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An Investigation of Selection Bias in Estimating Racial Disparity in Stroke Risk Factors.

ABSTRACT: Selection due to survival or attrition might bias estimates of racial disparities in health, but few studies quantify the likely magnitude of such bias. In a large national cohort with moderate loss to follow-up, we contrasted racial differences in 2 stroke risk factors, incident hypertension and incident left ventricular hypertrophy, estimated by complete-case analyses, inverse probability of attrition weighting, and the survivor average causal effect. We used data on 12,497 black and 17,660 white participants enrolled in the United States (2003-2007) and collected incident risk factor data approximately 10 years after baseline. At follow-up, 21.0% of white participants and 23.0% of black participants had died; additionally 22.0% of white participants and 28.4% of black participants had withdrawn. Individual probabilities of completing the follow-up visit were estimated using baseline demographic and health characteristics. Adjusted risk ratio estimates of racial disparities from complete-case analyses in both incident hypertension (1.11, 95% confidence interval: 1.02, 1.21) and incident left ventricular hypertrophy (1.02, 95% confidence interval: 0.84, 1.24) were virtually identical to estimates from inverse probability of attrition weighting and survivor average causal effect. Despite racial differences in mortality and attrition, we found little evidence of selection bias in the estimation of racial differences for these incident risk factors.

SUBMITTER: Long DL

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6395161 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An Investigation of Selection Bias in Estimating Racial Disparity in Stroke Risk Factors.

Long D Leann DL Howard George G Long Dustin M DM Judd Suzanne S Manly Jennifer J JJ McClure Leslie A LA Wadley Virginia G VG Safford Monika M MM Katz Ronit R Glymour M Maria MM

American journal of epidemiology 20190301 3

Selection due to survival or attrition might bias estimates of racial disparities in health, but few studies quantify the likely magnitude of such bias. In a large national cohort with moderate loss to follow-up, we contrasted racial differences in 2 stroke risk factors, incident hypertension and incident left ventricular hypertrophy, estimated by complete-case analyses, inverse probability of attrition weighting, and the survivor average causal effect. We used data on 12,497 black and 17,660 wh ...[more]

PMID: 30452548

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Project description:Background and Purpose- In the United States, black Americans exhibit a greater risk of stroke and burden of stroke risk factors than whites; however, it is unclear whether these stroke risk factors influence stroke risk differently across racial groups. Methods- In total, 126 018 participants of the Women's Health Initiative (11 389 black and 114 629 white women), free of stroke and coronary heart disease at baseline (1994-1998), were followed through 2010. Participants completed baseline clinical exams with standardized measurements of blood pressure and anthropometrics, medication inventory and self-reported questionnaires on sociodemographics, behaviors/lifestyle, and medical history. Incident total, ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes were updated annually through questionnaires with medical record confirmation. Rate differences (per 100 000 person-years) and hazard ratios (HR) based on multivariable Cox models and were estimated. Results- Over a median of 13 years, 4344 stroke events were observed. Absolute incidence rates were higher in black than white women in each age group. In age-adjusted analyses, the risk of stroke was significantly higher among black compared with white women (HR=1.47, 95% CI, 1.33-1.63); adjustment for stroke risk factors, which may be on the causal pathway, attenuated the estimate. Racial disparities were greatest among women 50 to <60 years (HR=3.48; 95% CI, 2.31-5.26; rate difference =99) and diminished with increasing age (60 to <70 HR=1.80; 95% CI, 1.50-2.16; rate difference =107; ≥70 years: HR=1.26; 95% CI, 1.10-1.43; rate difference =87; Pinteraction <0.001). Black women 50 to <60 years remained at significantly higher risk than white women after adjustment for stroke risk factors (HR=1.76; 95% CI, 1.09-2.83). Conclusions- There was a moderately greater risk of total stroke among black compared with white women; however, racial disparities were greatest among women aged 50 to <60 years. Interventions targeted at younger black women may provide the greatest benefit in reducing disparities.

Dataset Information

An Investigation of Selection Bias in Estimating Racial Disparity in Stroke Risk Factors.

Publications

An Investigation of Selection Bias in Estimating Racial Disparity in Stroke Risk Factors.

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