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Association of specific gene mutations derived from machine learning with survival in lung adenocarcinoma.

ABSTRACT: Lung cancer is the second most common cancer in the United States and the leading cause of mortality in cancer patients. Biomarkers predicting survival of patients with lung cancer have a profound effect on patient prognosis and treatment. However, predictive biomarkers for survival and their relevance for lung cancer are not been well known yet. The objective of this study was to perform machine learning with data from The Cancer Genome Atlas of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) to find survival-specific gene mutations that could be used as survival-predicting biomarkers. To identify survival-specific mutations according to various clinical factors, four feature selection methods (information gain, chi-squared test, minimum redundancy maximum relevance, and correlation) were used. Extracted survival-specific mutations of LUAD were applied individually or as a group for Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Mutations in MMRN2 and GMPPA were significantly associated with patient mortality while those in ZNF560 and SETX were associated with patient survival. Mutations in DNAJC2 and MMRN2 showed significant negative association with overall survival while mutations in ZNF560 showed significant positive association with overall survival. Mutations in MMRN2 showed significant negative association with disease-free survival while mutations in DRD3 and ZNF560 showed positive associated with disease-free survival. Mutations in DRD3, SETX, and ZNF560 showed significant positive association with survival in patients with LUAD while the opposite was true for mutations in DNAJC2, GMPPA, and MMRN2. These gene mutations were also found in other cohorts of LUAD, lung squamous cell carcinoma, and small cell lung cancer. In LUAD of Pan-Lung Cancer cohort, mutations in GMPPA, DNAJC2, and MMRN2 showed significant negative associations with survival of patients while mutations in DRD3 and SETX showed significant positive association with survival. In this study, machine learning was conducted to obtain information necessary to discover specific gene mutations associated with the survival of patients with LUAD. Mutations in the above six genes could predict survival rate and disease-free survival rate in patients with LUAD. Thus, they are important biomarker candidates for prognosis.

SUBMITTER: Cho HJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6231670 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Association of specific gene mutations derived from machine learning with survival in lung adenocarcinoma.

Cho Han-Jun HJ Lee Soonchul S Ji Young Geon YG Lee Dong Hyeon DH

PloS one 20181112 11

Lung cancer is the second most common cancer in the United States and the leading cause of mortality in cancer patients. Biomarkers predicting survival of patients with lung cancer have a profound effect on patient prognosis and treatment. However, predictive biomarkers for survival and their relevance for lung cancer are not been well known yet. The objective of this study was to perform machine learning with data from The Cancer Genome Atlas of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) to find ...[more]

PMID: 30419062

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Project description:BackgroundAfter curative surgical resection, about 30-75% lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients suffer from recurrence with dismal survival outcomes. Identification of patients with high risk of recurrence to impose intense therapy is urgently needed.Materials and methodsGene expression data of LUAD were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were calculated by comparing the recurrent and primary tissues. Prognostic genes associated with the recurrence-free survival (RFS) of LUAD patients were identified using univariate analysis. LASSO Cox regression and multivariate Cox analysis were applied to extract key genes and establish the prediction model.ResultsWe detected 37 DEGs between primary and recurrent LUAD tumors. Using univariate analysis, 31 DEGs were found to be significantly associated with RFS. We established the RFS prediction model including thirteen genes using the LASSO Cox regression. In the training cohort, we classified patients into high- and low-risk groups and found that patients in the high-risk group suffered from worse RFS compared to those in the low-risk group (P < 0.01). Concordant results were confirmed in the internal and external validation cohort. The efficiency of the prediction model was also confirmed under different clinical subgroups. The high-risk group was significantly identified as the risk factor of recurrence in LUAD by the multivariate Cox analysis (HR = 13.37, P = 0.01). Compared to clinicopathological features, our prediction model possessed higher accuracy to identify patients with high risk of recurrence (AUC = 96.3%). Finally, we found that the G2M checkpoint pathway was enriched both in recurrent tumors and primary tumors of high-risk patients.ConclusionsOur recurrence-specific gene-based prognostic prediction model provides extra information about the risk of recurrence in LUAD, which is conducive for clinicians to conduct individualized therapy in clinic.

Project description:Objectives: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) accounts for a majority of cancer-related deaths worldwide annually. The identification of prognostic biomarkers and prediction of prognosis for LUAD patients is necessary. Materials and Methods: In this study, LUAD RNA-Seq data and clinical data from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) were divided into TCGA cohort I (n = 338) and II (n = 168). The cohort I was used for model construction, and the cohort II and data from Gene Expression Omnibus (GSE72094 cohort, n = 393; GSE11969 cohort, n = 149) were utilized for validation. First, the survival-related seed genes were selected from the cohort I using the machine learning model (random survival forest, RSF), and then in order to improve prediction accuracy, the forward selection model was utilized to identify the prognosis-related key genes among the seed genes using the clinically-integrated RNA-Seq data. Second, the survival risk score system was constructed by using these key genes in the cohort II, the GSE72094 cohort and the GSE11969 cohort, and the evaluation metrics such as HR, p value and C-index were calculated to validate the proposed method. Third, the developed approach was compared with the previous five prediction models. Finally, bioinformatics analyses (pathway, heatmap, protein-gene interaction network) have been applied to the identified seed genes and key genes. Results and Conclusion: Based on the RSF model and clinically-integrated RNA-Seq data, we identified sixteen key genes that formed the prognostic gene expression signature. These sixteen key genes could achieve a strong power for prognostic prediction of LUAD patients in cohort II (HR = 3.80, p = 1.63e-06, C-index = 0.656), and were further validated in the GSE72094 cohort (HR = 4.12, p = 1.34e-10, C-index = 0.672) and GSE11969 cohort (HR = 3.87, p = 6.81e-07, C-index = 0.670). The experimental results of three independent validation cohorts showed that compared with the traditional Cox model and the use of standalone RNA-Seq data, the machine-learning-based method effectively improved the prediction accuracy of LUAD prognosis, and the derived model was also superior to the other five existing prediction models. KEGG pathway analysis found eleven of the sixteen genes were associated with Nicotine addiction. Thirteen of the sixteen genes were reported for the first time as the LUAD prognosis-related key genes. In conclusion, we developed a sixteen-gene prognostic marker for LUAD, which may provide a powerful prognostic tool for precision oncology.

Dataset Information

Association of specific gene mutations derived from machine learning with survival in lung adenocarcinoma.

Publications

Association of specific gene mutations derived from machine learning with survival in lung adenocarcinoma.

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