Dataset Information

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy?for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Mathematical predictive model is an effective method for preliminarily identifying the malignant pulmonary nodules. As the epidemiological trend of lung cancer changes, the detection rate of ground-glass-opacity (GGO) like early stage lung cancer is increasing rapidly, timely and proper clinical management can effectively improve the patients' prognosis. Our study aims to establish a novel predictive model of malignancy for non-solid pulmonary nodules, which would provide an objective evidence for invasive procedure and avoid unnecessary operation and the consequences. METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the basic demographics, serum tumor markers and imaging features of 362 cases of non-solid pulmonary nodule from January 2013 to April 2018. All nodules received biopsy or surgical resection, and got pathological diagnosis. Cases were randomly divided into two groups. The modeling group was used for univariate analysis and logistic regression to determine independent risk factors and establish the predictive model. Data of the validation group was used to validate the predictive value and make a comparison with other models. RESULTS:Of the 362 cases with non-solid pulmonary nodule, 313 (86.5%) cases were diagnosed as AAH/AIS, MIA or invasive adenocarcinoma, 49 cases were diagnosed as benign lesions. Age, serum tumor markers CEA and Cyfra21-1, consolidation tumor ratio value, lobulation and calcification were identified as independent risk factors. The AUC value of the ROC curve was 0.894, the predictive sensitivity and specificity were 87.6%, 69.7%, the positive and negative predictive value were 94.8%, 46.9%. The validated predictive value is significantly better than that of the VA, Brock and GMUFH models. CONCLUSIONS:Proved with high predictive sensitivity and positive predictive value, this novel model could help enable preliminarily screening of "high-risk" non-solid pulmonary nodules before biopsy or surgical excision, and minimize unnecessary invasive procedure. This model achieved preferable predictive value, might have great potential for clinical application.

SUBMITTER: Xiao F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6348162 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

Xiao Fei F Yu Qiduo Q Zhang Zhenrong Z Liu Deruo D Liang Chaoyang C

Zhongguo fei ai za zhi = Chinese journal of lung cancer 20190101 1

<h4>Background</h4>Mathematical predictive model is an effective method for preliminarily identifying the malignant pulmonary nodules. As the epidemiological trend of lung cancer changes, the detection rate of ground-glass-opacity (GGO) like early stage lung cancer is increasing rapidly, timely and proper clinical management can effectively improve the patients' prognosis. Our study aims to establish a novel predictive model of malignancy for non-solid pulmonary nodules, which would provide an o ...[more]

PMID: 30674390

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Project description:Background The optimal management of patients with subsolid pulmonary nodules is of growing clinical concern. This study sought to develop and validate a more precise predictive model to evaluate the pathological invasiveness of patients with lung peripheral subsolid nodules (SSNs). Methods The data of 1,140 patients with peripheral SSNs who underwent surgical resection at Shanghai Renji Hospital from January 2014 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly assigned to a training and validation cohort (at a ratio of 2 to 1). Clinical parameters and imaging features were collected to estimate the independent predictors of pathological invasiveness of SSNs. A nomogram model was developed and applied to the validation cohort. The predictive performance of the nomogram model was evaluated by a calibration curve analysis, an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis, and a decision curve analysis (DCA), which was also compared with other diagnostic models. Results In the multivariate analysis, the nodule diameter (P<0.001), solid component size (P<0.001), mean CT attenuation (P=0.001), spiculation (P<0.001), and pleura indentation (P=0.011) were identified as independent predictors of the pathological invasiveness of SSNs. A nomogram model based on the results of the multivariate analysis was developed and showed a robust discrimination in the validation cohort, with an AUC of [0.890; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0873–0.907], which was higher than another two reported models. The calibration curve showed optimal agreement between the pathological invasive probability as predicted by the nomogram and the actual probability. Conclusions We developed and validated a nomogram model to evaluate the risk of the pathological invasiveness for patients with lung SSNs. The AUC of this nomogram model was higher than another two reported models. Our nomogram model may help clinicians to make individualized treatment more precisely.

Project description:BackgroundDistinguishing benign from malignant sub-centimeter solid pulmonary nodules (SSPNs) continues to be challenging in clinical practice. Earlier diagnosis is crucial for improving patient survival and prognosis. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors of malignant SSPNs and establish and validate a prediction model based on computed tomography (CT) characteristics to assist in their early diagnosis.MethodsA total of 261 consecutive participants with 261 SSPNs were retrospectively recruited between January 2012 and July 2023 from National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College (Center 1), including 161 malignant lesions and 100 benign lesions. Patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n=183) and validation set (n=78) according to a 7:3 ratio. Malignant nodules were confirmed by pathology; and benign nodules were confirmed by follow-up or pathology. Clinical data and CT features were collected to estimate the independent predictors of malignancy of SSPN with multivariate logistic analysis. A clinical prediction model was subsequently established by logistic regression. Furthermore, an additional 69 consecutive patients with 69 SSPNs from The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University (Center 2) between January 2022 and December 2022 were retrospectively included as an external cohort to validate the predictive efficacy of the model. The performance of the prediction model was assessed by sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.ResultsThere were 113 (61.7%), 48 (61.5%) and 28 (40.6%) malignant SSPNs in the training, internal and external validation sets, respectively. Multivariate logistic analysis revealed four independent predictors of malignant SSPNs: tumor-lung interface (P=0.002), spiculation (P=0.04), air bronchogram (P=0.047), and invisible at the mediastinal window (P=0.003). The area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction model in the training set was 0.875 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.818, 0.933]; and the sensitivity and specificity were 94.7% and 68.6%, respectively. The AUCs in the internal and external validation set were (0.781; 95% CI: 0.664, 0.897) and (0.873; 95% CI: 0.791, 0.955), respectively; the sensitivity and specificity were 66.7% and 83.3% for the internal validation data, and 100.0% and 61.0% for the external validation data, respectively.ConclusionsThe prediction model based on CT characteristics could be helpful for distinguishing malignant SSPNs from benign ones.

Dataset Information

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy?for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

Publications

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

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Dataset Information

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy?for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

Publications

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets

[Establishment and Verification of A Novel Predictive Model of Malignancy for Non-solid Pulmonary Nodules].