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A test of the European Pleistocene refugial paradigm, using a Western Palaearctic endemic bird species.

ABSTRACT: Hewitt's paradigm for effects of Pleistocene glaciations on European populations assumes their isolation in peninsular refugia during glacial maxima, followed by re-colonization of broader Europe during interstadials. This paradigm is well supported by studies of poorly dispersing taxa, but highly dispersive birds have not been included. To test this paradigm, we use the dunnock (Prunella modularis), a Western Palaearctic endemic whose range includes all major European refugia. MtDNA gene tree, multilocus species tree and species delimitation analyses indicate the presence of three distinct lineages: one in the Iberian refugium, one in the Caucasus refugium, and one comprising the Italian and Balkan refugia and broader Europe. Our gene flow analysis suggests isolation of both the Iberian and Caucasus lineages but extensive exchange between Italy, the Balkans and broader Europe. Demographic stability could not be rejected for any refugial population, except the very recent expansion in the Caucasus. By contrast, northern European populations may have experienced two expansion periods. Iberia and Caucasus had much smaller historical populations than other populations. Although our results support the paradigm, in general, they also suggest that in highly dispersive taxa, isolation of neighbouring refugia was incomplete, resulting in large super-refugial populations.

SUBMITTER: Drovetski SV

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6234879 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A test of the European Pleistocene refugial paradigm, using a Western Palaearctic endemic bird species.

Drovetski Sergei V SV Fadeev Igor V IV Raković Marko M Lopes Ricardo J RJ Boano Giovanni G Pavia Marco M Koblik Evgeniy A EA Lohman Yuriy V YV Red'kin Yaroslav A YA Aghayan Sargis A SA Reis Sandra S Drovetskaya Sofya S SS Voelker Gary G

Proceedings. Biological sciences 20181024 1889

Hewitt's paradigm for effects of Pleistocene glaciations on European populations assumes their isolation in peninsular refugia during glacial maxima, followed by re-colonization of broader Europe during interstadials. This paradigm is well supported by studies of poorly dispersing taxa, but highly dispersive birds have not been included. To test this paradigm, we use the dunnock (<i>Prunella modularis</i>), a Western Palaearctic endemic whose range includes all major European refugia. MtDNA gene ...[more]

PMID: 30355709

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Project description:Considering the high biodiversity and conservation concerns of the tropical dry forest, this study aim is to predict and evaluate the potential and current distributions of twelve species of endemic birds which distribute along the western slope of Mexico. The main goal is to evaluate altogether different methods for predicting actual species distribution models (ADMs) of the twelve species including the identification of key environmental potential limiting factors. ADMs for twelve endemic Mexican birds were generated and validated by means of applying: (1) three widely used species niche modeling approaches (ENFA, Garp, and Maxent); (2) two thresholding methods, based on ROC curves and Kappa Index, for transforming continuous models to presence/absence (binary) models; (3) documented habitat-species associations for reducing species potential distribution models (PDMs); and (4) field occurrence data for validating final ADMs. Binary PDMs' predicted areas seemed overestimated, while ADMs looked drastically reduced and fragmented because of the approach taken for eliminating those predicted areas which were documented as unsuitable habitat types for individual species. Results indicated that both thresholding methods generated similar threshold values for species modeled by each of the three species distribution modeling algorithms (SDMAs). A Wilcoxon signed-rank test, however, showed that Kappa values were generally higher than ROC curve for species modeled by ENFA and Maxent, while for Garp models there were no significant differences. Prediction success (e.g., true presences percentage) obtained from field occurrence data revealed a range of 50%-82% among the 12 species. The three modeling approaches applied enabled to test the application of two thresholding methods for transforming continuous to binary (presence/absence) models. The use of documented habitat preferences resulted in drastic reductions and fragmentation of PDMs. However, ADMs predictive success rate, tested using field species occurrence data, varied between 50 and 82%.

Dataset Information

A test of the European Pleistocene refugial paradigm, using a Western Palaearctic endemic bird species.

Publications

A test of the European Pleistocene refugial paradigm, using a Western Palaearctic endemic bird species.

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