Dataset Information

Estimating the probability of abusive head trauma after abuse evaluation.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Evidence-based, patient-specific estimates of abusive head trauma probability can inform physicians' decisions to evaluate, confirm, exclude, and/or report suspected child abuse. OBJECTIVE:To derive a clinical prediction rule for pediatric abusive head trauma that incorporates the (positive or negative) predictive contributions of patients' completed skeletal surveys and retinal exams. PARTICIPANTS AND SETTING:500 acutely head-injured children under three years of age hospitalized for intensive care at one of 18 sites between 2010 and 2013. METHODS:Secondary analysis of an existing, cross-sectional, prospective dataset, including (1) multivariable logistic regression to impute the results of abuse evaluations never ordered or completed, (2) regularized logistic regression to derive a novel clinical prediction rule that incorporates the results of completed abuse evaluations, and (3) application of the new prediction rule to calculate patient-specific estimates of abusive head trauma probability for observed combinations of its predictor variables. RESULTS:Applying a mean probability threshold of >0.5 to classify patients as abused, the 7-variable clinical prediction rule derived in this study demonstrated sensitivity 0.73 (95% CI: 0.66-0.79) and specificity 0.87 (95% CI: 0.82-0.90). The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.85-0.92). Patient-specific estimates of abusive head trauma probability for 72 observed combinations of its seven predictor variables ranged from 0.04 (95% CI: 0.02-0.08) to 0.98 (95% CI: 0.96-0.99). CONCLUSIONS:Seven variables facilitate patient-specific estimation of abusive head trauma probability after abuse evaluation in intensive care settings.

SUBMITTER: Hymel KP

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6333504 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Estimating the probability of abusive head trauma after abuse evaluation.

Hymel Kent P KP Wang Ming M Chinchilli Vernon M VM Karst Wouter A WA Willson Douglas F DF Dias Mark S MS Herman Bruce E BE Carroll Christopher L CL Haney Suzanne B SB Isaac Reena R

Child abuse & neglect 20181211

<h4>Background</h4>Evidence-based, patient-specific estimates of abusive head trauma probability can inform physicians' decisions to evaluate, confirm, exclude, and/or report suspected child abuse.<h4>Objective</h4>To derive a clinical prediction rule for pediatric abusive head trauma that incorporates the (positive or negative) predictive contributions of patients' completed skeletal surveys and retinal exams.<h4>Participants and setting</h4>500 acutely head-injured children under three years o ...[more]

PMID: 30551063

Similar Datasets

Project description:Importance:Studies suggest that a postnatal parental intervention may reduce the incidence of abusive head trauma (AHT) of infants and young children. Objective:To assess the effect of statewide universal AHT education for parents on AHT hospitalization rates in Pennsylvania and on parents' self-reported knowledge gains and parenting behaviors. Design, Setting, and Participants:Changes in AHT hospitalization rates in Pennsylvania before and during the intervention were compared with those in 5 other states lacking universal parental AHT education during the same period. Data were collected from maternity units and birthing centers throughout Pennsylvania from the parents of 1?593?834 infants born on these units from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2013. Parental behavior and knowledge were assessed through immediate (n?=?16?111) and 7-month postintervention (n?=?146) parent surveys in a per protocol analysis of evaluable parents. Interventions:Parents read a brochure, viewed an 8-minute video about infant crying and AHT, asked questions of the nurse, and signed a commitment statement affirming their participation. Educational posters were displayed on each unit. Main Outcomes and Measures:Changes in AHT hospitalization rates before and during the intervention in Pennsylvania and 5 other states. Secondary outcomes included self-reported knowledge gains and changes in parenting practices. Results:A total of 1?180?291 parents (74.1%) of children ranging in age from 0 to 23 months signed a commitment statement. Incidence rate ratios for hospitalization for AHT increased in Pennsylvania from 24.1 (95% CI, 22.1-26.3) to 26.6 (95% CI, 24.9-28.4) per 100?000 children aged 0 to 23 months during the intervention period; changes in Pennsylvania were not significantly different from aggregate changes in the 5 other states, from 22.4 (95% CI, 21.2-23.6) to 22.0 (95% CI, 21.2-22.8) per 100?000 children aged 0 to 23 months. A total of 16?111 parents (21.5% men, 78.5% women) completed the postnatal survey. Despite an overall 74.1% adherence with the intervention, only 20.6% of parents saw the brochure and video and only 5.7% were exposed to the entire intervention. Among the respondents answering individual questions on the postnatal surveys, 10?958 mothers (91.0%) and 2950 fathers (88.6%) reported learning a lot about understanding infant crying as normal; 11?023 mothers (92.2%) and 2923 fathers (88.9%), calming their infant, 11?396 mothers (94.6%) and 3035 fathers (91.9%), calming themselves; 10?060 mothers (85.1%) and 2688 fathers (83.4%), selecting other infant caregivers; and 11?435 mothers (94.8%) and 3201 fathers (95.8%), that the information would decrease the likelihood of shaking an infant. Among the 143 respondents completing the 7-month survey, 109 (76.2%) reported remembering the information while their child was crying. Conclusions and Relevance:This intervention was not associated with a reduction in pediatric AHT hospitalization rates but was associated with self-reported gains in parental knowledge that were retained for 7 months.

Project description:ImportanceIt is important to recognize presenting features and factors associated with mortality in abusive head trauma (AHT) owing to the severity of the diagnosis and the necessity for prompt action.ObjectiveTo describe the prevalence and economic burden of AHT and identify factors associated with mortality.Design, setting, and participantsThis retrospective, cross-sectional study used the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample database to identify all emergency department visits in the US for patients younger than 5 years with a primary diagnosis of abusive head trauma between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2018. This study was conducted in 2021.Main outcomes and measuresPrevalence, demographic characteristics, clinical characteristics, mortality, and economic burden associated with AHT. Weighted national estimates were calculated using sampling weights provided in the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample database.ResultsFrom 2006 to 2018, there were an estimated 12 287 cases of emergency department visits in the US for patients younger than 5 years with a primary diagnosis of AHT. The estimated number of AHT cases decreased by 672 (95% CI, 403-940; P < .001) from 2006 to 2018. The incidence decreased by 6.7% each year (incidence rate ratio, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.93-0.94; P < .001) between 2006 and 2018. During the course of a hospital visit, 646 patients (5.3%) died. The majority of patients with a diagnosis of AHT were younger than 1 year (n = 7046; 57.3%), were male (n = 7268; 59.2%) and had Medicaid insurance (n = 8585; 70.0%). After controlling for demographic characteristics, factors associated with increased mortality were age greater than 1 year (odds ratio [OR], 2.45; 95% CI, 1.50-3.99; P < .001), first or second income quartile (OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.08-2.91; P = .02), midwestern United States (OR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.04-4.00; P = .04), level 1 trauma center (OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.07-6.75; P = .04), orbital fracture (OR, 15.38; 95% CI, 2.41-98.18; P = .004), cerebral edema (OR, 8.49; 95% CI, 5.57-12.93; P < .001), intracranial hemorrhage (OR, 4.27; 95% CI, 1.71-10.67; P = .002), hypoxic ischemic brain injury (OR, 4.16; 95% CI, 2.13-8.10; P < .001), skull fractures (OR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.76-5.82; P < .001), subarachnoid hemorrhage (OR, 2.43; 95% CI, 1.22-4.83; P = .01), retinal hemorrhage (OR, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.40-3.38; P < .001), and subdural hemorrhage (OR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.05-3.98; P = .04).Conclusions and relevanceThis study's findings suggest that health care disparities may be present in the treatment of AHT. Recognizing factors suggested in this investigation to be associated with higher mortality, public health efforts should be targeted toward low-income areas and in the midwestern United States.

Dataset Information

Estimating the probability of abusive head trauma after abuse evaluation.

Publications

Estimating the probability of abusive head trauma after abuse evaluation.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets