Dataset Information

A risk score model for the prediction of osteosarcoma metastasis.

ABSTRACT: Osteosarcoma is the most common primary solid malignancy of the bone, and its high mortality usually correlates with early metastasis. In this study, we developed a risk score model to help predict metastasis at the time of diagnosis. We downloaded and mined four expression profile datasets associated with osteosarcoma metastasis from the Gene Expression Omnibus. After data normalization, we performed LASSO logistic regression analysis together with 10-fold cross validation using the GSE21257 dataset. A combination of eight genes (RAB1,CLEC3B,FCGBP,RNASE3,MDL1,ALOX5AP,VMO1 and ALPK3) were identified as being associated with osteosarcoma metastasis. These genes were put into a gene risk score model, and the prediction efficiency of the model was then validated using three independent datasets (GSE33383, GSE66673, and GSE49003) by plotting receiver operating characteristic curves. The expression levels of the eight genes in all datasets were shown as heatmaps, and gene ontology gene annotation and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes pathway enrichment analysis were performed. These eight genes play a role in cancer-related biological processes, such as apoptosis and biosynthetic processes. Our results may aid in elucidating the possible mechanisms of osteosarcoma metastasis, and may help to facilitate the individual management of patients with osteosarcoma after treatment.

SUBMITTER: Dong S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6396159 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A risk score model for the prediction of osteosarcoma metastasis.

Dong Siqi S Huo Hongjun H Mao Yu Y Li Xin X Dong Lixin L

FEBS open bio 20190202 3

Osteosarcoma is the most common primary solid malignancy of the bone, and its high mortality usually correlates with early metastasis. In this study, we developed a risk score model to help predict metastasis at the time of diagnosis. We downloaded and mined four expression profile datasets associated with osteosarcoma metastasis from the Gene Expression Omnibus. After data normalization, we performed LASSO logistic regression analysis together with 10-fold cross validation using the GSE21257 da ...[more]

PMID: 30868060

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Project description:BackgroundOsteosarcoma (OS) is the most common primary bone tumor affecting humans and it has extreme heterogeneity. Despite modern therapy, it recurs in approximately 30-40% of patients initially diagnosed with no metastatic disease, with the long-term survival rates of patients with recurrent OS being generally 20%. Thus, early prediction of metastases in OS management plans is crucial for better-adapted treatments and survival rates. In this study, a radiomics model for metastasis risk prediction in OS was developed and evaluated using metabolic imaging phenotypes.Methods and findingsThe subjects were eighty-three patients with OS, and all were treated with surgery and chemotherapy for local control. All patients underwent a pretreatment 18F-FDG-PET scan. Forty-five features were extracted from the tumor region. The incorporation of features into multivariable models was performed using logistic regression. The multivariable modeling strategy involved cross validation in the following four steps leading to final prediction model construction: (1) feature set reduction and selection; (2) model coefficients computation through train and validation processing; and (3) prediction performance estimation. The multivariable logistic regression model was developed using two radiomics features, SUVmax and GLZLM-SZLGE. The trained and validated multivariable logistic model based on probability of endpoint (P) = 1/ (1+exp (-Z)) was Z = -1.23 + 1.53*SUVmax + 1.68*GLZLM-SZLGE with significant p-values (SUVmax: 0.0462 and GLZLM_SZLGE: 0.0154). The final multivariable logistic model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve of 0.80, a sensitivity of 0.66, and a specificity of 0.88 in cross validation.ConclusionsThe SUVmax and GLZLM-SZLGE from metabolic imaging phenotypes are independent predictors of metastasis risk assessment. They show the association between 18F-FDG-PET and metastatic colonization knowledge. The multivariable model developed using them could improve patient outcomes by allowing aggressive treatment in patients with high metastasis risk.

Project description:BackgroundGlycolytic metabolic pathway has been confirmed to play a vital role in the proliferation, survival, and migration of malignant tumors, but the relationship between glycolytic pathway-related genes and osteosarcoma (OS) metastasis and prognosis remain unclear.MethodsWe performed Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) on the osteosarcoma dataset in the TARGET database to explore differences in glycolysis-related pathway gene sets between primary osteosarcoma (without other organ metastases) and metastatic osteosarcoma patient samples, as well as glycolytic pathway gene set gene difference analysis. Then, we extracted OS data from the TCGA database and used Cox proportional risk regression to identify prognosis-associated glycolytic genes to establish a risk model. Further, the validity of the risk model was confirmed using the GEO database dataset. Finally, we further screened OS metastasis-related genes based on machine learning. We selected the genes with the highest clinical metastasis-related importance as representative genes for in vitro experimental validation.ResultsUsing the TARGET osteosarcoma dataset, we identified 5 glycolysis-related pathway gene sets that were significantly different in metastatic and non-metastatic osteosarcoma patient samples and identified 29 prognostically relevant genes. Next, we used multivariate Cox regression to determine the inclusion of 13 genes (ADH5, DCN, G6PD, etc.) to construct a prognostic risk score model to predict 1- (AUC=0.959), 3- (AUC=0.899), and 5-year (AUC=0.895) survival under the curve. Ultimately, the KM curves pooled into the datasets GSE21257 and GSE39055 also confirmed the validity of the prognostic risk model, with a statistically significant difference in overall survival between the low- and high-risk groups (P<0.05). In addition, machine learning identified INSR as the gene with the highest importance for OS metastasis, and the transwell assay verified that INSR significantly promoted OS cell metastasis.ConclusionsA risk model based on seven glycolytic genes (INSR, FAM162A, GLCE, ADH5, G6PD, SDC3, HS2ST1) can effectively evaluate the prognosis of osteosarcoma, and in vitro experiments also confirmed the important role of INSR in promoting OS migration.

Project description:Osteosarcoma is a malignant tumor with a poor prognosis. Nowadays, there is a lack of good methods to assess the prognosis of osteosarcoma patients. Transcription co-factors (TcoFs) play crucial roles in transcriptional regulation through the interaction with transcription factors (TFs). Many studies have revealed that TcoFs are related to many diseases, especially cancer. However, few studies have been reported about prognostic prediction models of osteosarcoma by using TcoF-related genes. In order to construct a prognostic risk model with TcoF-related genes, the mRNA expression data and matched clinical information of osteosarcoma were downloaded from the Therapeutically Applicable Research to Generate Effective Treatments (TARGET) database and the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. TARGET was used as a training set and GSE21257 from GEO was used as a validation set. Univariate Cox regression was performed to select 13 TcoF-related candidate genes, of which five genes (LMO2, MAML3, MTF2, RBPMS, and SIRT1) were finally used to construct the prognostic risk model by LASSO Cox regression analysis. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves showed an obvious difference between high- and low-risk groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves based on TARGET demonstrated that this risk model was credible (1-year AUC: 0.607; 3-years AUC: 0.713; 5-years AUC: 0.736). Meanwhile, the risk model was associated with immune cells and immune-related functions. By combining the risk score and clinical factors, the nomogram of osteosarcoma was assessed with a C-index of 0.738 to further support the reliability of this 5-gene prognostic risk model. Finally, the expression of TcoF-related genes was validated in different cell lines by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) and also in different tissue samples by immunohistochemistry (IHC). In conclusion, the model can predict the prognosis of osteosarcoma patients and may provide novel targets for the treatment of osteosarcoma patients.

Project description:ImportanceThe incremental value of polygenic risk scores in addition to well-established risk prediction models for coronary artery disease (CAD) is uncertain.ObjectiveTo examine whether a polygenic risk score for CAD improves risk prediction beyond pooled cohort equations.Design, setting, and participantsObservational study of UK Biobank participants enrolled from 2006 to 2010. A case-control sample of 15 947 prevalent CAD cases and equal number of age and sex frequency-matched controls was used to optimize the predictive performance of a polygenic risk score for CAD based on summary statistics from published genome-wide association studies. A separate cohort of 352 660 individuals (with follow-up to 2017) was used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the polygenic risk score, pooled cohort equations, and both combined for incident CAD.ExposuresPolygenic risk score for CAD, pooled cohort equations, and both combined.Main outcomes and measuresCAD (myocardial infarction and its related sequelae). Discrimination, calibration, and reclassification using a risk threshold of 7.5% were assessed.ResultsIn the cohort of 352 660 participants (mean age, 55.9 years; 205 297 women [58.2%]) used to evaluate the predictive accuracy of the examined models, there were 6272 incident CAD events over a median of 8 years of follow-up. CAD discrimination for polygenic risk score, pooled cohort equations, and both combined resulted in C statistics of 0.61 (95% CI, 0.60 to 0.62), 0.76 (95% CI, 0.75 to 0.77), and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77 to 0.79), respectively. The change in C statistic between the latter 2 models was 0.02 (95% CI, 0.01 to 0.03). Calibration of the models showed overestimation of risk by pooled cohort equations, which was corrected after recalibration. Using a risk threshold of 7.5%, addition of the polygenic risk score to pooled cohort equations resulted in a net reclassification improvement of 4.4% (95% CI, 3.5% to 5.3%) for cases and -0.4% (95% CI, -0.5% to -0.4%) for noncases (overall net reclassification improvement, 4.0% [95% CI, 3.1% to 4.9%]).Conclusions and relevanceThe addition of a polygenic risk score for CAD to pooled cohort equations was associated with a statistically significant, yet modest, improvement in the predictive accuracy for incident CAD and improved risk stratification for only a small proportion of individuals. The use of genetic information over the pooled cohort equations model warrants further investigation before clinical implementation.

Dataset Information

A risk score model for the prediction of osteosarcoma metastasis.

Publications

A risk score model for the prediction of osteosarcoma metastasis.

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