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Longitudinal lipid trends and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD: a 13-year observational cohort study.

ABSTRACT: Studies on the effects of longitudinal lipid trajectories on end-stage renal disease (ESRD) development and deaths among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are limited. We conducted a registry-based prospective study using data from a 13-year multidisciplinary pre-ESRD care program. The final study population comprised 4,647 patients with CKD. Using group-based trajectory modeling, we dichotomized longitudinal trajectories of total cholesterol (T-CHO), triglyceride (TG), LDL cholesterol (LDL-C), and HDL cholesterol (HDL-C). Time to ESRD or death was analyzed using multiple Cox regression. At baseline, higher levels of T-CHO and LDL-C were associated with rapid progression to ESRD, whereas only HDL-C was positively associated with all-cause mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 1.20; 95% CI, 1.06-1.36; P-value, 0.005]. Compared with those with a normal T-CHO trajectory, the fully adjusted HR of patients with a high T-CHO trajectory for ESRD risk was 1.21 (P-value, 0.019). Subgroup analysis showed that a high TG trajectory was associated with a 49% increase in mortality risk in CKD patients without diabetes (P-value for interaction, 0.012). In contrast to what was observed based on baseline HDL-C, patients with a trajectory of frequent hypo-HDL cholesterolemia had higher risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted HR, 1.53; P-value, 0.014). Thus, only T-CHO, both at baseline and over the longitudinal course, demonstrated a significant potential risk of incident ESRD. The inconsistency in the observed directions of association between baseline levels and longitudinal trajectories of HDL-C warrants further research to unveil specific pathogenic mechanisms underlying the HDL-C metabolism in patients with CKD.

SUBMITTER: Tsai CW

PROVIDER: S-EPMC6399497 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Longitudinal lipid trends and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD: a 13-year observational cohort study.

Tsai Ching-Wei CW Huang Han-Chun HC Chiang Hsiu-Yin HY Chung Chih-Wei CW Chang Shih-Ni SN Chu Pei-Lun PL Kuo Chin-Chi CC

Journal of lipid research 20190114 3

Studies on the effects of longitudinal lipid trajectories on end-stage renal disease (ESRD) development and deaths among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are limited. We conducted a registry-based prospective study using data from a 13-year multidisciplinary pre-ESRD care program. The final study population comprised 4,647 patients with CKD. Using group-based trajectory modeling, we dichotomized longitudinal trajectories of total cholesterol (T-CHO), triglyceride (TG), LDL cholesterol ...[more]

PMID: 30642880

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Project description:Rationale & Objective Metabolic acidosis is a risk factor for progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD), but little is known about its effect on health care costs and resource utilization. We describe the associations between metabolic acidosis, adverse kidney outcomes, and health care costs in patients with CKD stages G3-G5 and not receiving dialysis. Study Design Retrospective cohort study. Setting & Participants An integrated claims-clinical data set of US patients with CKD stages G3-G5, with serum bicarbonate values of 12 to <22 mEq/L (metabolic acidosis group) or 22 to 29 mEq/L (normal serum bicarbonate level group). Predictor The primary exposure variable was the baseline serum bicarbonate level. Outcomes The primary clinical outcome was the composite of all-cause mortality, maintenance dialysis, kidney transplant, or a decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate of ≥40% (DD40). The primary cost outcome was all-cause predicted per-patient per-year cost, assessed over a 2-year outcome period. Analytical Approach Logistic and generalized linear regression models, adjusted for key covariates such as age, sex, race, kidney function, comorbidities, and pharmacy insurance coverage, were used to assess serum bicarbonate levels as a predictor of DD40 and health care costs, respectively. Results 51,558 patients qualified. The metabolic acidosis group experienced higher rates of DD40 (48.3% vs. 16.7%, P < 0.001) and higher all-cause yearly costs ($65,172 vs. $24,681, P < 0.001). Two-year adjusted odds ratio of DD40 per 1-mEq/L increase in serum bicarbonate levels was 0.873 (95% CI, 0.866-0.879); the parameter estimate (±SE) for costs was −0.070 ± 0.0075 (P < 0.001). Limitations Possible residual confounding. Conclusions Patients with CKD and metabolic acidosis had higher costs and rates of adverse kidney outcomes compared with patients with normal serum bicarbonate levels. Each 1-mEq/L increase in serum bicarbonate levels was associated with a 13% decrease in 2-year DD40 events and a 7% decrease in per-patient per-year cost.

Project description:BackgroundThe full range of long-term health consequences of COVID-19 in patients who are discharged from hospital is largely unclear. The aim of our study was to comprehensively compare consequences between 6 months and 12 months after symptom onset among hospital survivors with COVID-19.MethodsWe undertook an ambidirectional cohort study of COVID-19 survivors who had been discharged from Jin Yin-tan Hospital (Wuhan, China) between Jan 7 and May 29, 2020. At 6-month and 12-month follow-up visit, survivors were interviewed with questionnaires on symptoms and health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and received a physical examination, a 6-min walking test, and laboratory tests. They were required to report their health-care use after discharge and work status at the 12-month visit. Survivors who had completed pulmonary function tests or had lung radiographic abnormality at 6 months were given the corresponding tests at 12 months. Non-COVID-19 participants (controls) matched for age, sex, and comorbidities were interviewed and completed questionnaires to assess prevalent symptoms and HRQoL. The primary outcomes were symptoms, modified British Medical Research Council (mMRC) score, HRQoL, and distance walked in 6 min (6MWD). Multivariable adjusted logistic regression models were used to evaluate the risk factors of 12-month outcomes.Findings1276 COVID-19 survivors completed both visits. The median age of patients was 59·0 years (IQR 49·0-67·0) and 681 (53%) were men. The median follow-up time was 185·0 days (IQR 175·0-198·0) for the 6-month visit and 349·0 days (337·0-361·0) for the 12-month visit after symptom onset. The proportion of patients with at least one sequelae symptom decreased from 68% (831/1227) at 6 months to 49% (620/1272) at 12 months (p<0·0001). The proportion of patients with dyspnoea, characterised by mMRC score of 1 or more, slightly increased from 26% (313/1185) at 6-month visit to 30% (380/1271) at 12-month visit (p=0·014). Additionally, more patients had anxiety or depression at 12-month visit (26% [331/1271] at 12-month visit vs 23% [274/1187] at 6-month visit; p=0·015). No significant difference on 6MWD was observed between 6 months and 12 months. 88% (422/479) of patients who were employed before COVID-19 had returned to their original work at 12 months. Compared with men, women had an odds ratio of 1·43 (95% CI 1·04-1·96) for fatigue or muscle weakness, 2·00 (1·48-2·69) for anxiety or depression, and 2·97 (1·50-5·88) for diffusion impairment. Matched COVID-19 survivors at 12 months had more problems with mobility, pain or discomfort, and anxiety or depression, and had more prevalent symptoms than did controls.InterpretationMost COVID-19 survivors had a good physical and functional recovery during 1-year follow-up, and had returned to their original work and life. The health status in our cohort of COVID-19 survivors at 12 months was still lower than that in the control population.FundingChinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Key Research and Development Program of China, Major Projects of National Science and Technology on New Drug Creation and Development of Pulmonary Tuberculosis, the China Evergrande Group, Jack Ma Foundation, Sino Biopharmaceutical, Ping An Insurance (Group), and New Sunshine Charity Foundation.

Project description:Backgroundand objectives Patients with CKD are at risk of hospital-acquired complications (HACs). We sought to determine the association of preventable HACs with mortality, length of stay (LOS), and readmission.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsAll adults hospitalized from April of 2003 to March of 2008 in Alberta were characterized by kidney function and occurrence of preventable HACs. CKD was defined by eGFR<60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and/or albumin-to-creatinine ratio >3-30 mg/mmol for >3 months in the time frame from 365 to 90 days before admission. Regression models examined the association of HACs with outcomes.ResultsOf 536,549 hospitalizations, 8.5% (n=45,733) had CKD and 9.8% of patients with CKD had one or more potentially preventable HAC. In patients with potentially preventable HACs, proportions of death within index hospitalization and from discharge to 90 days were 17.7% and 6.8%, respectively. In patients with CKD, comparing with those hospitalizations without potentially preventable HACs, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of mortality during index hospitalization and from hospital discharge to 90 days in patients with one or more preventable HAC was 4.67 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 4.17 to 5.22) and 1.08 (95% CI, 0.94 to 1.25), respectively. Median incremental LOS in patients with one or more preventable HAC was 9.86 days (95% CI, 9.25 to 10.48). The OR for readmission with preventable HAC was 1.24 (95% CI, 1.15 to 1.34). In a cohort with and without CKD, the adjusted ORs of mortality during index hospitalization in patients with CKD and no preventable HACs, patients without CKD and with preventable HACs, and patients with CKD and preventable HACs were 2.22 (95% CI, 1.69 to 2.94), 5.26 (95% CI, 4.98 to 5.55), and 9.56 (95% CI, 7.23 to 12.56), respectively (referenced to patients without CKD or preventable HACs).ConclusionsPreventable HACs are associated with higher mortality, incremental LOS, and greater risk of readmission, especially in people with CKD. Targeted strategies to reduce complications should be a high priority.

Dataset Information

Longitudinal lipid trends and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD: a 13-year observational cohort study.

Publications

Longitudinal lipid trends and adverse outcomes in patients with CKD: a 13-year observational cohort study.

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