Dataset Information

Multiscale entropy rate analysis of complex mobile agents.

ABSTRACT: Accurate prediction of the motion of objects is a central scientific goal. For deterministic or stochastic processes, models exist which characterize motion with a high degree of reliability. For complex systems, or those where objects have a degree of agency, characterizing motion is far more challenging. The information entropy rate of motion through a discrete space can place a limit on the predictability of even the most complex or history-dependent actor, but the variability in measured encountered locations is inexorably tied to the spatial and temporal resolutions of those measurements. This relation depends on the path of the actor in ways that can be used to derive a general law in closed form relating the mobility entropy rate to different spatial and temporal resolutions, and the path properties within each cell along the path. Correcting for spatial and temporal effects through regression yields the path properties and a measure of mobility entropy rate robust to changes in dimension, allowing comparison of mobility entropy rates between datasets. Employing this measure on empirical datasets yields novel findings, from the similarity of taxicabs to drifters, to the predictable motions of undergraduates, to the browsing habits of Canadian moose.

SUBMITTER: Paul T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6227949 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Multiscale entropy rate analysis of complex mobile agents.

Paul Tuhin T Stanley Kevin G KG Osgood Nathaniel D ND

Royal Society open science 20181010 10

Accurate prediction of the motion of objects is a central scientific goal. For deterministic or stochastic processes, models exist which characterize motion with a high degree of reliability. For complex systems, or those where objects have a degree of agency, characterizing motion is far more challenging. The information entropy rate of motion through a discrete space can place a limit on the predictability of even the most complex or history-dependent actor, but the variability in measured enc ...[more]

PMID: 30473814

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Project description:Epilepsy is a common neurological disease that affects a wide range of the world population and is not limited by age. Moreover, seizures can occur anytime and anywhere because of the sudden abnormal discharge of brain neurons, leading to malfunction. The seizures of approximately 30% of epilepsy patients cannot be treated with medicines or surgery; hence these patients would benefit from a seizure prediction system to live normal lives. Thus, a system that can predict a seizure before its onset could improve not only these patients' social lives but also their safety. Numerous seizure prediction methods have already been proposed, but the performance measures of these methods are still inadequate for a complete prediction system. Here, a seizure prediction system is proposed by exploring the advantages of multivariate entropy, which can reflect the complexity of multivariate time series over multiple scales (frequencies), called multivariate multiscale modified-distribution entropy (MM-mDistEn), with an artificial neural network (ANN). The phase-space reconstruction and estimation of the probability density between vectors provide hidden complex information. The multivariate time series property of MM-mDistEn provides more understandable information within the multichannel data and makes it possible to predict of epilepsy. Moreover, the proposed method was tested with two different analyses: simulation data analysis proves that the proposed method has strong consistency over the different parameter selections, and the results from experimental data analysis showed that the proposed entropy combined with an ANN obtains performance measures of 98.66% accuracy, 91.82% sensitivity, 99.11% specificity, and 0.84 area under the curve (AUC) value. In addition, the seizure alarm system was applied as a postprocessing step for prediction purposes, and a false alarm rate of 0.014 per hour and an average prediction time of 26.73 min before seizure onset were achieved by the proposed method. Thus, the proposed entropy as a feature extraction method combined with an ANN can predict the ictal state of epilepsy, and the results show great potential for all epilepsy patients.

Dataset Information

Multiscale entropy rate analysis of complex mobile agents.

Publications

Multiscale entropy rate analysis of complex mobile agents.

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