Dataset Information

Economic and epidemiologic impact of guidelines for early ART initiation irrespective of CD4 count in Spain.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Emerging data suggest that early antiretroviral therapy (ART) could reduce serious AIDS and non-AIDS events and deaths but could also increase costs. In January 2016, the Spanish guidelines were updated to recommend ART at any CD4 count. However, the epidemiologic and economic impacts of early ART initiation in Spain remain unclear.

Methods

The Johns Hopkins HIV Economic-Epidemiologic Mathematical Model (JHEEM) was utilized to estimate costs, transmissions, and outcomes in Spain over 20 years. We compared implementation of guidelines for early ART initiation to a counterfactual scenario deferring ART until CD4-counts fall below 350 cells/mm3. We additionally studied the impact of early ART initiation in combination with improvements to HIV screening, care linkage and engagement.

Results

Early ART initiation (irrespective of CD4-count) is expected to avert 20,100 [95% Uncertainty Range (UR) 11,100-83,000] new HIV cases over the next two decades compared to delayed ART (28% reduction), at an incremental health system cost of €1.05 billion [€0.66 - €1.63] billion, and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of €29,700 [€13,700 - €41,200] per QALY gained. Projected ICERs declined further over longer time horizon; e.g., an ICER of €12,691 over 30 years. Furthermore, the impact of early ART initiation was potentiated by improved HIV screening among high-risk individuals, averting an estimated 41,600 [23,200-172,200] HIV infections (a 58% decline) compared to delayed ART.

Conclusions

Recommendations for ART initiation irrespective of CD4-counts are cost-effective and could avert > 30% of new cases in Spain. Improving HIV diagnosis can amplify this impact.

SUBMITTER: Kasaie P

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6218062 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Economic and epidemiologic impact of guidelines for early ART initiation irrespective of CD4 count in Spain.

Kasaie Parastu P Radford Matthew M Kapoor Sunaina S Jung Younghee Y Hernandez Novoa Beatriz B Dowdy David D Shah Maunank M

PloS one 20181105 11

<h4>Introduction</h4>Emerging data suggest that early antiretroviral therapy (ART) could reduce serious AIDS and non-AIDS events and deaths but could also increase costs. In January 2016, the Spanish guidelines were updated to recommend ART at any CD4 count. However, the epidemiologic and economic impacts of early ART initiation in Spain remain unclear.<h4>Methods</h4>The Johns Hopkins HIV Economic-Epidemiologic Mathematical Model (JHEEM) was utilized to estimate costs, transmissions, and outcom ...[more]

PMID: 30395635

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Project description:A new nonavalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine that includes genotypes 6/11/16/18/31/33/45/52/58 has been recently approved in Spain. A previous study has shown that attributable fraction of HPV related diseases in Spain is consistent with that reported in European and global studies. The aim of the present study was to estimate the annual direct costs associated to the following HPV-related diseases: genital warts, high grade precancerous lesions and cancer of cervix, vulva, vagina, anus and penis and head and neck cancer, caused by genotypes included in the nonavalent (9vHPV) and quadrivalent vaccines (4vHPV), in Spanish men and women.Cancer registries and epidemiological studies were used to estimate the number of new annual cases of genital warts, anogenital precancerous lesions and cancer of cervix, vulva, vagina, anus, penis and head and neck, as well as the fraction attributable to HPV infection and to genotypes targeted by both vaccines in Spain. Costs per patient for each disease were obtained from the literature. In addition, 142 specialists were surveyed to estimate cost per patient of vulvar, vaginal, anal and penile precancerous lesions. The annual burden of diseases attributable to types targeted by both vaccines was estimated and compared. All results were validated by a panel of experts.In 2016, new genital warts, precancerous lesions and cancers attributable to types targeted by the 9vHPV were estimated at 49,251, 29,405 and 3381, respectively. Among them, 12,597 new precancerous lesions and 530 new cancers were related to the 5 additional types covered by the 9vHPV. Annual cost of new cases of these diseases associated to types targeted by the 4vHPV and 9vHPV were estimated at 116.7 and 150.9 million € for the Spanish National Health Service (NHS), respectively (2017 €).HPV-related diseases represent a major burden for the Spanish NHS. Annual new cases and costs related to the 5 additional types from the 9vHPV represent a significant burden compared with that associated to types included in the 4vHPV.

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Dataset Information

Economic and epidemiologic impact of guidelines for early ART initiation irrespective of CD4 count in Spain.

Introduction

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Economic and epidemiologic impact of guidelines for early ART initiation irrespective of CD4 count in Spain.

Similar Datasets

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