Impacts of Brexit on fruit and vegetable intake and cardiovascular disease in England: a modelling study.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

To estimate the potential impacts of different Brexit trade policy scenarios on the price and intake of fruits and vegetables (F&V) and consequent cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths in England between 2021 and 2030.

Design

Economic and epidemiological modelling study with probabilistic sensitivity analysis.

Setting

The model combined publicly available data on F&V trade, published estimates of UK-specific price elasticities, national survey data on F&V intake, estimates on the relationship between F&V intake and CVD from published meta-analyses and CVD mortality projections for 2021-2030.

Participants

English adults aged 25 years and older.

Interventions

We modelled four potential post-Brexit trade scenarios: (1) free trading agreement with t

SUBMITTER: Seferidi P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6352794 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature