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Predictors of Symptomatic Kidney Stone Recurrence After the First and Subsequent Episodes.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:To predict symptomatic recurrence among community stone formers with one or more previous stone episodes. PATIENTS AND METHODS:A random sample of incident symptomatic kidney stone formers in Olmsted County, Minnesota, was followed for all symptomatic stone episodes resulting in clinical care from January 1, 1984, through January 31, 2017. Clinical and radiographic characteristics at each stone episode predictive of subsequent episodes were identified. RESULTS:There were 3364 incident kidney stone formers with 4951 episodes. The stone recurrence rates per 100 person-years were 3.4 (95% CI, 3.2-3.7) after the first episode, 7.1 (95% CI, 6.4-7.9) after the second episode, 12.1 (95% CI, 10.3-13.9) after the third episode, and 17.6 (95% CI, 15.1-20.0) after the fourth or higher episode (P<.001 for trend). A parsimonious model identified the following independent risk factors for recurrence: younger age; male sex; higher body mass index; family history of stones; pregnancy; incident asymptomatic stone on imaging before the first episode; suspected stone episode before the first episode; history of a brushite, struvite, or uric acid stone; no history of calcium oxalate monohydrate stone; kidney pelvic or lower pole stone on imaging; no ureterovesical junction stone on imaging; number of kidney stones on imaging; and diameter of the largest kidney stone on imaging. The model had a C-index corrected for optimism of 0.681 and was used to develop a prediction tool. The risk of recurrence in 5 years ranged from 0.9% to 94%, depending on risk factors, number of past episodes, and years since the last episode. CONCLUSION:The revised Recurrence Of Kidney Stone tool predicts the risk of symptomatic recurrence by using readily available clinical characteristics of stone formers.

SUBMITTER: Vaughan LE

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6390834 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of Symptomatic Kidney Stone Recurrence After the First and Subsequent Episodes.

Vaughan Lisa E LE Enders Felicity T FT Lieske John C JC Pais Vernon M VM Rivera Marcelino E ME Mehta Ramila A RA Vrtiska Terri J TJ Rule Andrew D AD

Mayo Clinic proceedings 20181204 2

<h4>Objective</h4>To predict symptomatic recurrence among community stone formers with one or more previous stone episodes.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>A random sample of incident symptomatic kidney stone formers in Olmsted County, Minnesota, was followed for all symptomatic stone episodes resulting in clinical care from January 1, 1984, through January 31, 2017. Clinical and radiographic characteristics at each stone episode predictive of subsequent episodes were identified.<h4>Results</h4>Ther ...[more]

PMID: 30527866

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Project description:Background and objectivesPrior work has suggested a higher risk of hypertension in kidney stone formers but lacked disease validation and adjustment for potential confounders. Certain types of stone formers may also be at higher risk of hypertension.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsIn our study, incident symptomatic stone formers in Olmsted County from 2000 to 2011 were manually validated by chart review and age and sex matched to Olmsted County controls. We followed up patients through November 20, 2015. Hypertension was also validated by manual chart review, and the risk of hypertension in stone formers compared with controls was assessed both univariately and after adjusting for comorbidities. The risk of hypertension among different subtypes of stone formers was also evaluated.ResultsAmong 3023 coded stone formers from 2000 to 2011, a total of 1515 were validated and matched to 1515 controls (mean age was 45 years old, and 56% were men). After excluding those with baseline hypertension (20% of stone formers and 18% of controls), 154 stone formers and 110 controls developed hypertension. Median follow-up time was 7.8 years in stone formers and 9.6 years in controls. Stone formers were found to have a higher risk of hypertension compared with controls (hazard ratio, 1.50; 95% confidence interval, 1.18 to 1.92), even after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, serum creatinine, CKD, diabetes, gout, coronary artery disease, dyslipidemia, tobacco use, and alcohol abuse (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 2.21). Results were similar after excluding patients who were ever on a thiazide diuretic (hazard ratio, 1.65; 95% confidence interval, 1.16 to 2.38). Stone composition, radiographic stone burden, number of subsequent stone events, and stone removal surgeries were not associated with hypertension (P>0.05 for all).ConclusionsThe risk of hypertension was higher after the first symptomatic kidney stone event. However, kidney stone severity, type, and treatment did not associate with hypertension.

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Predictors of Symptomatic Kidney Stone Recurrence After the First and Subsequent Episodes.

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Predictors of Symptomatic Kidney Stone Recurrence After the First and Subsequent Episodes.

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