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Preoperative MRI-radiomics features improve prediction of survival in glioblastoma patients over MGMT methylation status alone.

ABSTRACT: Background:Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common malignant central nervous system tumor, and MGMT promoter hypermethylation in this tumor has been shown to be associated with better prognosis. We evaluated the capacity of radiomics features to add complementary information to MGMT status, to improve the ability to predict prognosis. Methods:159 patients with untreated GBM were included in this study and divided into training and independent test sets. 286 radiomics features were extracted from the magnetic resonance images acquired prior to any treatments. A least absolute shrinkage selection operator (LASSO) selection followed by Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to determine the prognostic value of radiomics features to predict overall survival (OS). The combination of MGMT status with radiomics was also investigated and all results were validated on the independent test set. Results:LASSO analysis identified 8 out of the 286 radiomic features to be relevant which were then used for determining association to OS. One feature (edge descriptor) remained significant on the external validation cohort after multiple testing (p=0.04) and the combination with MGMT identified a group of patients with the best prognosis with a survival probability of 0.61 after 43 months (p=0.0005). Conclusion:Our results suggest that combining radiomics with MGMT is more accurate in stratifying patients into groups of different survival risks when compared to with using these predictors in isolation. We identified two subgroups within patients who have methylated MGMT: one with a similar survival to unmethylated MGMT patients and the other with a significantly longer OS.

SUBMITTER: Tixier F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6363013 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:OBJECTIVES:Oxygen 6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter methylation is a significant prognostic biomarker in astrocytomas, especially for temozolomide (TMZ) chemotherapy. This study aimed to preoperatively predict MGMT methylation status based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics and validate its value for evaluation of TMZ chemotherapy effect. METHODS:We retrospectively reviewed a cohort of 105 patients with grade II-IV astrocytomas. Radiomic features were extracted from the tumour and peritumoral oedema habitats on contrast-enhanced T1-weighted images, T2-weighted fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) maps. The following radiomics analysis was structured in three phases: feature reduction, signature construction and discrimination statistics. A fusion radiomics signature was finally developed using logistic regression modelling. Predictive performance was compared between the radiomics signature, previously reported clinical factors and ADC parameters. Validation was additionally performed on a time-independent cohort (n = 31). The prognostic value of the signature on overall survival for TMZ chemotherapy was explored using Kaplan Meier estimation. RESULTS:The fusion radiomics signature exhibited supreme power for predicting MGMT promoter methylation, with area under the curve values of 0.925 in the training cohort and 0.902 in the validation cohort. Performance of the radiomics signature surpassed that of clinical factors and ADC parameters. Moreover, the radiomics approach successfully divided patients into high-risk and low-risk groups for overall survival after TMZ chemotherapy (p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS:The proposed radiomics signature accurately predicted MGMT promoter methylation in patients with astrocytomas, and achieved survival stratification for TMZ chemotherapy, thus providing a preoperative basis for individualised treatment planning. KEY POINTS:• Radiomics using magnetic resonance imaging can preoperatively perform satisfactory prediction of MGMT methylation in grade II-IV astrocytomas. • Habitat-based radiomics can improve efficacy in predicting MGMT methylation status. • Multi-sequence radiomics signature has the power to evaluate TMZ chemotherapy effect.

Project description:ObjectiveTo develop a radiomics risk score based on dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI for prognosis prediction in patients with glioblastoma.Materials and methodsOne hundred and fifty patients (92 male [61.3%]; mean age ± standard deviation, 60.5 ± 13.5 years) with glioblastoma who underwent preoperative MRI were enrolled in the study. Six hundred and forty-two radiomic features were extracted from volume transfer constant (Ktrans), fractional volume of vascular plasma space (Vp), and fractional volume of extravascular extracellular space (Ve) maps of DCE MRI, wherein the regions of interest were based on both T1-weighted contrast-enhancing areas and non-enhancing T2 hyperintense areas. Using feature selection algorithms, salient radiomic features were selected from the 642 features. Next, a radiomics risk score was developed using a weighted combination of the selected features in the discovery set (n = 105); the risk score was validated in the validation set (n = 45) by investigating the difference in prognosis between the "radiomics risk score" groups. Finally, multivariable Cox regression analysis for progression-free survival was performed using the radiomics risk score and clinical variables as covariates.Results16 radiomic features obtained from non-enhancing T2 hyperintense areas were selected among the 642 features identified. The radiomics risk score was used to stratify high- and low-risk groups in both the discovery and validation sets (both p < 0.001 by the log-rank test). The radiomics risk score and presence of isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation showed independent associations with progression-free survival in opposite directions (hazard ratio, 3.56; p = 0.004 and hazard ratio, 0.34; p = 0.022, respectively).ConclusionWe developed and validated the "radiomics risk score" from the features of DCE MRI based on non-enhancing T2 hyperintense areas for risk stratification of patients with glioblastoma. It was associated with progression-free survival independently of IDH mutation status.

Project description:The methylation of the O6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) promoter is a molecular marker associated with a better response to chemotherapy in patients with glioblastoma (GB). Standard pre-operative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) analysis is not adequate to detect MGMT promoter methylation. This study aims to evaluate whether the radiomic features extracted from multiple tumor subregions using multiparametric MRI can predict MGMT promoter methylation status in GB patients. This retrospective single-institution study included a cohort of 277 GB patients whose 3D post-contrast T1-weighted images and 3D fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) images were acquired using two MRI scanners. Three separate regions of interest (ROIs) showing tumor enhancement, necrosis, and FLAIR hyperintensities were manually segmented for each patient. Two machine learning algorithms (support vector machine (SVM) and random forest) were built for MGMT promoter methylation prediction from a training cohort (196 patients) and tested on a separate validation cohort (81 patients), based on a set of automatically selected radiomic features, with and without demographic variables (i.e., patients' age and sex). In the training set, SVM based on the selected radiomic features of the three separate ROIs achieved the best performances, with an average of 83.0% (standard deviation: 5.7%) for accuracy and 0.894 (0.056) for the area under the curve (AUC) computed through cross-validation. In the test set, all classification performances dropped: the best was obtained by SVM based on the selected features extracted from the whole tumor lesion constructed by merging the three ROIs, with 64.2% (95% confidence interval: 52.8-74.6%) accuracy and 0.572 (0.439-0.705) for AUC. The performances did not change when the patients' age and sex were included with the radiomic features into the models. Our study confirms the presence of a subtle association between imaging characteristics and MGMT promoter methylation status. However, further verification of the strength of this association is needed, as the low diagnostic performance obtained in this validation cohort is not sufficiently robust to allow clinically meaningful predictions.

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Preoperative MRI-radiomics features improve prediction of survival in glioblastoma patients over MGMT methylation status alone.

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