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A cost-effectiveness analysis of screening for intracranial aneurysms in persons with one first-degree relative with subarachnoid haemorrhage.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Although persons with one first-degree relative with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage have an increased risk of aneurysm formation and aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage, screening them for unruptured intracranial aneurysms was not beneficial in a modelling study from the 1990s. New data on the risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage in these persons and improved treatment techniques call for reassessment of the cost-effectiveness of screening.

Patients and methods

We used a cost-effectiveness analysis using a Markov model and Monte Carlo simulation comparing screening and preventive aneurysm treatment with no screening in persons with one first-degree relative with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. We analyzed the impact on quality-adjusted life years, costs and net health benefit of single screening (at varying screening age) and serial screening (with varying screening age and intervals) using a cost-effectiveness threshold of €20,000/quality-adjusted life year.

Results

In 17 of the 24 strategies assessed, additional costs for screening for unruptured intracranial aneurysm were <€20,000 per quality-adjusted life year gained. The strategy with highest net health benefit was screening at age 40 and 55. Screening every five years from age 20 to 70 yielded the highest health benefits at the highest additional costs.

Discussion

Based on current risks of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage and complications of preventive treatment, several strategies to screen for unruptured intracranial aneurysm in persons with one first-degree relative with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage are cost effective compared with no screening, when applying a cost-effectiveness threshold of €20,000/quality-adjusted life year.

Conclusion

We recommend discussing with persons at risk the option of screening twice, at age 40 and 55, which will result overall in substantial health benefits at acceptable additional costs.

SUBMITTER: Hopmans EM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6301253 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundThe prevalence of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) and incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH) is higher in women than in men. Although several cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors have been related to the risk of IAs or aSAH, it is unclear whether there are sex differences in causal relationships of these risk factors.AimsThe aim of this study was to determine sex differences in causal relationships between cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors and risk of aSAH and IA.MethodsWe conducted a sex-specific two-sample Mendelian randomisation study using summary-level data from genome-wide association studies. We analysed low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol [HDL-C], triglycerides, non-HDL-C, total cholesterol, fasting glucose, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, smoking initiation, and alcohol use as exposures, and aSAH and IA (i.e., aSAH and unruptured IA combined) as outcomes.ResultsWe found statistically significant sex differences in the relationship between genetically proxied non-HDL-C and aSAH risk, with odds ratios (ORs) of 0.72 (95% confidence interval 0.58, 0.88) in women and 1.01 (0.77, 1.31) in men (P-value for sex difference 0.044). Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was related to a statistically significantly higher risk of aSAH in men compared to women (P-value for sex difference 0.007) with ORs of 3.81 (1.93, 7.52) and 1.12 (0.63, 1.99), respectively, and to a statistically significantly higher IA risk in men compared to women (P-value for sex difference 0.036) with ORs of 3.58 (2.04, 6.27) and 1.61 (0.98, 2.64), respectively. In addition, higher genetically proxied systolic and diastolic blood pressure were related to a higher risk of aSAH and IA in both women and men.ConclusionsHigher genetically proxied non-HDL-C was related to a lower risk of aSAH in women compared to men. Moreover, genetic liability to smoking initiation was associated with a higher risk for aSAH and IA in men compared to women. These findings may help improve understanding of sex differences in the development of aSAH and IA.

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