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Optimal Timing of Physician Visits after Hospital Discharge to Reduce Readmission.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:To identify the optimal timing of in-person physician visit after hospital discharge to yield the largest reduction in readmission among elderly or chronically ill patients. DATA SOURCES/STUDY SETTING/EXTRACTION METHODS:We extracted insurance billing data on 620,656 admissions for any cause from 2002 to 2009 in Quebec, Canada. STUDY DESIGN:We used flexible survival models to estimate inverse probability weights for the precise timing (days) of in-person physician visit after discharge and weighted competing risk outcome models. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS:Readmission reduction associated with in-person physician visits (compared to none) was seen early after discharge, with 67.8 fewer readmissions per 1,000 discharges if physician visit occurred within 7 days (95 percent CI: 66.7-69.0), and 110.0 fewer readmissions within 21 days (95 percent CI: 108.2-111.7). The period of largest contribution to readmission reduction was seen in the first 10 days, while physician visits occurring later than 21 days after discharge did not further contribute to reducing hospital readmissions. Larger risk reductions were observed among patients in the highest morbidity level and for in-person follow-up with a primary care physician rather than a medical specialist. CONCLUSIONS:When provided promptly, postdischarge in-person physician visit can prevent many readmissions. The benefits appear optimal when such visit occurs within the first 10 days, or at least within the first 21 days of discharge.

SUBMITTER: Riverin BD

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6232431 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Optimal Timing of Physician Visits after Hospital Discharge to Reduce Readmission.

Riverin Bruno D BD Strumpf Erin C EC Naimi Ashley I AI Li Patricia P

Health services research 20180515 6

<h4>Objective</h4>To identify the optimal timing of in-person physician visit after hospital discharge to yield the largest reduction in readmission among elderly or chronically ill patients.<h4>Data sources/study setting/extraction methods</h4>We extracted insurance billing data on 620,656 admissions for any cause from 2002 to 2009 in Quebec, Canada.<h4>Study design</h4>We used flexible survival models to estimate inverse probability weights for the precise timing (days) of in-person physician ...[more]

PMID: 29766499

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Project description:ImportanceThe Affordable Care Act has led to US national reductions in hospital 30-day readmission rates for heart failure (HF), acute myocardial infarction (AMI), and pneumonia. Whether readmission reductions have had the unintended consequence of increasing mortality after hospitalization is unknown.ObjectiveTo examine the correlation of paired trends in hospital 30-day readmission rates and hospital 30-day mortality rates after discharge.Design, setting, and participantsRetrospective study of Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 65 years or older hospitalized with HF, AMI, or pneumonia from January 1, 2008, through December 31, 2014.ExposureThirty-day risk-adjusted readmission rate (RARR).Main outcomes and measuresThirty-day RARRs and 30-day risk-adjusted mortality rates (RAMRs) after discharge were calculated for each condition in each month at each hospital in 2008 through 2014. Monthly trends in each hospital's 30-day RARRs and 30-day RAMRs after discharge were examined for each condition. The weighted Pearson correlation coefficient was calculated for hospitals' paired monthly trends in 30-day RARRs and 30-day RAMRs after discharge for each condition.ResultsIn 2008 through 2014, 2 962 554 hospitalizations for HF, 1 229 939 for AMI, and 2 544 530 for pneumonia were identified at 5016, 4772, and 5057 hospitals, respectively. In January 2008, mean hospital 30-day RARRs and 30-day RAMRs after discharge were 24.6% and 8.4% for HF, 19.3% and 7.6% for AMI, and 18.3% and 8.5% for pneumonia. Hospital 30-day RARRs declined in the aggregate across hospitals from 2008 through 2014; monthly changes in RARRs were -0.053% (95% CI, -0.055% to -0.051%) for HF, -0.044% (95% CI, -0.047% to -0.041%) for AMI, and -0.033% (95% CI, -0.035% to -0.031%) for pneumonia. In contrast, monthly aggregate changes across hospitals in hospital 30-day RAMRs after discharge varied by condition: HF, 0.008% (95% CI, 0.007% to 0.010%); AMI, -0.003% (95% CI, -0.005% to -0.001%); and pneumonia, 0.001% (95% CI, -0.001% to 0.003%). However, correlation coefficients in hospitals' paired monthly changes in 30-day RARRs and 30-day RAMRs after discharge were weakly positive: HF, 0.066 (95% CI, 0.036 to 0.096); AMI, 0.067 (95% CI, 0.027 to 0.106); and pneumonia, 0.108 (95% CI, 0.079 to 0.137). Findings were similar in secondary analyses, including with alternate definitions of hospital mortality.Conclusions and relevanceAmong Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries hospitalized for heart failure, acute myocardial infarction, or pneumonia, reductions in hospital 30-day readmission rates were weakly but significantly correlated with reductions in hospital 30-day mortality rates after discharge. These findings do not support increasing postdischarge mortality related to reducing hospital readmissions.

Project description:ImportanceHospital readmissions contribute to higher expenditures and may sometimes reflect suboptimal patient care. Individuals discharged against medical advice (AMA) are a vulnerable patient population and may have higher risk for readmission.ObjectivesTo determine odds of readmission and mortality for patients discharged AMA vs all others, to characterize patient and hospital-level factors associated with readmissions, and to quantify their overall cost burden.Design, setting, and participantsNationally representative, all-payer cohort study using the 2014 National Readmissions Database. Eligible index admissions were nonobstetrical/newborn hospitalizations for patients 18 years and older discharged between January 2014 and November 2014. Admissions were excluded if there was a missing primary diagnosis, discharge disposition, length of stay, or if the patient died during that hospitalization. Data were analyzed between January 2018 and June 2018.ExposuresDischarge AMA and non-AMA discharge.Main outcomes and measuresThirty-day all-cause readmission and in-hospital mortality rate.ResultsThere were 19.9 million weighted index admissions, of which 1.5% resulted in an AMA discharge. Within the AMA cohort, 85% were younger than 65 years, 63% were male, 55% had Medicaid or other (including uninsured) coverage, and 39% were in the lowest income quartile. Thirty-day all-cause readmission was 21.0% vs 11.9% for AMA vs non-AMA discharge (P < .001), and 30-day in-hospital mortality was 2.5% vs 5.6% (P < .001), respectively. Individuals discharged AMA were more likely to be readmitted to a different hospital compared with non-AMA patients (43.0% vs 23.9%; P < .001). Of all 30-day readmissions, 19.0% occurred within the first day after AMA discharge vs 6.1% for non-AMA patients (P < .001). On multivariable regression, AMA discharge was associated with a 2.01 (95% CI, 1.97-2.05) increased adjusted odds of readmission and a 0.80 (95% CI, 0.74-0.87) decreased adjusted odds of in-hospital mortality compared with non-AMA discharge. Nationwide readmissions after AMA discharge accounted for more than 400 000 inpatient hospitalization days at a total cost of $822 million in 2014.Conclusions and relevanceIndividuals discharged AMA have higher odds of 30-day readmission at significant cost to the health care system and lower in-hospital mortality rates compared with non-AMA patients. Patients discharged AMA are also more likely to be readmitted to different hospitals and to have earlier bounce-back readmissions, which may reflect dissatisfaction with their initial episode of care.

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Optimal Timing of Physician Visits after Hospital Discharge to Reduce Readmission.

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Optimal Timing of Physician Visits after Hospital Discharge to Reduce Readmission.

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