of AMD and even becomes a future census tool. In conclusion, our discovery of disease signature genes and AMD clinical prediction models may become promising new targets for the targeted treatment of AMD.

Project description:BACKGROUND:The discussion on the use of bevacizumab is still ongoing and often doctors are deterred from using bevacizumab due to legal or political issues. Bevacizumab is an effective, safe and inexpensive treatment option for neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD), albeit unregistered for the disease. Therefore, in some countries ophthalmologists use the equally effective but expensive drugs ranibizumab and aflibercept. We describe the economic consequences of this dilemma surrounding AMD treatment from a societal perspective. METHODS:We modelled cost-effectiveness of treatment with ranibizumab (as-needed), aflibercept (bimonthly) and bevacizumab (as-needed). Effectiveness was estimated by systematic review and meta-analysis. The drug with the most favourable cost-effectiveness profile compared to bevacizumab was used for threshold analyses. First, we determined how much we overspend per injection. Second, we calculated the required effectiveness to justify the current price and the reasonable price for a drug leading to optimal vision. Finally, we estimated how much Europe overspends if bevacizumab is not first choice. RESULTS:Bevacizumab treatment costs €27,087 per year, about €4,000 less than aflibercept and €6,000 less than ranibizumab. With similar effectiveness for all drugs as shown by meta-analysis, bevacizumab was the most cost-effective. Aflibercept was chosen for threshold analyses. Aflibercept costs €943 per injection, but we determined that the maximum price to be cost-effective is €533. Alternatively, at its current price, aflibercept should yield about twice the visual gain. Even when optimal vision can be achieved, the maximum price for any treatment is €37,453 per year. Most importantly, Europe overspends €335 million yearly on AMD treatment when choosing aflibercept over bevacizumab. CONCLUSION:Bevacizumab is the most cost-effective treatment for AMD, yet is not the standard of care across Europe. The registered drugs ranibizumab and aflibercept lead to large overspending without additional health benefits. Health authorities should consider taking steps to implement bevacizumab into clinical practice as first choice.

Dataset Information

The cost-effectiveness of systematic screening for age-related macular degeneration in South Korea.

Background

Methods and findings

Conclusions

Publications

The cost-effectiveness of systematic screening for age-related macular degeneration in South Korea.

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