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The evidential statistical paradigm in genetics.

ABSTRACT: Concerns over reproducibility in research has reinvigorated the discourse on P-values as measures of statistical evidence. In a position statement by the American Statistical Association board of directors, they warn of P-value misuse and refer to the availability of alternatives. Despite the common practice of comparing P-values across different hypothesis tests in genetics, it is well-appreciated that P-values must be interpreted alongside the sample size and experimental design used for their computation. Here, we discuss the evidential statistical paradigm (EP), an alternative to Bayesian and Frequentist paradigms, that has been implemented in human genetics studies. Using applications in Cystic Fibrosis genetic association analyses, and describing recent theoretical developments, we review how to measure statistical evidence using the EP in the presence of covariates, model misspecification, and for composite hypotheses. Novel graphical displays are presented, and software for their computation is highlighted. The implications of multiple hypothesis testing for the EP are delineated in the analyses, demonstrating a view more consistent with scientific reasoning; the EP provides a theoretical justification for replication that is a requirement in genetic association studies. As genetic studies grow in size and complexity, a fresh look at measures of statistical evidence that are sensible amid the analysis of big data are required.

SUBMITTER: Strug LJ

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6284518 | biostudies-literature | 2018 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The evidential statistical paradigm in genetics.

Strug Lisa J LJ

Genetic epidemiology 20180818 7

Concerns over reproducibility in research has reinvigorated the discourse on P-values as measures of statistical evidence. In a position statement by the American Statistical Association board of directors, they warn of P-value misuse and refer to the availability of alternatives. Despite the common practice of comparing P-values across different hypothesis tests in genetics, it is well-appreciated that P-values must be interpreted alongside the sample size and experimental design used for their ...[more]

PMID: 30120797

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Project description:BACKGROUND: Genetic research of schizophrenia (SCZ) based on the nuclear genome model (NGM) has been one of the most active areas in psychiatry for the past two decades. Although this effort is ongoing, the current situation of the molecular genetics of SCZ seems disappointing or rather perplexing. Furthermore, a prominent discrepancy between persistence of the disease at a relatively high prevalence and a low reproductive fitness of patients creates a paradox. Heterozygote advantage works to sustain the frequency of a putative susceptibility gene in the mitochondrial genome model (MGM) but not in the NGM. METHODS: We deduced a criterion that every nuclear susceptibility gene for SCZ should fulfill for the persistence of the disease under general assumptions of the multifactorial threshold model. SCZ-associated variants listed in the top 45 in the SZGene Database (the version of the 23rd December, 2011) were selected, and the distribution of the genes that could meet or do not meet the criterion was surveyed. RESULTS: 19 SCZ-associated variants that do not meet the criterion are located outside the regions where the SCZ-associated variants that could meet the criterion are located. Since a SCZ-associated variant that does not meet the criterion cannot be a susceptibility gene, but instead must be a protective gene, it should be linked to a susceptibility gene in the NGM, which is contrary to these results. On the other hand, every protective gene on any chromosome can be associated with SCZ in the MGM. Based on the MGM we propose a new hypothesis that assumes brain-specific antioxidant defenses in which trans-synaptic activations of dopamine- and N-methyl-d-aspartate-receptors are involved. Most of the ten predictions of this hypothesis seem to accord with the major epidemiological facts and the results of association studies to date. CONCLUSION: The central paradox of SCZ genetics and the results of association studies to date argue against the NGM, and in its place the MGM is emerging as a viable option to account for genomic and pathophysiological research findings involving SCZ.

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The evidential statistical paradigm in genetics.

Publications

The evidential statistical paradigm in genetics.

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