Dataset Information

A Modified Random Survival Forests Algorithm for High Dimensional Predictors and Self-Reported Outcomes.

ABSTRACT: We present an ensemble tree-based algorithm for variable selection in high dimensional datasets, in settings where a time-to-event outcome is observed with error. The proposed methods are motivated by self-reported outcomes collected in large-scale epidemiologic studies, such as the Women's Health Initiative. The proposed methods equally apply to imperfect outcomes that arise in other settings such as data extracted from electronic medical records. To evaluate the performance of our proposed algorithm, we present results from simulation studies, considering both continuous and categorical covariates. We illustrate this approach to discover single nucleotide polymorphisms that are associated with incident Type II diabetes in the Women's Health Initiative. A freely available R package icRSF (R Core Team, 2018; Xu et al., 2018) has been developed to implement the proposed methods.

SUBMITTER: Xu H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6369914 | biostudies-literature | 2018

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A Modified Random Survival Forests Algorithm for High Dimensional Predictors and Self-Reported Outcomes.

Xu Hui H Gu Xiangdong X Tadesse Mahlet G MG Balasubramanian Raji R

Journal of computational and graphical statistics : a joint publication of American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America 20180820 4

We present an ensemble tree-based algorithm for variable selection in high dimensional datasets, in settings where a time-to-event outcome is observed with error. The proposed methods are motivated by self-reported outcomes collected in large-scale epidemiologic studies, such as the Women's Health Initiative. The proposed methods equally apply to imperfect outcomes that arise in other settings such as data extracted from electronic medical records. To evaluate the performance of our proposed alg ...[more]

PMID: 30766014

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Project description:BackgroundThe onset of silent diseases such as type 2 diabetes is often registered through self-report in large prospective cohorts. Self-reported outcomes are cost-effective; however, they are subject to error. Diagnosis of silent events may also occur through the use of imperfect laboratory-based diagnostic tests. In this paper, we describe an approach for variable selection in high dimensional datasets for settings in which the outcome is observed with error.MethodsWe adapt the spike and slab Bayesian Variable Selection approach in the context of error-prone, self-reported outcomes. The performance of the proposed approach is studied through simulation studies. An illustrative application is included using data from the Women's Health Initiative SNP Health Association Resource, which includes extensive genotypic (>900,000 SNPs) and phenotypic data on 9,873 African American and Hispanic American women.ResultsSimulation studies show improved sensitivity of our proposed method when compared to a naive approach that ignores error in the self-reported outcomes. Application of the proposed method resulted in discovery of several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that are associated with risk of type 2 diabetes in a dataset of 9,873 African American and Hispanic participants in the Women's Health Initiative. There was little overlap among the top ranking SNPs associated with type 2 diabetes risk between the racial groups, adding support to previous observations in the literature of disease associated genetic loci that are often not generalizable across race/ethnicity populations. The adapted Bayesian variable selection algorithm is implemented in R. The source code for the simulations are available in the Supplement.ConclusionsVariable selection accuracy is reduced when the outcome is ascertained by error-prone self-reports. For this setting, our proposed algorithm has improved variable selection performance when compared to approaches that neglect to account for the error-prone nature of self-reports.

Project description:One reason for the widespread success of random forests (RFs) is their ability to analyze most datasets without preprocessing. For example, in contrast to many other statistical methods and machine learning approaches, no recoding such as dummy coding is required to handle ordinal and nominal predictors. The standard approach for nominal predictors is to consider all 2 k - 1 - 1 2-partitions of the k predictor categories. However, this exponential relationship produces a large number of potential splits to be evaluated, increasing computational complexity and restricting the possible number of categories in most implementations. For binary classification and regression, it was shown that ordering the predictor categories in each split leads to exactly the same splits as the standard approach. This reduces computational complexity because only k - 1 splits have to be considered for a nominal predictor with k categories. For multiclass classification and survival prediction no ordering method producing equivalent splits exists. We therefore propose to use a heuristic which orders the categories according to the first principal component of the weighted covariance matrix in multiclass classification and by log-rank scores in survival prediction. This ordering of categories can be done either in every split or a priori, that is, just once before growing the forest. With this approach, the nominal predictor can be treated as ordinal in the entire RF procedure, speeding up the computation and avoiding category limits. We compare the proposed methods with the standard approach, dummy coding and simply ignoring the nominal nature of the predictors in several simulation settings and on real data in terms of prediction performance and computational efficiency. We show that ordering the categories a priori is at least as good as the standard approach of considering all 2-partitions in all datasets considered, while being computationally faster. We recommend to use this approach as the default in RFs.

Dataset Information

A Modified Random Survival Forests Algorithm for High Dimensional Predictors and Self-Reported Outcomes.

Publications

A Modified Random Survival Forests Algorithm for High Dimensional Predictors and Self-Reported Outcomes.

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